Bay Area Weather: Cold Storm Surprises Region With Snow and Chill
California's Sierra Nevada Residents Prepare for Up to 3 Feet of Snow
Sierra Braces for Peak of Severe Storm, With Over 10 Feet of Snow Possible
Holiday Weekend Storms On Tap Could Bring Flooding to the Bay Area
North Bay Expecting Heavy Rains, Swelling Rivers, Possible Flooding
First Significant Snow to Arrive in the Sierra This Week
Will El Niño’s Return Mean Rain and Snow for California's 2023 Winter?
'You Have to Make This Work': A Day in the Life of a Rural EMT During California's Winter of Atmospheric River Storms
We Can Send a Robot to Mars, But We Can't Predict an Avalanche
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[pullquote size=\"medium\" align=\"right\" citation=\"Matt Mehle, meteorologist, National Weather Service Bay Area office\"]‘The snow will probably be most notable for people living in the East Bay, the heart of the Bay Area.’[/pullquote]“The snow will probably be most notable for people living in the East Bay, the heart of the Bay Area,” said Matt Mehle, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service’s Bay Area office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As temperatures drop Thursday and Friday evenings, forecasters said rain could turn into snow, and temperatures on Thursday afternoon will struggle to warm above the mid-50s in lowlands and above 30 degrees in higher terrain. \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11937103/warming-shelters-flood-bomb-cyclone-storm-bay-area\">Meteorologists warn that near-freezing temperatures could negatively impact unhoused people.\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Up in the Sierra Nevada, as much as 1 foot of snow could fall across the highest elevations, once again \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11937204/lake-tahoe-weather-forecast-road-conditions-snow-chains\">complicating travel on mountain passes\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Getting cold systems like this down into California is not uncommon; what’s uncommon is to get it at this time of year,” Mehle said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>A storm bringing more snow than rain?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The late-season cold storm is traveling south from the Gulf of Alaska, and forecasters don’t expect the storm to produce gobs of rain, wind or flooding — less than an inch of rain across the region is predicted.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But meteorologists do expect up to a foot of snow along the Central Coast in the mountains near Big Sur.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If you encounter snow, definitely drive slower,” Mehle said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/DrewTumaABC7/status/1775908152904659372?s=20\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service has not issued a wind advisory, but Mehle warns wind gusts up to 40 mph are possible throughout the Bay Area over the next 24 hours. He said the agency is also working with government partners to ensure \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11937103/warming-shelters-flood-bomb-cyclone-storm-bay-area\">warming centers are open for unhoused people \u003c/a>to escape the wintery conditions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Temperatures will remain below normal all the way into the upcoming weekend,” Mehle said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meteorologists forecast the rain and wind to taper off late Friday and Saturday, but cold temperatures will linger into the weekend.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/CALFIRECZU/status/1775935116910735731?s=20\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The weather pattern could also drop up to 1 foot of snow across the highest points in the Sierra Nevada, especially south of Highway 50, said Idamis Shoemaker, a National Weather Service meteorologist with the agency’s Sacramento office. [aside postID=science_1991866 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/03/CaliWeather318-1020x680.jpg']Shoemaker said people traveling in the Sierra this week should carry chains and be prepared for snow-covered roads and travel delays. She also warned that we “could see snow levels lowering down into the upper foothills.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The cold storms also bring thunderstorm potential. Shoemaker said that could mean lightning, gusty winds, small hail and funnel clouds at lower elevations, especially in the Sacramento Valley.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Looking ahead, there’s a slight chance of scattered showers over the weekend before warm and dry weather returns next week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Warmer than average temps may be in the cards by mid-April,” said UCLA climate scientist Daniel Swain \u003ca href=\"https://x.com/Weather_West/status/1775567128407450068?s=20\">in a post on X\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"Forecasters say a late-season cold weather pattern will bring not just snow to Bay Area peaks but also near-freezing temperatures in major metropolitan areas, bringing challenges for unhoused residents.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1712337530,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":17,"wordCount":601},"headData":{"title":"Bay Area Weather: Cold Storm Surprises Region With Snow and Chill | KQED","description":"Forecasters say a late-season cold weather pattern will bring not just snow to Bay Area peaks but also near-freezing temperatures in major metropolitan areas, bringing challenges for unhoused residents.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":"","schema":{"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"Article","headline":"Bay Area Weather: Cold Storm Surprises Region With Snow and Chill","datePublished":"2024-04-04T19:00:10.000Z","dateModified":"2024-04-05T17:18:50.000Z","image":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/KQED-OG-Image@1x.png"}},"sticky":false,"excludeFromSiteSearch":"Include","articleAge":"0","path":"/science/1992243/bay-area-weather-cold-storm-surprises-region-with-snow-and-chill","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Winter is temporarily back — and fat snowflakes were already seen falling onto Mount Tamalpais, Mount Diablo and Mount Hamilton in Marin, Contra Costa and Santa Clara counties on Thursday morning.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Wintery conditions could last through Saturday as a cold storm moves through the region and may continue to whiten our highest peaks with a few inches of snow across the Bay Area and Central Coast. \u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"‘The snow will probably be most notable for people living in the East Bay, the heart of the Bay Area.’","name":"pullquote","attributes":{"named":{"size":"medium","align":"right","citation":"Matt Mehle, meteorologist, National Weather Service Bay Area office","label":""},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“The snow will probably be most notable for people living in the East Bay, the heart of the Bay Area,” said Matt Mehle, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service’s Bay Area office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As temperatures drop Thursday and Friday evenings, forecasters said rain could turn into snow, and temperatures on Thursday afternoon will struggle to warm above the mid-50s in lowlands and above 30 degrees in higher terrain. \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11937103/warming-shelters-flood-bomb-cyclone-storm-bay-area\">Meteorologists warn that near-freezing temperatures could negatively impact unhoused people.\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Up in the Sierra Nevada, as much as 1 foot of snow could fall across the highest elevations, once again \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11937204/lake-tahoe-weather-forecast-road-conditions-snow-chains\">complicating travel on mountain passes\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Getting cold systems like this down into California is not uncommon; what’s uncommon is to get it at this time of year,” Mehle said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>A storm bringing more snow than rain?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The late-season cold storm is traveling south from the Gulf of Alaska, and forecasters don’t expect the storm to produce gobs of rain, wind or flooding — less than an inch of rain across the region is predicted.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But meteorologists do expect up to a foot of snow along the Central Coast in the mountains near Big Sur.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If you encounter snow, definitely drive slower,” Mehle said.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1775908152904659372"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service has not issued a wind advisory, but Mehle warns wind gusts up to 40 mph are possible throughout the Bay Area over the next 24 hours. He said the agency is also working with government partners to ensure \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11937103/warming-shelters-flood-bomb-cyclone-storm-bay-area\">warming centers are open for unhoused people \u003c/a>to escape the wintery conditions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Temperatures will remain below normal all the way into the upcoming weekend,” Mehle said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meteorologists forecast the rain and wind to taper off late Friday and Saturday, but cold temperatures will linger into the weekend.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1775935116910735731"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>The weather pattern could also drop up to 1 foot of snow across the highest points in the Sierra Nevada, especially south of Highway 50, said Idamis Shoemaker, a National Weather Service meteorologist with the agency’s Sacramento office. \u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"aside","attributes":{"named":{"postid":"science_1991866","hero":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/03/CaliWeather318-1020x680.jpg","label":""},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Shoemaker said people traveling in the Sierra this week should carry chains and be prepared for snow-covered roads and travel delays. She also warned that we “could see snow levels lowering down into the upper foothills.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The cold storms also bring thunderstorm potential. Shoemaker said that could mean lightning, gusty winds, small hail and funnel clouds at lower elevations, especially in the Sacramento Valley.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Looking ahead, there’s a slight chance of scattered showers over the weekend before warm and dry weather returns next week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Warmer than average temps may be in the cards by mid-April,” said UCLA climate scientist Daniel Swain \u003ca href=\"https://x.com/Weather_West/status/1775567128407450068?s=20\">in a post on X\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/1992243/bay-area-weather-cold-storm-surprises-region-with-snow-and-chill","authors":["11746"],"categories":["science_31","science_40","science_4450"],"tags":["science_4992","science_2924","science_4414","science_1213","science_109","science_107","science_365"],"featImg":"science_1992251","label":"science"},"science_1992018":{"type":"posts","id":"science_1992018","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"science","id":"1992018","score":null,"sort":[1711049965000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"californias-sierra-nevada-residents-prepare-for-up-to-3-feet-of-snow","title":"California's Sierra Nevada Residents Prepare for Up to 3 Feet of Snow","publishDate":1711049965,"format":"standard","headTitle":"California’s Sierra Nevada Residents Prepare for Up to 3 Feet of Snow | KQED","labelTerm":{"site":"science"},"content":"\u003cp>Jenelle Potvin loves running through a snowstorm to photograph its beauty.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Some of my footage made the NBC Nightly News,” she said of an early March storm that buried her home in multiple feet of snow, which her dogs loved. [pullquote size=\"medium\" align=\"right\" citation=\"Jenelle Potvin, Truckee resident\"]‘It’s been sunny and really enjoyable, but we’re looking forward to a little storm.’[/pullquote]She’s already preparing her home in Truckee for about 1 foot of snow meteorologists forecast for her neighborhood this weekend. The looming storm could drop up to 3 feet of snow over the crest of the Sierra Nevada.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When a storm is on its way, Potvin does three things: She cancels her plans, checks in with any Airbnb guests who rent out an extra room in her house and cleans all the dog poop from her yard so it doesn’t freeze under the snow.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Potvin is positively antsy for the storm to begin Friday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s been sunny and really enjoyable, but we’re looking forward to a little storm,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/truckeerunner/status/1764409708675473861\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The first spring storm comes nearly three weeks after a cold weather pattern dropped more than 12 feet of snow across the Sierra. On Wednesday, the National Weather Service issued a winter storm watch for the Northern and Central Sierra.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Forecasters expect significant travel delays this weekend on major highways due to snow, icy roads and strong winds. But for outdoor adventurists, another storm is a chance to shred some powder.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We can cross-country ski or snowshoe right from our house if there’s enough snow,” Potvin said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Resorts like Palisades Tahoe, northwest of Lake Tahoe, are looking forward to more than 1 1/2 feet of snow this weekend, especially since the snow year started abysmal at best. In January, snow totals across the Sierra measured around 25% of the average, but now \u003ca href=\"https://cdec.water.ca.gov/snowapp/sweq.action\">are at 99% of the average for this time of year\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/NWSSacramento/status/1770838903001321553\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We had an 8-foot storm that really put us over the top,” said Patrick Lacey, PR manager for Palisades Tahoe, remembering the early March storm that temporarily shut ski resorts down across the mountain range\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But as a result, he said, “the skiing is absolutely phenomenal. It’s been firing out there.”[aside postID=science_1991866 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/03/CaliWeather318-1020x680.jpg']The extra feet of snow the storm could drop this weekend is good news for the snowpack, which cities and farms rely on as a frozen reservoir for water supplies as it melts into rivers, streams and reservoirs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This is a good average season for us,” Lacey said. “We can definitely expect a good amount of snow this weekend.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The storm anticipated to start Friday won’t be as intense as the snowfall that covered the Sierra in a thick blanket of white in early March. Still, National Weather Service meteorologist Sara Purdue encourages travelers to take extra precautions this weekend. [pullquote size=\"medium\" align=\"right\" citation=\"Sara Purdue, meteorologist, National Weather Service\"]‘It’s certainly not an unusual storm in terms of intensity, but make sure you have chains, snacks and warm clothes in case you have to pull over for a time.’[/pullquote]“It’s certainly not an unusual storm in terms of intensity, but make sure you have chains, snacks and warm clothes in case you have to pull over for a time,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Purdue forecasts thunderstorms at lower elevations and in the Bay Area, where the windy storm could drop as much as an inch-and-a-half of rain.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In positive news for building the snowpack, Purdue said a few more storms could bring more snow by the end of the month.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“While they don’t look like intense storms, we could see more rain, snow and wind,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"Bay Area residents heading to the mountains should exercise caution as forecasters warn of the first spring storm in the Sierra Nevada, which could bring multiple feet of snow.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1711131045,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":18,"wordCount":692},"headData":{"title":"California's Sierra Nevada Residents Prepare for Up to 3 Feet of Snow | KQED","description":"Bay Area residents heading to the mountains should exercise caution as forecasters warn of the first spring storm in the Sierra Nevada, which could bring multiple feet of snow.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":"","schema":{"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"Article","headline":"California's Sierra Nevada Residents Prepare for Up to 3 Feet of Snow","datePublished":"2024-03-21T19:39:25.000Z","dateModified":"2024-03-22T18:10:45.000Z","image":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/KQED-OG-Image@1x.png"}},"sticky":false,"excludeFromSiteSearch":"Include","articleAge":"0","path":"/science/1992018/californias-sierra-nevada-residents-prepare-for-up-to-3-feet-of-snow","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Jenelle Potvin loves running through a snowstorm to photograph its beauty.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Some of my footage made the NBC Nightly News,” she said of an early March storm that buried her home in multiple feet of snow, which her dogs loved. \u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"‘It’s been sunny and really enjoyable, but we’re looking forward to a little storm.’","name":"pullquote","attributes":{"named":{"size":"medium","align":"right","citation":"Jenelle Potvin, Truckee resident","label":""},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>She’s already preparing her home in Truckee for about 1 foot of snow meteorologists forecast for her neighborhood this weekend. The looming storm could drop up to 3 feet of snow over the crest of the Sierra Nevada.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When a storm is on its way, Potvin does three things: She cancels her plans, checks in with any Airbnb guests who rent out an extra room in her house and cleans all the dog poop from her yard so it doesn’t freeze under the snow.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Potvin is positively antsy for the storm to begin Friday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s been sunny and really enjoyable, but we’re looking forward to a little storm,” she said.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1764409708675473861"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>The first spring storm comes nearly three weeks after a cold weather pattern dropped more than 12 feet of snow across the Sierra. On Wednesday, the National Weather Service issued a winter storm watch for the Northern and Central Sierra.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Forecasters expect significant travel delays this weekend on major highways due to snow, icy roads and strong winds. But for outdoor adventurists, another storm is a chance to shred some powder.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We can cross-country ski or snowshoe right from our house if there’s enough snow,” Potvin said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Resorts like Palisades Tahoe, northwest of Lake Tahoe, are looking forward to more than 1 1/2 feet of snow this weekend, especially since the snow year started abysmal at best. In January, snow totals across the Sierra measured around 25% of the average, but now \u003ca href=\"https://cdec.water.ca.gov/snowapp/sweq.action\">are at 99% of the average for this time of year\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1770838903001321553"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>“We had an 8-foot storm that really put us over the top,” said Patrick Lacey, PR manager for Palisades Tahoe, remembering the early March storm that temporarily shut ski resorts down across the mountain range\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But as a result, he said, “the skiing is absolutely phenomenal. It’s been firing out there.”\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"aside","attributes":{"named":{"postid":"science_1991866","hero":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/03/CaliWeather318-1020x680.jpg","label":""},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>The extra feet of snow the storm could drop this weekend is good news for the snowpack, which cities and farms rely on as a frozen reservoir for water supplies as it melts into rivers, streams and reservoirs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This is a good average season for us,” Lacey said. “We can definitely expect a good amount of snow this weekend.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The storm anticipated to start Friday won’t be as intense as the snowfall that covered the Sierra in a thick blanket of white in early March. Still, National Weather Service meteorologist Sara Purdue encourages travelers to take extra precautions this weekend. \u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"‘It’s certainly not an unusual storm in terms of intensity, but make sure you have chains, snacks and warm clothes in case you have to pull over for a time.’","name":"pullquote","attributes":{"named":{"size":"medium","align":"right","citation":"Sara Purdue, meteorologist, National Weather Service","label":""},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“It’s certainly not an unusual storm in terms of intensity, but make sure you have chains, snacks and warm clothes in case you have to pull over for a time,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Purdue forecasts thunderstorms at lower elevations and in the Bay Area, where the windy storm could drop as much as an inch-and-a-half of rain.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In positive news for building the snowpack, Purdue said a few more storms could bring more snow by the end of the month.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“While they don’t look like intense storms, we could see more rain, snow and wind,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/1992018/californias-sierra-nevada-residents-prepare-for-up-to-3-feet-of-snow","authors":["11746"],"categories":["science_40","science_4450"],"tags":["science_5178","science_4417","science_4414","science_109","science_107","science_5250","science_5251","science_365"],"featImg":"science_1992024","label":"science"},"science_1991634":{"type":"posts","id":"science_1991634","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"science","id":"1991634","score":null,"sort":[1709313651000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"tahoe-braces-for-10-feet-of-snow-as-coldest-storm-in-years-approaches","title":"Sierra Braces for Peak of Severe Storm, With Over 10 Feet of Snow Possible","publishDate":1709313651,"format":"standard","headTitle":"Sierra Braces for Peak of Severe Storm, With Over 10 Feet of Snow Possible | KQED","labelTerm":{"site":"science"},"content":"\u003cp>\u003cem>Updated 9:30 a.m. Friday:\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The first wave of what the National Weather Service has said will be \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1991662/major-storm-dumps-snow-on-the-sierra-as-california-chases-an-average-snowpack\">the most extreme Sierra snowstorm in several years\u003c/a> is behind us, having moved over the mountain range Thursday evening.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But the snow kept flying overnight:\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/UCB_CSSL/status/1763607803846091132\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>An update posted at 3:40 am on Friday by \u003ca href=\"https://www.weather.gov/wrh/TextProduct?product=afdsto\">the National Weather Service’s Sacramento office \u003c/a>said that satellite imagery shows the next wave of this storm approaching the California coast, “which will bring another increase in precipitation by [Friday] afternoon along with a chance for thunderstorms.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The peak intensity of snowfall rates still appears on track for later this afternoon and overnight across the Sierra,” said the agency. Wind gusts will also increase on Friday, ripping at 45-55 mph through the Central Valley, and faster than 75 mph over mountain peaks.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Lower elevations in the region will now also see snow over the next two days. “Snow levels have lowered to around 3000 to 4500 feet, and will lower further to 1000 to 2000 feet Saturday,” the forecast said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Their core message with this storm has not changed: \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11937204/lake-tahoe-weather-forecast-road-conditions-snow-chains\">“Extremely dangerous to impossible mountain travel is expected.”\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Snow will come down at rates of 2 to 4+ inches per hour, which will close roads and produce white-out conditions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/CaltransDist3/status/1763590430711763136\u003c/p>\n\u003cp> \u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Palisades Tahoe announced Friday morning that it would close for the day, with other ski slopes including Heavenly Ski Resort, Northstar California Resort and Sugar Bowl Resort also partially closing their terrain.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Update Thursday 11:56 a.m.: \u003c/strong>\u003cbr>\nThe huge Sierra storm is here. The forecast from the National Weather Service’s Sacramento office remains largely unchanged, with meteorologists ringing all kinds of warning bells about a blizzard that they expect to be the most severe of the past few winters – one that will create “extremely dangerous to impossible” travel conditions from Thursday afternoon through Saturday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>By the weekend, snow will be accumulating as low as 1000 feet, which could mean snow cover on low-elevation foothill cities like Applegate and Colfax (and potentially on Bay Area peaks like Mount Diablo and Mount Tamalpais)\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Wind gusts will whip to 75 mph over the mountains, combining with heavy snowfall rates to create “near zero visibility at times” beginning on Thursday but especially on Friday and Saturday. The weather service continues to tell people not to drive in the Sierra during the storm.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/NWSSacramento/status/1763264372091359472\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The agency’s latest weather forecasts also mention the possibility of thunderstorms for interior Northern California on Friday and Saturday afternoon.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Hazards from any T-storms that develop will include additional gusty winds, small hail, brief heavy rain and lightning,” said the Sacramento office’s latest forecast discussion. “As far as rainfall goes, much of the Valley will likely see generally less than 1.50″ inches through Saturday night. The foothills will see 2–4 inches, and the mountains will see 4–8 inches with locally heavier amounts.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/UCB_CSSL/status/1763242540420223219?s=20\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cb>Original Story Feb. 28:\u003cbr>\n\u003c/b>\u003cbr>\nThe Sierra Nevada could receive more than 10 feet of snow over the next three days as a massive cold storm encapsulates Northern California, \u003ca href=\"https://www.weather.gov/sto/\">according to the National Weather Service\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This is probably the biggest snowstorm potential that we’ve had in the last three years and the coldest storm we’ve seen so far this winter,” NWS Sacramento meteorologist Craig Shoemaker said. “That time [in 2021], Highway 50 was closed for days. There were a lot of trees down from that system, and power was out for a long time.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meteorologists issued a rare blizzard warning from 4 a.m. Thursday until 10 a.m. Sunday and are warning of the possibility of zero visibility. They strongly advise people to only travel in the mountains once the storm clears. The agency also issued \u003ca href=\"https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2023-03-01/major-highways-and-roads-still-closed-in-lake-tahoe-due-to-blizzard-conditions\">a similar blizzard warning in late February last year, closing highways into Tahoe and an avalanche\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re expecting dangerous travel conditions, there are likely going to be highway closures, and there’s going to be whiteout conditions at times,” he said. “There should be no travel anywhere over the Sierra, heading in on Friday and Saturday.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/NWSSacramento/status/1762920427209547823?s=20\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The massive cold air mass is moving down the West Coast from the Gulf of Alaska. The agency forecasts “a tremendous amount of snow” and wind conditions of up to 50–80 miles per hour in the Sierra, which could down trees and power lines.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The storm will bring snowfall rates of 2 to 4 inches per hour at times,” said Courtney Carpenter, NWS Sacramento Warning Coordination Meteorologist. “It’s really going to pile up pretty quickly and make things nasty.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[pullquote align=\"right\" size=\"medium\" citation=\"Courtney Carpenter, warning coordination meteorologist, NWS Sacramento \"]‘The storm will bring snowfall rates of 2 to 4 inches per hour at times. It’s really going to pile up pretty quickly and make things nasty.’[/pullquote]Carpenter said snow conditions could drop to as low as 2,000 feet in foothill areas as the storm progresses.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For ski resorts like Heavenly in South Lake Tahoe, all the snow is great for business, and resort officials said they do not yet plan to close down. They advise visitors to either head up the mountain before the storm arrives or to follow travel advice from the weather service.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“A lot of the powder hounds are excited to get out there in the deep stuff and have those fresh tracks,” said Cole Zimmerman, communications manager with the resort. “With that being said, we do expect heavy winds. There’s a chance that some of those upper mountain lifts could be closed down because of winds that could reach up to 100 miles an hour.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Zimmerman said the resort is watching the storm closely and will close down when people’s safety is in jeopardy.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There’s such a thing as too much snow in the short term because you have to dig out lifts and chip off snow and ice off those lifts,” he said. “But in the long term, it ends up being a good thing.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/US_Stormwatch/status/1762577660528787576?s=20\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>What will 10+ feet of snow do for the state’s snowpack?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>While the potential of 10 to 12 feet of snow holds much promise for the snowpack, Andrew Schwartz, lead scientist at the UC Berkeley Central Sierra Snow Lab, said weather models have routinely overestimated snow and rain levels this water year. He expects 7 to 9 feet of snow across the Sierra.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside label=\"Related Stories\" postID=\"news_11937204,news_11972590,science_1991522\"]“They’ve been overdoing it with expected amounts of precipitation all season and that makes us a little bit weary to throw big numbers out there,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For people who live in the Sierra or are visitors, Schwartz recommends buying three to five days’ worth of supplies, including food, water and flashlights. He said the best option is to hunker down in place once the cold winter storm hits.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Preparing for these storms is akin to preparing for a hurricane,” he said. “People living here are putting plywood on their windows to prevent the snow from shedding off their roofs and shattering them.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Schwartz said all this snow could bring the snowpack to just at or above average for the year. \u003ca href=\"https://cdec.water.ca.gov/snowapp/sweq.action\">At the moment, the snowpack is 71% of the April 1 average\u003c/a>, which is the timeframe water managers look to as an indicator of potential water supply for the rest of the year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Even if we got 10 to 12 feet of snow, we would still need another 2 to 4 feet to get us to the average for the entire year,” he said. “It’s not likely to be one-storm-that-fixes-all type of thing. But with that being said, it’ll definitely get us very close to that point.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Thunderstorm potential, Bay Area snow, and more\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The storm has about a 20% chance of creating thunderstorms over the foothill and the Sacramento Valley that could contain hail and lightning. Flooding risk is minimal because of the cold nature of the storm, but local nuisance flooding is possible.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Bay Area peaks like Mount Diablo and Mount Hamilton could glow white as the sizable cold storm passes over the region starting Thursday and lasting through Saturday, according to the National Weather Service.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Snow levels look like they’re going to get down to about 1,800 to 2,000 feet,” NWS Bay Area meteorologist Dalton Behringer said. “It should be a nice site with green hills and snow-capped mountains.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/NWSBayArea/status/1762826680366969298?s=20\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Behringer said the storm could drop up to an inch of rain in most parts of the Bay Area. Coastal mountains could receive a few inches of rain, and nuisance flooding could occur.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re just going to be dealing with cold rain and cloudy, dreary conditions,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said wind gusts could top out around 40 miles per hour across the region, and the agency has issued a high surf warning along the coast with waves of up to 15 feet.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When the storm passed over Northern California, Schwartz said there were “hints” that there could be another storm in a week to 10 days after the storm.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“As far as one storm after the other coming through, that’s probably somewhat unlikely,” he said. “But maybe the occasional big storm weeks apart is still very much in the cards as we move forward.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"The National Weather Service is telling people not to travel in the mountains due to blizzard conditions.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1709321008,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":41,"wordCount":1696},"headData":{"title":"Sierra Braces for Peak of Severe Storm, With Over 10 Feet of Snow Possible | KQED","description":"The National Weather Service is telling people not to travel in the mountains due to blizzard conditions.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":"","schema":{"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"Article","headline":"Sierra Braces for Peak of Severe Storm, With Over 10 Feet of Snow Possible","datePublished":"2024-03-01T17:20:51.000Z","dateModified":"2024-03-01T19:23:28.000Z","image":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/KQED-OG-Image@1x.png"}},"sticky":false,"excludeFromSiteSearch":"Include","articleAge":"0","path":"/science/1991634/tahoe-braces-for-10-feet-of-snow-as-coldest-storm-in-years-approaches","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003cem>Updated 9:30 a.m. Friday:\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The first wave of what the National Weather Service has said will be \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1991662/major-storm-dumps-snow-on-the-sierra-as-california-chases-an-average-snowpack\">the most extreme Sierra snowstorm in several years\u003c/a> is behind us, having moved over the mountain range Thursday evening.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But the snow kept flying overnight:\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1763607803846091132"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>An update posted at 3:40 am on Friday by \u003ca href=\"https://www.weather.gov/wrh/TextProduct?product=afdsto\">the National Weather Service’s Sacramento office \u003c/a>said that satellite imagery shows the next wave of this storm approaching the California coast, “which will bring another increase in precipitation by [Friday] afternoon along with a chance for thunderstorms.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The peak intensity of snowfall rates still appears on track for later this afternoon and overnight across the Sierra,” said the agency. Wind gusts will also increase on Friday, ripping at 45-55 mph through the Central Valley, and faster than 75 mph over mountain peaks.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Lower elevations in the region will now also see snow over the next two days. “Snow levels have lowered to around 3000 to 4500 feet, and will lower further to 1000 to 2000 feet Saturday,” the forecast said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Their core message with this storm has not changed: \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11937204/lake-tahoe-weather-forecast-road-conditions-snow-chains\">“Extremely dangerous to impossible mountain travel is expected.”\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Snow will come down at rates of 2 to 4+ inches per hour, which will close roads and produce white-out conditions.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1763590430711763136"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp> \u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Palisades Tahoe announced Friday morning that it would close for the day, with other ski slopes including Heavenly Ski Resort, Northstar California Resort and Sugar Bowl Resort also partially closing their terrain.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Update Thursday 11:56 a.m.: \u003c/strong>\u003cbr>\nThe huge Sierra storm is here. The forecast from the National Weather Service’s Sacramento office remains largely unchanged, with meteorologists ringing all kinds of warning bells about a blizzard that they expect to be the most severe of the past few winters – one that will create “extremely dangerous to impossible” travel conditions from Thursday afternoon through Saturday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>By the weekend, snow will be accumulating as low as 1000 feet, which could mean snow cover on low-elevation foothill cities like Applegate and Colfax (and potentially on Bay Area peaks like Mount Diablo and Mount Tamalpais)\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Wind gusts will whip to 75 mph over the mountains, combining with heavy snowfall rates to create “near zero visibility at times” beginning on Thursday but especially on Friday and Saturday. The weather service continues to tell people not to drive in the Sierra during the storm.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1763264372091359472"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>The agency’s latest weather forecasts also mention the possibility of thunderstorms for interior Northern California on Friday and Saturday afternoon.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Hazards from any T-storms that develop will include additional gusty winds, small hail, brief heavy rain and lightning,” said the Sacramento office’s latest forecast discussion. “As far as rainfall goes, much of the Valley will likely see generally less than 1.50″ inches through Saturday night. The foothills will see 2–4 inches, and the mountains will see 4–8 inches with locally heavier amounts.”\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1763242540420223219"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>\u003cb>Original Story Feb. 28:\u003cbr>\n\u003c/b>\u003cbr>\nThe Sierra Nevada could receive more than 10 feet of snow over the next three days as a massive cold storm encapsulates Northern California, \u003ca href=\"https://www.weather.gov/sto/\">according to the National Weather Service\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This is probably the biggest snowstorm potential that we’ve had in the last three years and the coldest storm we’ve seen so far this winter,” NWS Sacramento meteorologist Craig Shoemaker said. “That time [in 2021], Highway 50 was closed for days. There were a lot of trees down from that system, and power was out for a long time.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meteorologists issued a rare blizzard warning from 4 a.m. Thursday until 10 a.m. Sunday and are warning of the possibility of zero visibility. They strongly advise people to only travel in the mountains once the storm clears. The agency also issued \u003ca href=\"https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2023-03-01/major-highways-and-roads-still-closed-in-lake-tahoe-due-to-blizzard-conditions\">a similar blizzard warning in late February last year, closing highways into Tahoe and an avalanche\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re expecting dangerous travel conditions, there are likely going to be highway closures, and there’s going to be whiteout conditions at times,” he said. “There should be no travel anywhere over the Sierra, heading in on Friday and Saturday.”\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1762920427209547823"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>The massive cold air mass is moving down the West Coast from the Gulf of Alaska. The agency forecasts “a tremendous amount of snow” and wind conditions of up to 50–80 miles per hour in the Sierra, which could down trees and power lines.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The storm will bring snowfall rates of 2 to 4 inches per hour at times,” said Courtney Carpenter, NWS Sacramento Warning Coordination Meteorologist. “It’s really going to pile up pretty quickly and make things nasty.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"‘The storm will bring snowfall rates of 2 to 4 inches per hour at times. It’s really going to pile up pretty quickly and make things nasty.’","name":"pullquote","attributes":{"named":{"align":"right","size":"medium","citation":"Courtney Carpenter, warning coordination meteorologist, NWS Sacramento ","label":""},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Carpenter said snow conditions could drop to as low as 2,000 feet in foothill areas as the storm progresses.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For ski resorts like Heavenly in South Lake Tahoe, all the snow is great for business, and resort officials said they do not yet plan to close down. They advise visitors to either head up the mountain before the storm arrives or to follow travel advice from the weather service.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“A lot of the powder hounds are excited to get out there in the deep stuff and have those fresh tracks,” said Cole Zimmerman, communications manager with the resort. “With that being said, we do expect heavy winds. There’s a chance that some of those upper mountain lifts could be closed down because of winds that could reach up to 100 miles an hour.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Zimmerman said the resort is watching the storm closely and will close down when people’s safety is in jeopardy.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There’s such a thing as too much snow in the short term because you have to dig out lifts and chip off snow and ice off those lifts,” he said. “But in the long term, it ends up being a good thing.”\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1762577660528787576"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003ch2>What will 10+ feet of snow do for the state’s snowpack?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>While the potential of 10 to 12 feet of snow holds much promise for the snowpack, Andrew Schwartz, lead scientist at the UC Berkeley Central Sierra Snow Lab, said weather models have routinely overestimated snow and rain levels this water year. He expects 7 to 9 feet of snow across the Sierra.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"aside","attributes":{"named":{"label":"Related Stories ","postid":"news_11937204,news_11972590,science_1991522"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“They’ve been overdoing it with expected amounts of precipitation all season and that makes us a little bit weary to throw big numbers out there,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For people who live in the Sierra or are visitors, Schwartz recommends buying three to five days’ worth of supplies, including food, water and flashlights. He said the best option is to hunker down in place once the cold winter storm hits.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Preparing for these storms is akin to preparing for a hurricane,” he said. “People living here are putting plywood on their windows to prevent the snow from shedding off their roofs and shattering them.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Schwartz said all this snow could bring the snowpack to just at or above average for the year. \u003ca href=\"https://cdec.water.ca.gov/snowapp/sweq.action\">At the moment, the snowpack is 71% of the April 1 average\u003c/a>, which is the timeframe water managers look to as an indicator of potential water supply for the rest of the year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Even if we got 10 to 12 feet of snow, we would still need another 2 to 4 feet to get us to the average for the entire year,” he said. “It’s not likely to be one-storm-that-fixes-all type of thing. But with that being said, it’ll definitely get us very close to that point.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Thunderstorm potential, Bay Area snow, and more\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The storm has about a 20% chance of creating thunderstorms over the foothill and the Sacramento Valley that could contain hail and lightning. Flooding risk is minimal because of the cold nature of the storm, but local nuisance flooding is possible.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Bay Area peaks like Mount Diablo and Mount Hamilton could glow white as the sizable cold storm passes over the region starting Thursday and lasting through Saturday, according to the National Weather Service.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Snow levels look like they’re going to get down to about 1,800 to 2,000 feet,” NWS Bay Area meteorologist Dalton Behringer said. “It should be a nice site with green hills and snow-capped mountains.”\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1762826680366969298"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>Behringer said the storm could drop up to an inch of rain in most parts of the Bay Area. Coastal mountains could receive a few inches of rain, and nuisance flooding could occur.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re just going to be dealing with cold rain and cloudy, dreary conditions,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said wind gusts could top out around 40 miles per hour across the region, and the agency has issued a high surf warning along the coast with waves of up to 15 feet.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When the storm passed over Northern California, Schwartz said there were “hints” that there could be another storm in a week to 10 days after the storm.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“As far as one storm after the other coming through, that’s probably somewhat unlikely,” he said. “But maybe the occasional big storm weeks apart is still very much in the cards as we move forward.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"floatright"},"numeric":["floatright"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/1991634/tahoe-braces-for-10-feet-of-snow-as-coldest-storm-in-years-approaches","authors":["11746","11608"],"categories":["science_35","science_40","science_4450"],"tags":["science_4417","science_4414","science_107","science_1127","science_5250","science_5251"],"featImg":"science_1991646","label":"science"},"science_1991417":{"type":"posts","id":"science_1991417","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"science","id":"1991417","score":null,"sort":[1708129041000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"bay-area-braces-for-multiple-storms-sierra-nevada-snowfall-threat","title":"Holiday Weekend Storms On Tap Could Bring Flooding to the Bay Area","publishDate":1708129041,"format":"standard","headTitle":"Holiday Weekend Storms On Tap Could Bring Flooding to the Bay Area | KQED","labelTerm":{"site":"science"},"content":"\u003cp>\u003ci>Updated, 1 p.m. Sunday:\u003c/i>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A strong storm with heavy rain is expected to hit the Bay Area around midday and continue through the night. According to the National Weather Service, strong winds that could knock down trees, a high surf, thunderstorms and potential flooding will last through Monday with conditions improving to lingering showers on Tuesday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The atmospheric river could bring two to five inches of rain to some Bay Area cities on Sunday afternoon and a flood watch will be in effect until Wednesday morning. In anticipation of potential landslides and other storm hazards, some parks in San Mateo County including Memorial Park have closed on Sunday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/NWSBayArea/status/1759301577851211845\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ci>Updated, 1 p.m. Saturday:\u003c/i>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As the first of two moderate atmospheric rivers begin to roll over the region, the National Weather Service has issued a flood watch for the Bay Area and the Central Coast from Sunday through Wednesday morning. The advisory includes concerns about rising creeks, rivers and streams and the increased risk of shallow landslides.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A \u003ca href=\"https://www.weather.gov/mtr/\">high surf advisory \u003c/a>has been issued by the National Weather Service’s Bay Area office for all West-facing beaches from Sonoma County down to Monterey County. The high surf advisory will be in effect from 10 a.m. Saturday through 4 p.m. Sunday, with large breaking waves of 18 to 22 feet expected.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/NWSBayArea/status/1758558171214537121\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Dalton Behringer, a meteorologist with the weather service’s Bay Area office, said Saturday’s storm is “priming the pump” for potential flooding later in the weekend and into early next week. He said most parts of the Bay Area should expect between 1 and 3 inches of rain, and 6 to 8 inches could fall in coastal mountain ranges near Santa Cruz and Marin counties.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That’s going to help the soils get closer to saturation if they’re not already, and we will likely be dealing with numerous shallow landslides and minor urban flooding,” he said. “I would expect some trees down and power outages due to the wind.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said Saturday’s storm could contain wind gusts of up to 30 mph, and Sunday’s storm could have gusts of up to 35 mph along the coast and higher elevations. However, stronger lowland winds are possible in the Santa Clara and Salinas valleys.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Behringer said he is most concerned about the Russian River near Guerneville because meteorologists forecast the North Bay to receive more rain than most places in the region. He said the Russian River has a 20% chance of reaching a lower flood stage.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>UCLA climate scientist Daniel Swain said the Bay Area “could be under the gun for a good 24 to 48 hours.” He is concerned that either storm could stall over an already saturated area.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If you get those embedded heavy rain bands that stay over the same spot for a long time, that relatively modest storm by other means can potentially produce significant flooding,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/CW3E_Scripps/status/1758616085035888784\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Update, 2 p.m. Thursday: \u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meteorologists are now forecasting two moderate atmospheric river storms will move over the Bay Area and into the Sierra Nevada over President’s Day Weekend, beginning with a weaker storm late Friday night. The first deluge could drop an inch of rain in populated areas of the region and up to 3 inches in the coastal range.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The second one is coming on the heels of the first one,” said Chad Hecht, a meteorologist at the Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes at the University of California, San Diego’s Scripps Institution of Oceanography.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“When you compound these storms, you tend to get a more exacerbated hydrologic response. Things like the ground saturated and heavy winds toppling trees.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Hecht said the first storm would last about 24 hours and is forecasted to land in Northern California before working down the central coast. Forecasters expect Sunday’s storm to linger a few days and make landfall along the Central Coast, but Hecht said the Bay could still feel its effects because of the storm’s large size.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service’s Bay Area office forecasts high surf Saturday and Sunday with waves of 12 feet or larger from Monterey County to the San Francisco peninsula to the North Bay.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We could see locally higher breaking waves up to 28 feet,” NWS meteorologist Dalton Behringer said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The west and southwest-facing beaches are going to be the most impacted,” he said. “The typical hotspots like Mavericks.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said both storms could bring wind gusts up to 40 mph along the coast and in more populated areas up to 35 mph. Behringer doesn’t expect extreme flooding since he forecasts the storms will occur over several days.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re going to be looking at minor, shallow landslides for much of the area,” he said. “The good news is that rivers still have quite a bit of capacity to take the runoff.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Behringer said the highest likelihood of any flooding issues due to streams or rivers rising is in the North Bay. But Hecht, with Scripps, said it is too early to tell where the worst storm effects will be.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There is potential for some rivers to rise above flood stage with these storms,” Hecht said. “The exact location of where the heaviest precipitation will fall or what rivers will flood is hard to nail down, but the potential is there.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meteorologists forecast as much as 3 feet of snow falling on the Sierra Nevada between storms. The worst of the wintery conditions could come Sunday through Tuesday morning, coinciding with President’s Day this weekend.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/NWSSacramento/status/1758242277581783100\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If you’re planning on traveling Monday into Tuesday, we would advise against it because that’s when we are expecting heavy mountain snow,” said Chelsea Peters, an NWS Sacramento meteorologist.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Original story, Feb. 13:\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service forecasts three storms of varying intensities will roll through the Bay Area this week, starting with a relatively weak storm on Wednesday that could include some light rain, followed by a couple of stronger storms during the long President’s Day weekend.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Forecasters expect three-quarters of an inch of rain across most of the region on Wednesday, with more than an inch expected to fall in the North Bay and Santa Cruz mountains. Over the weekend through early next week, NWS Bay Area meteorologist Roger Gass said as much as 6 inches of rain could fall along the coastal range. San Francisco could receive 2.5 inches of rain.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[pullquote size=\"medium\" align=\"right\" citation=\"Nathan Rick, meteorologist, NWS Sacramento\"]‘If you plan to travel, just be prepared for possible closures, chain controls and difficult driving conditions.’[/pullquote]While those numbers seem high, Gass cautioned that “we’re talking about [over] the course of several days. So it’s not all going to come at one time.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That could mean that the impact of the storm won’t be as extreme, although just how intense Sunday’s storm will be is still up in the air.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re still trying to fine-tune the details, but, again, it’s not expected to be as strong as the last system,” Gass said of the storm a week and a half ago that pounded the region with rain.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/NWSBayArea/status/1757498765068607873?s=20\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The three storms combined could add several feet of snow to the Sierra Nevada, and meteorologists advise holiday travelers to take extra precautions when visiting places like Tahoe or Yosemite National Park.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meteorologists expect significant snow to fall on the Sierra Saturday through Tuesday morning, with as much as 3 feet of snow at higher elevations. The storms coincide with the holiday weekend, and forecasters warn that getting out of the mountains on Monday could be a harrowing experience.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=\"science_1991123,science_1985890,science_1991249\" label=\"Related Stories\"]“If you plan to travel, just be prepared for possible closures, chain controls and difficult driving conditions,” said Nathan Rick, a meteorologist with NWS Sacramento. “Definitely have some alternative plans in place again if you can.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The storms aren’t quite atmospheric rivers — which can dump multiple inches of rain over a short period — but have some characteristics of these storms, mainly that the storms could encompass much of the state.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s going to be probably more or less an equal opportunity event,” UCLA climate scientist Daniel Swain said in a Monday briefing. “It’s going to affect most of the state simultaneously.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Swain said the weekend storms could produce “very wet conditions across most of the state.” He adds there’s a possibility of strong winds, “although almost certainly not as strong as what we saw last week in terms of wind” when gusts reached more than 90 mph in some places.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The trio of storms could bring flooding and landslides, especially as each deluge intensifies into next week. Swain said there could be flood concerns in Northern California because recent storms saturated much of the region.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The difference is this one is coming fairly close on the heels of the previous very wet storm cycle,” he said. “It is now wet enough that a big storm cycle is going to start to result in larger flood-related impacts and the higher risk of landslides because the soil column is starting to become saturated at a deeper level.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the Bay Area, meteorologists forecast nuisance flooding in local streams and drainages but not necessarily major rivers.\u003c/p>\n\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"The National Weather Service forecasts intensifying rain over the Bay Area and snow in the Sierra during President’s Day weekend. A high surf advisory has been issued along the coast through Sunday evening.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1708290599,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":43,"wordCount":1681},"headData":{"title":"Holiday Weekend Storms On Tap Could Bring Flooding to the Bay Area | KQED","description":"The National Weather Service forecasts intensifying rain over the Bay Area and snow in the Sierra during President’s Day weekend. A high surf advisory has been issued along the coast through Sunday evening.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":"","schema":{"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"Article","headline":"Holiday Weekend Storms On Tap Could Bring Flooding to the Bay Area","datePublished":"2024-02-17T00:17:21.000Z","dateModified":"2024-02-18T21:09:59.000Z","image":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/KQED-OG-Image@1x.png"}},"sticky":false,"excludeFromSiteSearch":"Include","articleAge":"0","path":"/science/1991417/bay-area-braces-for-multiple-storms-sierra-nevada-snowfall-threat","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003ci>Updated, 1 p.m. Sunday:\u003c/i>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A strong storm with heavy rain is expected to hit the Bay Area around midday and continue through the night. According to the National Weather Service, strong winds that could knock down trees, a high surf, thunderstorms and potential flooding will last through Monday with conditions improving to lingering showers on Tuesday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The atmospheric river could bring two to five inches of rain to some Bay Area cities on Sunday afternoon and a flood watch will be in effect until Wednesday morning. In anticipation of potential landslides and other storm hazards, some parks in San Mateo County including Memorial Park have closed on Sunday.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1759301577851211845"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>\u003ci>Updated, 1 p.m. Saturday:\u003c/i>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As the first of two moderate atmospheric rivers begin to roll over the region, the National Weather Service has issued a flood watch for the Bay Area and the Central Coast from Sunday through Wednesday morning. The advisory includes concerns about rising creeks, rivers and streams and the increased risk of shallow landslides.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A \u003ca href=\"https://www.weather.gov/mtr/\">high surf advisory \u003c/a>has been issued by the National Weather Service’s Bay Area office for all West-facing beaches from Sonoma County down to Monterey County. The high surf advisory will be in effect from 10 a.m. Saturday through 4 p.m. Sunday, with large breaking waves of 18 to 22 feet expected.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1758558171214537121"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>Dalton Behringer, a meteorologist with the weather service’s Bay Area office, said Saturday’s storm is “priming the pump” for potential flooding later in the weekend and into early next week. He said most parts of the Bay Area should expect between 1 and 3 inches of rain, and 6 to 8 inches could fall in coastal mountain ranges near Santa Cruz and Marin counties.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That’s going to help the soils get closer to saturation if they’re not already, and we will likely be dealing with numerous shallow landslides and minor urban flooding,” he said. “I would expect some trees down and power outages due to the wind.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said Saturday’s storm could contain wind gusts of up to 30 mph, and Sunday’s storm could have gusts of up to 35 mph along the coast and higher elevations. However, stronger lowland winds are possible in the Santa Clara and Salinas valleys.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Behringer said he is most concerned about the Russian River near Guerneville because meteorologists forecast the North Bay to receive more rain than most places in the region. He said the Russian River has a 20% chance of reaching a lower flood stage.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>UCLA climate scientist Daniel Swain said the Bay Area “could be under the gun for a good 24 to 48 hours.” He is concerned that either storm could stall over an already saturated area.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If you get those embedded heavy rain bands that stay over the same spot for a long time, that relatively modest storm by other means can potentially produce significant flooding,” he said.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1758616085035888784"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Update, 2 p.m. Thursday: \u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meteorologists are now forecasting two moderate atmospheric river storms will move over the Bay Area and into the Sierra Nevada over President’s Day Weekend, beginning with a weaker storm late Friday night. The first deluge could drop an inch of rain in populated areas of the region and up to 3 inches in the coastal range.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The second one is coming on the heels of the first one,” said Chad Hecht, a meteorologist at the Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes at the University of California, San Diego’s Scripps Institution of Oceanography.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“When you compound these storms, you tend to get a more exacerbated hydrologic response. Things like the ground saturated and heavy winds toppling trees.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Hecht said the first storm would last about 24 hours and is forecasted to land in Northern California before working down the central coast. Forecasters expect Sunday’s storm to linger a few days and make landfall along the Central Coast, but Hecht said the Bay could still feel its effects because of the storm’s large size.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service’s Bay Area office forecasts high surf Saturday and Sunday with waves of 12 feet or larger from Monterey County to the San Francisco peninsula to the North Bay.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We could see locally higher breaking waves up to 28 feet,” NWS meteorologist Dalton Behringer said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The west and southwest-facing beaches are going to be the most impacted,” he said. “The typical hotspots like Mavericks.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said both storms could bring wind gusts up to 40 mph along the coast and in more populated areas up to 35 mph. Behringer doesn’t expect extreme flooding since he forecasts the storms will occur over several days.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re going to be looking at minor, shallow landslides for much of the area,” he said. “The good news is that rivers still have quite a bit of capacity to take the runoff.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Behringer said the highest likelihood of any flooding issues due to streams or rivers rising is in the North Bay. But Hecht, with Scripps, said it is too early to tell where the worst storm effects will be.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There is potential for some rivers to rise above flood stage with these storms,” Hecht said. “The exact location of where the heaviest precipitation will fall or what rivers will flood is hard to nail down, but the potential is there.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meteorologists forecast as much as 3 feet of snow falling on the Sierra Nevada between storms. The worst of the wintery conditions could come Sunday through Tuesday morning, coinciding with President’s Day this weekend.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1758242277581783100"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>“If you’re planning on traveling Monday into Tuesday, we would advise against it because that’s when we are expecting heavy mountain snow,” said Chelsea Peters, an NWS Sacramento meteorologist.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Original story, Feb. 13:\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service forecasts three storms of varying intensities will roll through the Bay Area this week, starting with a relatively weak storm on Wednesday that could include some light rain, followed by a couple of stronger storms during the long President’s Day weekend.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Forecasters expect three-quarters of an inch of rain across most of the region on Wednesday, with more than an inch expected to fall in the North Bay and Santa Cruz mountains. Over the weekend through early next week, NWS Bay Area meteorologist Roger Gass said as much as 6 inches of rain could fall along the coastal range. San Francisco could receive 2.5 inches of rain.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"‘If you plan to travel, just be prepared for possible closures, chain controls and difficult driving conditions.’","name":"pullquote","attributes":{"named":{"size":"medium","align":"right","citation":"Nathan Rick, meteorologist, NWS Sacramento","label":""},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>While those numbers seem high, Gass cautioned that “we’re talking about [over] the course of several days. So it’s not all going to come at one time.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That could mean that the impact of the storm won’t be as extreme, although just how intense Sunday’s storm will be is still up in the air.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re still trying to fine-tune the details, but, again, it’s not expected to be as strong as the last system,” Gass said of the storm a week and a half ago that pounded the region with rain.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1757498765068607873"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>The three storms combined could add several feet of snow to the Sierra Nevada, and meteorologists advise holiday travelers to take extra precautions when visiting places like Tahoe or Yosemite National Park.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meteorologists expect significant snow to fall on the Sierra Saturday through Tuesday morning, with as much as 3 feet of snow at higher elevations. The storms coincide with the holiday weekend, and forecasters warn that getting out of the mountains on Monday could be a harrowing experience.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"aside","attributes":{"named":{"postid":"science_1991123,science_1985890,science_1991249","label":"Related Stories "},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“If you plan to travel, just be prepared for possible closures, chain controls and difficult driving conditions,” said Nathan Rick, a meteorologist with NWS Sacramento. “Definitely have some alternative plans in place again if you can.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The storms aren’t quite atmospheric rivers — which can dump multiple inches of rain over a short period — but have some characteristics of these storms, mainly that the storms could encompass much of the state.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s going to be probably more or less an equal opportunity event,” UCLA climate scientist Daniel Swain said in a Monday briefing. “It’s going to affect most of the state simultaneously.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Swain said the weekend storms could produce “very wet conditions across most of the state.” He adds there’s a possibility of strong winds, “although almost certainly not as strong as what we saw last week in terms of wind” when gusts reached more than 90 mph in some places.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The trio of storms could bring flooding and landslides, especially as each deluge intensifies into next week. Swain said there could be flood concerns in Northern California because recent storms saturated much of the region.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The difference is this one is coming fairly close on the heels of the previous very wet storm cycle,” he said. “It is now wet enough that a big storm cycle is going to start to result in larger flood-related impacts and the higher risk of landslides because the soil column is starting to become saturated at a deeper level.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"floatright"},"numeric":["floatright"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the Bay Area, meteorologists forecast nuisance flooding in local streams and drainages but not necessarily major rivers.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/1991417/bay-area-braces-for-multiple-storms-sierra-nevada-snowfall-threat","authors":["11746"],"categories":["science_35","science_40","science_4450"],"tags":["science_4417","science_1213","science_107","science_2878"],"featImg":"science_1991292","label":"science"},"science_1991249":{"type":"posts","id":"science_1991249","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"science","id":"1991249","score":null,"sort":[1706572828000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"north-bay-expecting-heavy-rains-swelling-rivers-possible-flooding","title":"North Bay Expecting Heavy Rains, Swelling Rivers, Possible Flooding","publishDate":1706572828,"format":"standard","headTitle":"North Bay Expecting Heavy Rains, Swelling Rivers, Possible Flooding | KQED","labelTerm":{"site":"science"},"content":"\u003cp>\u003cem>Update 11:50 a.m. Tuesday\u003cbr>\n\u003c/em>\u003cbr>\nA major storm boosted by an atmospheric river remains on track to hit Northern California beginning early Wednesday morning and lasting through Thursday morning.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service’s Bay Area office has issued a flood watch for the region from 4 a.m. Wednesday through 4 a.m. Friday, as well as a wind advisory from 4 a.m. Wednesday until 4 a.m. Thursday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Santa Cruz and Santa Lucia mountains are under a high wind warning during that same time period.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/NWSBayArea/status/1752310020627423738\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Weather Service also adjusted its forecast to reflect that the “likelihood of reaching flood stage at mainstem rivers across the North Bay has increased to a 30-50% chance at the Russian River at Guerneville, the Napa River at Saint Helena, and the Napa River at Napa.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>They also said that a “15-35% chance of reaching flood stage remains for the Russian River at Healdsburg in the North Bay and the San Lorenzo River at Big Trees in Santa Cruz County.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/NWSBayArea/status/1751951669846577417\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Original story continues: \u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>On Wednesday, the main front of a storm will move through the Bay Area, bringing heavy rains, strong winds and possible flooding in the North Bay.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The heaviest rain is expected between 10 a.m. and 10 p.m. Wednesday. Scattered showers will continue throughout the rest of the week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service recently adjusted its forecast — and now predicts the storm system will move through the region slower than initially expected. The storm could drop between 4 and 6 inches on the coastal mountains on Wednesday and 2 and 4 elsewhere across the Bay. The city of San Francisco is expected to receive up to 3 inches.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The main stem of the Russian River at Guerneville has a 30% chance of rising above the minor flood stage between Thursday and Saturday. Some localized creeks and waterways, such as the Laguna de Santa Rosa at Stony Point Road in Cotati, may also rise above their banks. Other roadside flooding is likely.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/NWSBayArea/status/1751951669846577417?s=20\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re also looking at some slight potential for landslides due to how saturated the soils are,” said Rachel Kennedy, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>High winds may bring down trees and electrical lines, causing power outages. Wind-blown debris may clutter roadways. The Weather Service forecasts peak gusts throughout the Bay Area at 30–40 miles per hour and isolated gusts up to 50 miles per hour on the coast and ridges.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/CW3E_Scripps/status/1751008081486758049?s=20\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the Sierra Nevada, the Weather Service has issued a winter storm watch between Wednesday morning and Friday morning. Snow may accumulate between 1 and 2 feet and up to 3 feet on mountain peaks. Winds may gust up to 50–60 miles per hour.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Travel might be difficult, as chains could be needed or roads closed.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>KQED’s Kevin Stark contributed to this report. \u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"The North Bay can expect heavy rains, strong winds and possible flooding as the main front of a storm moves through the Bay Area on Wednesday. ","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1706644071,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":17,"wordCount":522},"headData":{"title":"North Bay Expecting Heavy Rains, Swelling Rivers, Possible Flooding | KQED","description":"The North Bay can expect heavy rains, strong winds and possible flooding as the main front of a storm moves through the Bay Area on Wednesday. ","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":"","schema":{"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"Article","headline":"North Bay Expecting Heavy Rains, Swelling Rivers, Possible Flooding","datePublished":"2024-01-30T00:00:28.000Z","dateModified":"2024-01-30T19:47:51.000Z","image":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/KQED-OG-Image@1x.png"}},"sticky":false,"excludeFromSiteSearch":"Include","articleAge":"0","path":"/science/1991249/north-bay-expecting-heavy-rains-swelling-rivers-possible-flooding","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003cem>Update 11:50 a.m. Tuesday\u003cbr>\n\u003c/em>\u003cbr>\nA major storm boosted by an atmospheric river remains on track to hit Northern California beginning early Wednesday morning and lasting through Thursday morning.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service’s Bay Area office has issued a flood watch for the region from 4 a.m. Wednesday through 4 a.m. Friday, as well as a wind advisory from 4 a.m. Wednesday until 4 a.m. Thursday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Santa Cruz and Santa Lucia mountains are under a high wind warning during that same time period.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1752310020627423738"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>The Weather Service also adjusted its forecast to reflect that the “likelihood of reaching flood stage at mainstem rivers across the North Bay has increased to a 30-50% chance at the Russian River at Guerneville, the Napa River at Saint Helena, and the Napa River at Napa.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>They also said that a “15-35% chance of reaching flood stage remains for the Russian River at Healdsburg in the North Bay and the San Lorenzo River at Big Trees in Santa Cruz County.”\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1751951669846577417"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Original story continues: \u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>On Wednesday, the main front of a storm will move through the Bay Area, bringing heavy rains, strong winds and possible flooding in the North Bay.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The heaviest rain is expected between 10 a.m. and 10 p.m. Wednesday. Scattered showers will continue throughout the rest of the week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service recently adjusted its forecast — and now predicts the storm system will move through the region slower than initially expected. The storm could drop between 4 and 6 inches on the coastal mountains on Wednesday and 2 and 4 elsewhere across the Bay. The city of San Francisco is expected to receive up to 3 inches.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The main stem of the Russian River at Guerneville has a 30% chance of rising above the minor flood stage between Thursday and Saturday. Some localized creeks and waterways, such as the Laguna de Santa Rosa at Stony Point Road in Cotati, may also rise above their banks. Other roadside flooding is likely.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1751951669846577417"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>“We’re also looking at some slight potential for landslides due to how saturated the soils are,” said Rachel Kennedy, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>High winds may bring down trees and electrical lines, causing power outages. Wind-blown debris may clutter roadways. The Weather Service forecasts peak gusts throughout the Bay Area at 30–40 miles per hour and isolated gusts up to 50 miles per hour on the coast and ridges.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1751008081486758049"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>In the Sierra Nevada, the Weather Service has issued a winter storm watch between Wednesday morning and Friday morning. Snow may accumulate between 1 and 2 feet and up to 3 feet on mountain peaks. Winds may gust up to 50–60 miles per hour.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Travel might be difficult, as chains could be needed or roads closed.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>KQED’s Kevin Stark contributed to this report. \u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/1991249/north-bay-expecting-heavy-rains-swelling-rivers-possible-flooding","authors":["11088"],"categories":["science_40","science_4450"],"tags":["science_2227","science_4414","science_1213","science_107","science_2878"],"featImg":"science_1991251","label":"science"},"science_1984894":{"type":"posts","id":"science_1984894","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"science","id":"1984894","score":null,"sort":[1698177851000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"snow-forecast-sierra-california","title":"First Significant Snow to Arrive in the Sierra This Week","publishDate":1698177851,"format":"standard","headTitle":"First Significant Snow to Arrive in the Sierra This Week | KQED","labelTerm":{"site":"science"},"content":"\u003cp>\u003cem>Updated 1:55 p.m. Tuesday\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service is forecasting the first significant snow of the season later this week in the Sierra Nevada \u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">—\u003c/span> with \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11937204/lake-tahoe-weather-forecast-road-conditions-snow-chains\">a pair of storms\u003c/a> expected for the region starting Wednesday morning.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://www.weather.gov/wrh/TextProduct?product=afdrev\">The Weather Service’s Reno office on the eastern side of the Sierra Nevada mountains forecasts a “rather strong low-pressure system\u003c/a> with an accompanying cold front” moving between Wednesday and Thursday that will first bring a dusting of snow to areas above 8,000 feet in the Sierra. As much as 3 inches of snow is forecast to fall in areas above 7,000 feet.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/NWSSacramento/status/1716798249447956620\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Depending on the storm’s precipitation rates, and how long it lasts through Wednesday afternoon, the Weather Service’s Reno office says that there’s “a likely chance” that snow levels could drop about 1,000 feet lower \u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">—\u003c/span> and that if this happens, valley floors in that region could see snow as well by late Wednesday evening. [aside postID=news_11937204 hero='https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/01/RS61930_GettyImages-1244621487-qut.jpg']This weather will also bring high winds, with gusts up to 45 miles per hour, possibly impacting roads. On high Sierra ridges, the Weather Service warns that gusts of up to 80 miles per hour are possible.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Friday will bring a “short dry-out period” before a second storm potentially arrives over the weekend, say forecasters, with the next cold front arriving Friday night into Saturday morning. The Reno office says the air mass “looks cold enough for snow levels down near most valley floors.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Central Sierra Snow Laboratory, UC Berkeley’s research field station located at Donner Pass, posted on X (formerly Twitter) that \u003ca href=\"https://twitter.com/UCB_CSSL/status/1716499292578529516\">this week’s flakes would represent the season’s “first measurable snow”\u003c/a> — defined previously by the lab as “0.5 cm (~0.2”) of snowfall” or more.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This upcoming storm isn’t quite the first snow to grace the Sierra this season, as\u003ca href=\"https://twitter.com/NWSReno/status/1708126472727417227\"> previous showers brought a little snow to the highest peaks\u003c/a> during the last weekend of September.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>On Oct. 12, the Central Sierra Snow Laboratory reported its first “light dusting of snow” on the Donner Pass \u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">— \u003c/span>which the lab clarified “doesn’t officially count as our first day of snowfall, which requires a measurable amount of accumulation.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"The National Weather Service anticipates the season's first significant Sierra Nevada snowfall, with two storms beginning this Wednesday.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1704845853,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":10,"wordCount":420},"headData":{"title":"First Significant Snow to Arrive in the Sierra This Week | KQED","description":"The National Weather Service anticipates the season's first significant Sierra Nevada snowfall, with two storms beginning this Wednesday.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":"","schema":{"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"Article","headline":"First Significant Snow to Arrive in the Sierra This Week","datePublished":"2023-10-24T20:04:11.000Z","dateModified":"2024-01-10T00:17:33.000Z","image":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/KQED-OG-Image@1x.png"}},"sticky":false,"excludeFromSiteSearch":"Include","articleAge":"0","path":"/science/1984894/snow-forecast-sierra-california","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003cem>Updated 1:55 p.m. Tuesday\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service is forecasting the first significant snow of the season later this week in the Sierra Nevada \u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">—\u003c/span> with \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11937204/lake-tahoe-weather-forecast-road-conditions-snow-chains\">a pair of storms\u003c/a> expected for the region starting Wednesday morning.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://www.weather.gov/wrh/TextProduct?product=afdrev\">The Weather Service’s Reno office on the eastern side of the Sierra Nevada mountains forecasts a “rather strong low-pressure system\u003c/a> with an accompanying cold front” moving between Wednesday and Thursday that will first bring a dusting of snow to areas above 8,000 feet in the Sierra. As much as 3 inches of snow is forecast to fall in areas above 7,000 feet.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1716798249447956620"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>Depending on the storm’s precipitation rates, and how long it lasts through Wednesday afternoon, the Weather Service’s Reno office says that there’s “a likely chance” that snow levels could drop about 1,000 feet lower \u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">—\u003c/span> and that if this happens, valley floors in that region could see snow as well by late Wednesday evening. \u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"aside","attributes":{"named":{"postid":"news_11937204","hero":"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/01/RS61930_GettyImages-1244621487-qut.jpg","label":""},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>This weather will also bring high winds, with gusts up to 45 miles per hour, possibly impacting roads. On high Sierra ridges, the Weather Service warns that gusts of up to 80 miles per hour are possible.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Friday will bring a “short dry-out period” before a second storm potentially arrives over the weekend, say forecasters, with the next cold front arriving Friday night into Saturday morning. The Reno office says the air mass “looks cold enough for snow levels down near most valley floors.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Central Sierra Snow Laboratory, UC Berkeley’s research field station located at Donner Pass, posted on X (formerly Twitter) that \u003ca href=\"https://twitter.com/UCB_CSSL/status/1716499292578529516\">this week’s flakes would represent the season’s “first measurable snow”\u003c/a> — defined previously by the lab as “0.5 cm (~0.2”) of snowfall” or more.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This upcoming storm isn’t quite the first snow to grace the Sierra this season, as\u003ca href=\"https://twitter.com/NWSReno/status/1708126472727417227\"> previous showers brought a little snow to the highest peaks\u003c/a> during the last weekend of September.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>On Oct. 12, the Central Sierra Snow Laboratory reported its first “light dusting of snow” on the Donner Pass \u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">— \u003c/span>which the lab clarified “doesn’t officially count as our first day of snowfall, which requires a measurable amount of accumulation.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/1984894/snow-forecast-sierra-california","authors":["3243","11088"],"categories":["science_40","science_4450"],"tags":["science_109","science_107"],"featImg":"science_1984920","label":"science"},"science_1984737":{"type":"posts","id":"science_1984737","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"science","id":"1984737","score":null,"sort":[1697626859000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"el-nino-is-back-will-that-mean-rain-and-snow-for-californias-2023-winter","title":"Will El Niño’s Return Mean Rain and Snow for California's 2023 Winter?","publishDate":1697626859,"format":"standard","headTitle":"Will El Niño’s Return Mean Rain and Snow for California’s 2023 Winter? | KQED","labelTerm":{"site":"science"},"content":"\u003cp>Climate scientists and weather forecasters suspect \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1982079/this-winters-floods-may-be-only-a-taste-of-the-megafloods-to-come-climate-scientists-warn\">this winter could be as wet or wetter\u003c/a> than last year’s torrential downpours. But just how wet will this winter become?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The answer isn’t quite as simple as forecasters pumping various inputs into computer models that then spit out what we can definitively expect. The Bay Area’s weather patterns are created by global patterns in the atmosphere, everything from interactions with the ocean, landscape and sun.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>One of those natural factors is\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1982822/6-common-misconceptions-about-el-nino-and-its-impact-on-california-weather\"> the climate pattern known as El Niño\u003c/a>, which has returned after a four-year hiatus, ushering in the possibility of yet another stormy winter. \u003ca href=\"https://oceanservice.noaa.gov/facts/ninonina.html\">This weather system\u003c/a> has a \u003ca href=\"https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml\">75%–85% chance of becoming a strong system\u003c/a> from November to January, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>What is El Niño?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>El Niño — the opposite of La Niña, which recently ended a cycle — generally occurs every three to five years when ocean waters along the equator in the eastern Pacific warm by at least a half-degree Fahrenheit. That, in turn, can reposition the jet stream and funnel storms toward the West Coast of the U.S., often resulting in increased rainfall across thousands of miles.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=science_1982822 hero='https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/35/2018/10/GettyImages-504730186-1180x849.jpg']Climate forecasters predict a range of strengths for the current El Niño — everything from a moderate to a super El Niño — which can often be characterized by intense warmer downpours.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There is potential for a lot of strong storms with coastal issues, and we just do not have extensive flood systems on the coast of California,” said Gary Lippner, deputy director for flood management and dam safety with the California Department of Water Resources.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>With winter just a few months away, climate and weather experts suggest preparing our homes and lives for the worst — major flooding. Keep reading for what to know about 2023’s El Niño, from its impact on California’s snow forecast to the timing of weather predictions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Jump straight to:\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli style=\"list-style-type: none\">\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"#superelnino\">What are the chances of a super El Niño?\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"#elninosnowforecast\">Does a wet winter always mean snow in the forecast?\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"#climatechangeelnino\">Is climate change intensifying El Niño?\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"#homeflooding\">How can I prepare my home for potential storms?\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003ch2>Is it possible to predict what winter 2023 will be like in California?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Kind of. It’s not possible to predict the day-to-day weather this far in advance. However, meteorologists are able to forecast possible climate changes that might happen.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Right now, it is still too far out and our seasonal forecasting capabilities are very limited,” said Michael Anderson, California’s state climatologist.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>There’s a 30% chance of a “historically strong” El Niño event, which could rival the ferocity of the 1997–98 years, according to NOAA’s latest El Niño Advisory, which saw flooding rains across the state. The scientists note that while a stronger El Niño can increase the likelihood of weather anomalies, it does “not necessarily equate to strong impacts locally.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s because it’s usually only in the worst El Niño years that the entire state gets soaked — Southern California, on the other hand, has a slight tendency toward wetter conditions even in moderate El Niño years. (More on this below.)\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=news_11936674 hero='https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/03/RS63686_002_KQED_AtmosphericRiver_03142023-qut-1020x680.jpg']Jan Null, a meteorologist with Golden Gate Weather Services, said the relationship between El Niño and Bay Area impacts is not always clear and that the best thing to do as a California resident is to prepare for the worst outcome.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Climate models are showing this ambivalent pattern for California this winter,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As for a timeline, researchers think that peak impacts — \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1935067/rivers-in-the-sky-what-you-need-to-know-about-atmospheric-river-storms\">big atmospheric rivers that drop a ton of rain\u003c/a> — could arrive in the New Year through early spring.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The closer we are to that winter rainy season forecast, obviously the better the prediction will be,” said John Chiang, a UC Berkeley climate scientist.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003ca id=\"superelnino\">\u003c/a>What are the chances of a super El Niño?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>While most predictions of the intensity of El Niño range from moderate to strong this year, \u003ca href=\"https://news.ucar.edu/132912/ncar-experimental-prediction-system-calls-super-el-nino-winter\">one forecasting group is predicting what they classify as a super El Niño\u003c/a> on par with 1997–98. That winter saw a great deluge across the state, as rivers swelled, mudslides destroyed homes and roads filled with debris. At the end of it, 17 people had died and the state suffered nearly $1 billion in damage.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s only been seen three times previously in the historical record,” said Stephen Yeager, project scientist with the National Center for Atmospheric Research. “We are looking at the potential of a major season-long event that could impact people and their livelihoods.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For Yeager’s model, he and his team analyzed historical conditions from 1970 to 2019. They took atmospheric conditions into account — warmth, humidity and wind— as well as the state of oceans, ice and land. They then compared that historical data with computer model forecasts, which unveiled the potential for a super El Niño this winter.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Our system is predicting a warmer event than many other [models],” Yeager said. “But it isn’t out of the realm of possibilities.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1984766\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1984766\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/35/2023/10/RS61930_GettyImages-1244621487-qut.jpg\" alt=\"A bright yellow snowplow drives on a snowy country road surrounded by pine trees.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2023/10/RS61930_GettyImages-1244621487-qut.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2023/10/RS61930_GettyImages-1244621487-qut-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2023/10/RS61930_GettyImages-1244621487-qut-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2023/10/RS61930_GettyImages-1244621487-qut-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2023/10/RS61930_GettyImages-1244621487-qut-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2023/10/RS61930_GettyImages-1244621487-qut-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A snowplow is seen as snow blankets Route 237 in Stateline, Nevada, on Nov. 8, 2022.\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch2>Does a strong El Niño prediction mean a wet winter?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>No, not all El Niños are the same. And even a strong system doesn’t mean California will get walloped by atmospheric rivers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When looking at the historical record, Null said El Niño years have almost equally had above-average and below-average rainfall. For instance, the years of 2015–16 produced a very strong El Niño event but were relatively dry.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Trying to say this is going to be a strong or very strong event doesn’t equate directly to ‘it’s going to be a wet year in California,’” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He adds that an alphabet soup of other natural phenomena factor into the strength of El Niño and its potential effects, including the Madden-Julian Oscillation, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and the North Atlantic Oscillation.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003ca id=\"elninosnowforecast\">\u003c/a>Does a wet winter always bring snow to California?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>A wet winter does not always mean \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11937204/lake-tahoe-weather-forecast-road-conditions-snow-chains\">ample snow\u003c/a>. Chiang, with UC Berkeley, said that El Niño tends to have warmer weather patterns, which can actually decrease snow amounts.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That does play a role — but if you are high enough and cold enough, it will snow rather than rain,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Chiang adds that the effects of El Niño are not ubiquitous across the world, country or even one state. The climate system can mean wetter weather patterns in California and the Southwest and warmer weather in the Northwest.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>At what point in the year do we begin to get firmer predictions for winter?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The only time we can really know what winter will be like is the moment that it ends, said Null, tongue in cheek.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Last year, the seasonal forecast for California’s winter was an even split for a wet or dry winter — and a few months later, torrential rain pounded the state for months.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Around mid-November, Yeager said the forecast will come into better clarity, when updates to weather predictions come out. Around that time, forecasters will outline the potential weather possibilities for the next few months.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But if last winter’s storms taught him anything, said Yeager, predictions can change rapidly, meaning storms could become more intense or back off in severity. Because of the varying predictions — and his super El Niño forecast — he thinks all Californians should prepare for a wet winter.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If I were living in San Francisco and considering repairing my roof, I might do it based on this information,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003ca id=\"climatechangeelnino\">\u003c/a>Is climate change intensifying El Niño?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The impact of human-caused climate change on El Niño conditions is hard to pinpoint. Scientists hypothesize it is having an effect, making the impacts from it and La Niña more extreme.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Basically, the wets will become even wetter in California. But the science is still not settled on that, said Yeager.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>With ocean temperatures soaring and record warmth this past summer, scientists like Null see a correlation with climate change — but say that it needs to be further proven and studied.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Every weather event, whether during El Niño or La Niña, has some climate change DNA,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1932772\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 3623px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1932772\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/35/2018/10/GettyImages-504730186.jpg\" alt=\"A large wave crashes onto seaside houses.\" width=\"3623\" height=\"2606\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2018/10/GettyImages-504730186.jpg 3623w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2018/10/GettyImages-504730186-160x115.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2018/10/GettyImages-504730186-800x575.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2018/10/GettyImages-504730186-768x552.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2018/10/GettyImages-504730186-1020x734.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2018/10/GettyImages-504730186-1200x863.jpg 1200w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2018/10/GettyImages-504730186-1920x1381.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2018/10/GettyImages-504730186-1180x849.jpg 1180w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2018/10/GettyImages-504730186-960x691.jpg 960w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2018/10/GettyImages-504730186-240x173.jpg 240w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2018/10/GettyImages-504730186-375x270.jpg 375w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2018/10/GettyImages-504730186-520x374.jpg 520w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 3623px) 100vw, 3623px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">El Niño-generated storm waves crash onto seaside houses at Mondos Beach, Ventura County, on Jan. 12, 2016. \u003ccite>(Mark Ralston/AFP/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch2>\u003ca id=\"homeflooding\">\u003c/a>How should we prepare for a wet year?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>First up, understand just how much you — and your home — could be affected by \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11936674/how-to-prepare-for-this-weeks-atmospheric-river-storm-sandbags-emergency-kits-and-more\">a winter storm of the magnitude we saw earlier this year\u003c/a>. Previous storms in the Bay Area have knocked down trees, flooded roads and cut power to tens of thousands of homes and businesses, and contributed to several deaths.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Flooding could mean you have to evacuate your home, or live without crucial services for an extended period. Besides flashlights, experts recommend having\u003ca href=\"https://www.ready.gov/floods#prepare\"> an emergency supply kit\u003c/a> ready in both your home and car, should you need to evacuate. Previous storms in the Bay Area have also resulted in \u003ca href=\"https://pgealerts.alerts.pge.com/outagecenter/\">power outages that affected over 100,000 PG&E customers\u003c/a>. \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11936674/how-to-prepare-for-this-weeks-atmospheric-river-storm-sandbags-emergency-kits-and-more#poweroutages\">Read more about preparing your home for a potential power outage.\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>UC Berkeley’s Chiang suggests California property owners should be especially prepared for potential torrential downpours, and consider preemptive measures like fixing leaky roofs, clearing drains and cleaning gutters. Last winter, parts of Chiang’s own Bay Area home flooded and his roof leaked. This year, he prepared by fixing drainage issues around his house and replacing the roof on his home. \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11936674/how-to-prepare-for-this-weeks-atmospheric-river-storm-sandbags-emergency-kits-and-more#start\">Read more about preparing your home for potential flooding.\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If you are a homeowner, keep in mind that most home insurance plans do not cover damage caused by flooding. However, \u003ca href=\"https://floodsmart.gov/\">you can buy an additional policy with the National Flood Insurance Program\u003c/a> through your existing insurance provider. It’s important to mention that if you decide to buy a plan now, there is a 30-day wait period for the benefits to begin.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If your home experienced flooding during previous storms this year — or in storms from years past — officials recommend having sandbags, plastic sheeting and other flood control materials ready. Counties, public utilities and even community organizations across the Bay Area will often distribute \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11936674/how-to-prepare-for-this-weeks-atmospheric-river-storm-sandbags-emergency-kits-and-more#sandbags\">free sandbags during the rainy season\u003c/a> or ahead of a big forecast storm.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Following the atmospheric river storms that hit Northern California over the 2022–2023 winter, officials around the Bay Area doubled down on efforts to keep waterways and storm drains clear to reduce the risk of flooding in residential areas. Both \u003ca href=\"https://www.oaklandca.gov/services/adopt-a-drain\">Oakland\u003c/a> and \u003ca href=\"https://sfpuc.org/learning/how-you-can-help/adopt-drain-sf\">San Francisco \u003c/a>have\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/arts/13923319/you-can-adopt-a-drain-in-san-francisco-with-naming-rights-included\"> programs where residents can “adopt” a storm drain\u003c/a> in their community and help remove leaves and other debris.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>FEMA also has created a tool that tracks which parts of a city are under flood risk — and to what extent. You can \u003ca href=\"https://msc.fema.gov/portal/home\">input your address in the FEMA Flood Map Service Center\u003c/a>. Once the map tool locates your address, you can select the “Dynamic Map” option to see a more detailed map that may have certain neighborhoods or blocks color coded to represent flood risk.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Carlos Cabrera-Lomelí, Emma Silvers, Carly Severn, Daisy Nguyen and Erin Baldassari contributed \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11936674/how-to-prepare-for-this-weeks-atmospheric-river-storm-sandbags-emergency-kits-and-more#start\">flood preparation reporting\u003c/a> to this story.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"From snow forecasts to wet storms, how could El Niño impact California's weather in winter 2023? Climate experts weigh in on the predictability of El Niño.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1704845865,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":46,"wordCount":2045},"headData":{"title":"Will El Niño’s Return Mean Rain and Snow for California's 2023 Winter? | KQED","description":"From snow forecasts to wet storms, how could El Niño impact California's weather in winter 2023? Climate experts weigh in on the predictability of El Niño.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":"","schema":{"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"Article","headline":"Will El Niño’s Return Mean Rain and Snow for California's 2023 Winter?","datePublished":"2023-10-18T11:00:59.000Z","dateModified":"2024-01-10T00:17:45.000Z","image":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/KQED-OG-Image@1x.png"}},"sticky":false,"excludeFromSiteSearch":"Include","articleAge":"0","path":"/science/1984737/el-nino-is-back-will-that-mean-rain-and-snow-for-californias-2023-winter","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Climate scientists and weather forecasters suspect \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1982079/this-winters-floods-may-be-only-a-taste-of-the-megafloods-to-come-climate-scientists-warn\">this winter could be as wet or wetter\u003c/a> than last year’s torrential downpours. But just how wet will this winter become?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The answer isn’t quite as simple as forecasters pumping various inputs into computer models that then spit out what we can definitively expect. The Bay Area’s weather patterns are created by global patterns in the atmosphere, everything from interactions with the ocean, landscape and sun.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>One of those natural factors is\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1982822/6-common-misconceptions-about-el-nino-and-its-impact-on-california-weather\"> the climate pattern known as El Niño\u003c/a>, which has returned after a four-year hiatus, ushering in the possibility of yet another stormy winter. \u003ca href=\"https://oceanservice.noaa.gov/facts/ninonina.html\">This weather system\u003c/a> has a \u003ca href=\"https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml\">75%–85% chance of becoming a strong system\u003c/a> from November to January, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>What is El Niño?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>El Niño — the opposite of La Niña, which recently ended a cycle — generally occurs every three to five years when ocean waters along the equator in the eastern Pacific warm by at least a half-degree Fahrenheit. That, in turn, can reposition the jet stream and funnel storms toward the West Coast of the U.S., often resulting in increased rainfall across thousands of miles.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"aside","attributes":{"named":{"postid":"science_1982822","hero":"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/35/2018/10/GettyImages-504730186-1180x849.jpg","label":""},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Climate forecasters predict a range of strengths for the current El Niño — everything from a moderate to a super El Niño — which can often be characterized by intense warmer downpours.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There is potential for a lot of strong storms with coastal issues, and we just do not have extensive flood systems on the coast of California,” said Gary Lippner, deputy director for flood management and dam safety with the California Department of Water Resources.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>With winter just a few months away, climate and weather experts suggest preparing our homes and lives for the worst — major flooding. Keep reading for what to know about 2023’s El Niño, from its impact on California’s snow forecast to the timing of weather predictions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Jump straight to:\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli style=\"list-style-type: none\">\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"#superelnino\">What are the chances of a super El Niño?\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"#elninosnowforecast\">Does a wet winter always mean snow in the forecast?\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"#climatechangeelnino\">Is climate change intensifying El Niño?\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"#homeflooding\">How can I prepare my home for potential storms?\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003ch2>Is it possible to predict what winter 2023 will be like in California?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Kind of. It’s not possible to predict the day-to-day weather this far in advance. However, meteorologists are able to forecast possible climate changes that might happen.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Right now, it is still too far out and our seasonal forecasting capabilities are very limited,” said Michael Anderson, California’s state climatologist.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>There’s a 30% chance of a “historically strong” El Niño event, which could rival the ferocity of the 1997–98 years, according to NOAA’s latest El Niño Advisory, which saw flooding rains across the state. The scientists note that while a stronger El Niño can increase the likelihood of weather anomalies, it does “not necessarily equate to strong impacts locally.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s because it’s usually only in the worst El Niño years that the entire state gets soaked — Southern California, on the other hand, has a slight tendency toward wetter conditions even in moderate El Niño years. (More on this below.)\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"aside","attributes":{"named":{"postid":"news_11936674","hero":"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/03/RS63686_002_KQED_AtmosphericRiver_03142023-qut-1020x680.jpg","label":""},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Jan Null, a meteorologist with Golden Gate Weather Services, said the relationship between El Niño and Bay Area impacts is not always clear and that the best thing to do as a California resident is to prepare for the worst outcome.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Climate models are showing this ambivalent pattern for California this winter,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As for a timeline, researchers think that peak impacts — \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1935067/rivers-in-the-sky-what-you-need-to-know-about-atmospheric-river-storms\">big atmospheric rivers that drop a ton of rain\u003c/a> — could arrive in the New Year through early spring.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The closer we are to that winter rainy season forecast, obviously the better the prediction will be,” said John Chiang, a UC Berkeley climate scientist.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003ca id=\"superelnino\">\u003c/a>What are the chances of a super El Niño?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>While most predictions of the intensity of El Niño range from moderate to strong this year, \u003ca href=\"https://news.ucar.edu/132912/ncar-experimental-prediction-system-calls-super-el-nino-winter\">one forecasting group is predicting what they classify as a super El Niño\u003c/a> on par with 1997–98. That winter saw a great deluge across the state, as rivers swelled, mudslides destroyed homes and roads filled with debris. At the end of it, 17 people had died and the state suffered nearly $1 billion in damage.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s only been seen three times previously in the historical record,” said Stephen Yeager, project scientist with the National Center for Atmospheric Research. “We are looking at the potential of a major season-long event that could impact people and their livelihoods.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For Yeager’s model, he and his team analyzed historical conditions from 1970 to 2019. They took atmospheric conditions into account — warmth, humidity and wind— as well as the state of oceans, ice and land. They then compared that historical data with computer model forecasts, which unveiled the potential for a super El Niño this winter.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Our system is predicting a warmer event than many other [models],” Yeager said. “But it isn’t out of the realm of possibilities.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1984766\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1984766\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/35/2023/10/RS61930_GettyImages-1244621487-qut.jpg\" alt=\"A bright yellow snowplow drives on a snowy country road surrounded by pine trees.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2023/10/RS61930_GettyImages-1244621487-qut.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2023/10/RS61930_GettyImages-1244621487-qut-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2023/10/RS61930_GettyImages-1244621487-qut-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2023/10/RS61930_GettyImages-1244621487-qut-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2023/10/RS61930_GettyImages-1244621487-qut-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2023/10/RS61930_GettyImages-1244621487-qut-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A snowplow is seen as snow blankets Route 237 in Stateline, Nevada, on Nov. 8, 2022.\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch2>Does a strong El Niño prediction mean a wet winter?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>No, not all El Niños are the same. And even a strong system doesn’t mean California will get walloped by atmospheric rivers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When looking at the historical record, Null said El Niño years have almost equally had above-average and below-average rainfall. For instance, the years of 2015–16 produced a very strong El Niño event but were relatively dry.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Trying to say this is going to be a strong or very strong event doesn’t equate directly to ‘it’s going to be a wet year in California,’” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He adds that an alphabet soup of other natural phenomena factor into the strength of El Niño and its potential effects, including the Madden-Julian Oscillation, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and the North Atlantic Oscillation.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003ca id=\"elninosnowforecast\">\u003c/a>Does a wet winter always bring snow to California?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>A wet winter does not always mean \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11937204/lake-tahoe-weather-forecast-road-conditions-snow-chains\">ample snow\u003c/a>. Chiang, with UC Berkeley, said that El Niño tends to have warmer weather patterns, which can actually decrease snow amounts.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That does play a role — but if you are high enough and cold enough, it will snow rather than rain,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Chiang adds that the effects of El Niño are not ubiquitous across the world, country or even one state. The climate system can mean wetter weather patterns in California and the Southwest and warmer weather in the Northwest.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>At what point in the year do we begin to get firmer predictions for winter?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The only time we can really know what winter will be like is the moment that it ends, said Null, tongue in cheek.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Last year, the seasonal forecast for California’s winter was an even split for a wet or dry winter — and a few months later, torrential rain pounded the state for months.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Around mid-November, Yeager said the forecast will come into better clarity, when updates to weather predictions come out. Around that time, forecasters will outline the potential weather possibilities for the next few months.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But if last winter’s storms taught him anything, said Yeager, predictions can change rapidly, meaning storms could become more intense or back off in severity. Because of the varying predictions — and his super El Niño forecast — he thinks all Californians should prepare for a wet winter.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If I were living in San Francisco and considering repairing my roof, I might do it based on this information,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003ca id=\"climatechangeelnino\">\u003c/a>Is climate change intensifying El Niño?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The impact of human-caused climate change on El Niño conditions is hard to pinpoint. Scientists hypothesize it is having an effect, making the impacts from it and La Niña more extreme.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Basically, the wets will become even wetter in California. But the science is still not settled on that, said Yeager.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>With ocean temperatures soaring and record warmth this past summer, scientists like Null see a correlation with climate change — but say that it needs to be further proven and studied.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Every weather event, whether during El Niño or La Niña, has some climate change DNA,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1932772\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 3623px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1932772\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/35/2018/10/GettyImages-504730186.jpg\" alt=\"A large wave crashes onto seaside houses.\" width=\"3623\" height=\"2606\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2018/10/GettyImages-504730186.jpg 3623w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2018/10/GettyImages-504730186-160x115.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2018/10/GettyImages-504730186-800x575.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2018/10/GettyImages-504730186-768x552.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2018/10/GettyImages-504730186-1020x734.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2018/10/GettyImages-504730186-1200x863.jpg 1200w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2018/10/GettyImages-504730186-1920x1381.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2018/10/GettyImages-504730186-1180x849.jpg 1180w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2018/10/GettyImages-504730186-960x691.jpg 960w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2018/10/GettyImages-504730186-240x173.jpg 240w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2018/10/GettyImages-504730186-375x270.jpg 375w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2018/10/GettyImages-504730186-520x374.jpg 520w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 3623px) 100vw, 3623px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">El Niño-generated storm waves crash onto seaside houses at Mondos Beach, Ventura County, on Jan. 12, 2016. \u003ccite>(Mark Ralston/AFP/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch2>\u003ca id=\"homeflooding\">\u003c/a>How should we prepare for a wet year?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>First up, understand just how much you — and your home — could be affected by \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11936674/how-to-prepare-for-this-weeks-atmospheric-river-storm-sandbags-emergency-kits-and-more\">a winter storm of the magnitude we saw earlier this year\u003c/a>. Previous storms in the Bay Area have knocked down trees, flooded roads and cut power to tens of thousands of homes and businesses, and contributed to several deaths.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Flooding could mean you have to evacuate your home, or live without crucial services for an extended period. Besides flashlights, experts recommend having\u003ca href=\"https://www.ready.gov/floods#prepare\"> an emergency supply kit\u003c/a> ready in both your home and car, should you need to evacuate. Previous storms in the Bay Area have also resulted in \u003ca href=\"https://pgealerts.alerts.pge.com/outagecenter/\">power outages that affected over 100,000 PG&E customers\u003c/a>. \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11936674/how-to-prepare-for-this-weeks-atmospheric-river-storm-sandbags-emergency-kits-and-more#poweroutages\">Read more about preparing your home for a potential power outage.\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>UC Berkeley’s Chiang suggests California property owners should be especially prepared for potential torrential downpours, and consider preemptive measures like fixing leaky roofs, clearing drains and cleaning gutters. Last winter, parts of Chiang’s own Bay Area home flooded and his roof leaked. This year, he prepared by fixing drainage issues around his house and replacing the roof on his home. \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11936674/how-to-prepare-for-this-weeks-atmospheric-river-storm-sandbags-emergency-kits-and-more#start\">Read more about preparing your home for potential flooding.\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If you are a homeowner, keep in mind that most home insurance plans do not cover damage caused by flooding. However, \u003ca href=\"https://floodsmart.gov/\">you can buy an additional policy with the National Flood Insurance Program\u003c/a> through your existing insurance provider. It’s important to mention that if you decide to buy a plan now, there is a 30-day wait period for the benefits to begin.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If your home experienced flooding during previous storms this year — or in storms from years past — officials recommend having sandbags, plastic sheeting and other flood control materials ready. Counties, public utilities and even community organizations across the Bay Area will often distribute \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11936674/how-to-prepare-for-this-weeks-atmospheric-river-storm-sandbags-emergency-kits-and-more#sandbags\">free sandbags during the rainy season\u003c/a> or ahead of a big forecast storm.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Following the atmospheric river storms that hit Northern California over the 2022–2023 winter, officials around the Bay Area doubled down on efforts to keep waterways and storm drains clear to reduce the risk of flooding in residential areas. Both \u003ca href=\"https://www.oaklandca.gov/services/adopt-a-drain\">Oakland\u003c/a> and \u003ca href=\"https://sfpuc.org/learning/how-you-can-help/adopt-drain-sf\">San Francisco \u003c/a>have\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/arts/13923319/you-can-adopt-a-drain-in-san-francisco-with-naming-rights-included\"> programs where residents can “adopt” a storm drain\u003c/a> in their community and help remove leaves and other debris.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>FEMA also has created a tool that tracks which parts of a city are under flood risk — and to what extent. You can \u003ca href=\"https://msc.fema.gov/portal/home\">input your address in the FEMA Flood Map Service Center\u003c/a>. Once the map tool locates your address, you can select the “Dynamic Map” option to see a more detailed map that may have certain neighborhoods or blocks color coded to represent flood risk.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Carlos Cabrera-Lomelí, Emma Silvers, Carly Severn, Daisy Nguyen and Erin Baldassari contributed \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11936674/how-to-prepare-for-this-weeks-atmospheric-river-storm-sandbags-emergency-kits-and-more#start\">flood preparation reporting\u003c/a> to this story.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"floatright"},"numeric":["floatright"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/1984737/el-nino-is-back-will-that-mean-rain-and-snow-for-californias-2023-winter","authors":["11746"],"categories":["science_31","science_40","science_4450"],"tags":["science_4992","science_371","science_4414","science_1213","science_107","science_365"],"featImg":"science_1984774","label":"science"},"science_1981930":{"type":"posts","id":"science_1981930","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"science","id":"1981930","score":null,"sort":[1680008405000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"you-have-to-make-this-work-a-day-in-the-life-of-a-rural-emt-during-a-winter-of-atmospheric-rivers","title":"'You Have to Make This Work': A Day in the Life of a Rural EMT During California's Winter of Atmospheric River Storms","publishDate":1680008405,"format":"audio","headTitle":"‘You Have to Make This Work’: A Day in the Life of a Rural EMT During California’s Winter of Atmospheric River Storms | KQED","labelTerm":{},"content":"\u003cp>Hours into the rescue mission, paramedic Jessica Farmer realized her toes were completely numb.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It was a late afternoon in early March, and Farmer and her partner found themselves standing in thigh-deep snow above a steep canyon in the Sierra foothills outside of Grass Valley. The pair were still dressed in their standard uniforms, without snow pants or heavy socks, heading slowly toward a cabin deep in the woods, where a man had called hours earlier complaining of severe chest pain.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Any other situation in life, and I think I would have given up at that point,” said Farmer, 36, a seasoned emergency responder and homeschool teacher to her two children. “This is too hard. But this is a 911 call. This is a patient having a heart attack.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Earlier that afternoon, Farmer and her partner, Clarence Ortega, sped out of Sierra Nevada Memorial Hospital in their Mercedes van ambulance, snow pelting the windshield. They eventually reached an unplowed road and were forced to stop several times to help local fire department crews shovel out stranded cars blocking their route and chain saw fallen trees into heavy rounds and toss them off the hill.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1982007\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\" style=\"max-width: 480px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/35/2023/03/RS63832_002_Winter2_SierraFoothills_03052023.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-1982007 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/35/2023/03/RS63832_002_Winter2_SierraFoothills_03052023.jpg\" alt=\"Five emergency workers pull a man wrapped in a blue tarp on a makeshift sled.\" width=\"480\" height=\"640\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2023/03/RS63832_002_Winter2_SierraFoothills_03052023.jpg 480w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2023/03/RS63832_002_Winter2_SierraFoothills_03052023-160x213.jpg 160w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 480px) 100vw, 480px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Jessica Farmer (left) and other emergency workers pull a man having a heart attack down a snow-covered road. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of Jessica Farmer)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>At that point, her radio crackled, and dispatch notified her that the patient’s pain was getting worse.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“You have to make this work,” Farmer told herself, she said. “This is going to be the hardest day of your life. But you have to make this work.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Farmer and Ortega abandoned the ambulance on the slushy road and started trudging on foot through fresh powder, sinking like a posthole with each step.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Eventually, about a mile down the blanketed road, a large cabin with a wraparound deck came into view.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Seeing it was “just pure happiness,” Farmer said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>They rushed into the house and found a man in his 70s lying in bed grabbing his chest, his skin strikingly pale, sweat glistening on his forehead. Farmer quickly checked his pulse and then explained that the road was “disastrous” and they would have to walk him out.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“He then tells us that he has a broken hip,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Farmer took a deep breath, pulled off her wet socks, replacing them with a few dry pairs borrowed from the patient, and wrapped her feet in plastic bags and duct tape in an effort to keep them dry.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the man’s garage, Farmer found a small kid’s sled pinned high in the rafters, along with a large blue tarp, which she and Ortega used to wrap the patient up like a burrito.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We pulled him out like a dogsled team,” she said, describing the hour-long ordeal of dragging him on the sled through the snow back to the ambulance — with the help of the fire department emergency crew. They quickly loaded him inside and headed over slick roads back to the hospital, about five hours since they had left earlier that day.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Farmer helped admit the man to the emergency room. She later learned he had been transferred to the ICU and recovered, and was discharged several days later.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Such an extraordinary rescue has become par for the course this winter for a growing number of emergency responders in rural communities in California, which has been pummeled by \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11943031/atmospheric-river-storm-san-francisco-bay-area-impacts-march-9-2023\">12 massive atmospheric river storms\u003c/a> since the beginning of the year, and is bracing for a 13th on Tuesday. The storms have delivered hurricane-force winds and a seemingly endless amount of precipitation, washing out roads, toppling trees, and isolating many residents — leaving those in need of immediate medical care in a particularly tenuous position.[aside label=\"related coverage\" tag=\"atmospheric-rivers\"]Retaining and hiring new paramedics — particularly those, like Farmer, willing to do whatever it takes to rescue people in need — has become a daunting challenge for the health care industry. Most hospitals and other medical emergency facilities in the state are struggling with \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11940555/hospitals-struggling-to-stay-afloat-across-california\">severe staffing shortages\u003c/a>, amid rampant burnout and pandemic-related delays in many training programs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>During that particular storm, Farmer said, a number of her colleagues slept at the hospital because they were concerned they would get stuck at home and not be able to make it back in time for their next shift. One doctor, she added, even snowshoed on shut-down roads to care for a sick child trapped at home.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Weeks later, Farmer said she still hasn’t had time to fully process what happened in the woods that day in early March. Less than an hour after returning to the hospital from the rescue, another call came in: A 24-year-old man had accidentally shot himself in the pelvis. Farmer and Ortega hopped back in their ambulance and headed out once again into the storm, attempting yet another rescue.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I am proud that I can wake up every single day and do this job,” she said. “Like, it’s a lot, right? But I’m just not letting it beat me down. Every day I just stay positive for my children.”\u003cbr>\n[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"A paramedic in the Sierra foothills recently found herself trudging a mile on foot through thigh-deep snow to rescue a patient suffering from a heart attack — the kind of mission that's become par for the course for many first responders in California's rural communities this season.\r\n","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1704846069,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":20,"wordCount":889},"headData":{"title":"'You Have to Make This Work': A Day in the Life of a Rural EMT During California's Winter of Atmospheric River Storms | KQED","description":"A paramedic in the Sierra foothills recently found herself trudging a mile on foot through thigh-deep snow to rescue a patient suffering from a heart attack — the kind of mission that's become par for the course for many first responders in California's rural communities this season.\r\n","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":"","schema":{"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"Article","headline":"'You Have to Make This Work': A Day in the Life of a Rural EMT During California's Winter of Atmospheric River Storms","datePublished":"2023-03-28T13:00:05.000Z","dateModified":"2024-01-10T00:21:09.000Z","image":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/KQED-OG-Image@1x.png"}},"source":"Snow","audioUrl":"https://traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/0af137ef-751e-4b19-a055-aaef00d2d578/ffca7e9f-6831-4[…]f-aaef00f5a073/1b3f790b-583c-483c-a766-afcc0108156e/audio.mp3","sticky":false,"excludeFromSiteSearch":"Include","articleAge":"0","path":"/science/1981930/you-have-to-make-this-work-a-day-in-the-life-of-a-rural-emt-during-a-winter-of-atmospheric-rivers","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Hours into the rescue mission, paramedic Jessica Farmer realized her toes were completely numb.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It was a late afternoon in early March, and Farmer and her partner found themselves standing in thigh-deep snow above a steep canyon in the Sierra foothills outside of Grass Valley. The pair were still dressed in their standard uniforms, without snow pants or heavy socks, heading slowly toward a cabin deep in the woods, where a man had called hours earlier complaining of severe chest pain.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Any other situation in life, and I think I would have given up at that point,” said Farmer, 36, a seasoned emergency responder and homeschool teacher to her two children. “This is too hard. But this is a 911 call. This is a patient having a heart attack.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Earlier that afternoon, Farmer and her partner, Clarence Ortega, sped out of Sierra Nevada Memorial Hospital in their Mercedes van ambulance, snow pelting the windshield. They eventually reached an unplowed road and were forced to stop several times to help local fire department crews shovel out stranded cars blocking their route and chain saw fallen trees into heavy rounds and toss them off the hill.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1982007\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\" style=\"max-width: 480px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/35/2023/03/RS63832_002_Winter2_SierraFoothills_03052023.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-1982007 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/35/2023/03/RS63832_002_Winter2_SierraFoothills_03052023.jpg\" alt=\"Five emergency workers pull a man wrapped in a blue tarp on a makeshift sled.\" width=\"480\" height=\"640\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2023/03/RS63832_002_Winter2_SierraFoothills_03052023.jpg 480w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2023/03/RS63832_002_Winter2_SierraFoothills_03052023-160x213.jpg 160w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 480px) 100vw, 480px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Jessica Farmer (left) and other emergency workers pull a man having a heart attack down a snow-covered road. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of Jessica Farmer)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>At that point, her radio crackled, and dispatch notified her that the patient’s pain was getting worse.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“You have to make this work,” Farmer told herself, she said. “This is going to be the hardest day of your life. But you have to make this work.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Farmer and Ortega abandoned the ambulance on the slushy road and started trudging on foot through fresh powder, sinking like a posthole with each step.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Eventually, about a mile down the blanketed road, a large cabin with a wraparound deck came into view.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Seeing it was “just pure happiness,” Farmer said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>They rushed into the house and found a man in his 70s lying in bed grabbing his chest, his skin strikingly pale, sweat glistening on his forehead. Farmer quickly checked his pulse and then explained that the road was “disastrous” and they would have to walk him out.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“He then tells us that he has a broken hip,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Farmer took a deep breath, pulled off her wet socks, replacing them with a few dry pairs borrowed from the patient, and wrapped her feet in plastic bags and duct tape in an effort to keep them dry.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the man’s garage, Farmer found a small kid’s sled pinned high in the rafters, along with a large blue tarp, which she and Ortega used to wrap the patient up like a burrito.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We pulled him out like a dogsled team,” she said, describing the hour-long ordeal of dragging him on the sled through the snow back to the ambulance — with the help of the fire department emergency crew. They quickly loaded him inside and headed over slick roads back to the hospital, about five hours since they had left earlier that day.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Farmer helped admit the man to the emergency room. She later learned he had been transferred to the ICU and recovered, and was discharged several days later.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Such an extraordinary rescue has become par for the course this winter for a growing number of emergency responders in rural communities in California, which has been pummeled by \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11943031/atmospheric-river-storm-san-francisco-bay-area-impacts-march-9-2023\">12 massive atmospheric river storms\u003c/a> since the beginning of the year, and is bracing for a 13th on Tuesday. The storms have delivered hurricane-force winds and a seemingly endless amount of precipitation, washing out roads, toppling trees, and isolating many residents — leaving those in need of immediate medical care in a particularly tenuous position.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"aside","attributes":{"named":{"label":"related coverage ","tag":"atmospheric-rivers"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Retaining and hiring new paramedics — particularly those, like Farmer, willing to do whatever it takes to rescue people in need — has become a daunting challenge for the health care industry. Most hospitals and other medical emergency facilities in the state are struggling with \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11940555/hospitals-struggling-to-stay-afloat-across-california\">severe staffing shortages\u003c/a>, amid rampant burnout and pandemic-related delays in many training programs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>During that particular storm, Farmer said, a number of her colleagues slept at the hospital because they were concerned they would get stuck at home and not be able to make it back in time for their next shift. One doctor, she added, even snowshoed on shut-down roads to care for a sick child trapped at home.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Weeks later, Farmer said she still hasn’t had time to fully process what happened in the woods that day in early March. Less than an hour after returning to the hospital from the rescue, another call came in: A 24-year-old man had accidentally shot himself in the pelvis. Farmer and Ortega hopped back in their ambulance and headed out once again into the storm, attempting yet another rescue.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I am proud that I can wake up every single day and do this job,” she said. “Like, it’s a lot, right? But I’m just not letting it beat me down. Every day I just stay positive for my children.”\u003cbr>\n\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/1981930/you-have-to-make-this-work-a-day-in-the-life-of-a-rural-emt-during-a-winter-of-atmospheric-rivers","authors":["11229"],"categories":["science_31","science_40","science_4450","science_98"],"tags":["science_2227","science_1648","science_107"],"featImg":"science_1982006","label":"source_science_1981930"},"science_1939719":{"type":"posts","id":"science_1939719","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"science","id":"1939719","score":null,"sort":[1554102314000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"we-can-send-a-robot-to-mars-but-we-cant-predict-an-avalanche","title":"We Can Send a Robot to Mars, But We Can't Predict an Avalanche","publishDate":1554102314,"format":"image","headTitle":"We Can Send a Robot to Mars, But We Can’t Predict an Avalanche | KQED","labelTerm":{},"content":"\u003cp>Karl Birkeland got his start on the snow early.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I was always interested in snow. My parents started me skiing when I was just a year or two old.”\u003c/p>\n\u003caside class=\"alignright\">\n\u003ch3>Avalanche Accident Facts\u003c/h3>\n\u003cfigure>\u003cimg decoding=\"async\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2019/01/SierraSnowpack_1901.jpg\" alt=\"\">\u003c/figure>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>In the majority of avalanche deaths, the slide is triggered by the victim or someone in the victim’s party. The more you know, the safer you can be.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Most avalanches in the U.S. happen December to April. January, February and March are the \u003ca href=\"https://avalanche.state.co.us/accidents/statistics-and-reporting/\">most fatal months\u003c/a>, although avalanche fatalities have been recorded for every month of the year.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>In the U.S., about 30 people die each year in avalanches. At the beginning of April, 24 people had died in avalanches this winter.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003c/aside>\n\u003cp>As Birkeland got older, he joined the ski patrol and became interested in science. Perhaps it was inevitable that he would become fascinated by avalanches and how they work.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“As a ski patroller,” he says, “I was always asking senior ski patrollers and other experts that knew about avalanches different questions that I had and they’d say, ‘Well, that’s a really good question. We don’t know.'”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Today Birkeland is the director of the Forest Service \u003ca href=\"https://avalanche.org/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">National Avalanche Center\u003c/a> in Bozeman, Montana and one of the leading researchers into the dynamics of snow on a slope. He also knows what it’s like to be in an avalanche. It was very early in his career, when he was in his early 20s working ski patrol outside the boundary of the resort where he was employed.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I made some real fundamental mistakes that I can recognize now and those led me to trigger a slide,” he says. “Luckily I was caught in the slide but I was able to work myself to the edge of it and eventually ski out.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It is the job of Birkeland and others who work at the Forest Service’s network of backcountry avalanche centers to help backcountry skiiers, snowboarders, snowshoers and snowmobilers know how to move safely and prevent their own close calls or worse.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>There’s no quick and dirty tips for learning back country safety. Most avalanches happen on slopes of 30 degrees or more and occur during cycles of snow instability, such as after a large storm. Local \u003ca href=\"https://www.sierraavalanchecenter.org/education/providers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">training courses\u003c/a> and books such as “\u003ca href=\"https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/1924.Staying_Alive_in_Avalanche_Terrain\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Staying Alive in Avalanche Terrain\u003c/a>” or “\u003ca href=\"https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/383763.Snow_Sense\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Snow Sense: A Guide to Evaluating Snow Avalanche Hazard\u003c/a>” teach how to recognize and avoid dangerous terrain and conditions. Once you have some foundational knowledge, forecasts from local avalanche centers become more useful, altering travelers to current problems.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>On a recent day the \u003ca href=\"https://www.sierraavalanchecenter.org/advisory\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Sierra Avalanche Center\u003c/a> was warning of two main problems: “loose wet” and “wind slab” avalanches. Avalanches come in \u003ca href=\"https://avalanche.org/avalanche-encylopedia/#avalanche\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">other varieties too\u003c/a>, including dry slab, wet, loose, icefall, cornice fall, glide, and slush.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The basics, however, are fairly easy. An avalanche occurs when a relatively stronger layer of snow is on top of a relatively weaker layer on a slope generally of 30 degrees or more, and the layers begin breaking apart and start sliding downhill. In an imprecise (and unscientific) analogy, imagine tilting a layered cake on its side: If the frosting separating two layers is slippery, it’ll be the sliding point that makes the cake come apart.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r_-KpOu7tbA\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The first thing typically needed for avalanche is formation of a crack.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“A crack starts to form in the weak layer and that crack tends to be very small,” Birkeland says, “it might only be on the order of centimeters or less.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If conditions are right, that crack can grow. Once it grows to a critical size, it begins to propagate on its own.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“And it’ll grow really rapidly,” says Birkeland. The growth can cause the snow to shatter like pane of glass and begin flowing downhill. “Some of the recent advances are just being able to better understand how that whole process works.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Birkeland has been at the forefront of this research, as well as studying how snow varies across a slope. Even snow that might look the same on the surface, he says, can vary widely.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There’s areas that are going to be thinner, areas that are going to be thicker. The weak layer is going to be a little bit weaker in one spot and a little bit stronger another spot.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In practical terms, that means in some areas a skier could trigger an avalanche by skiing across a slope, but in other areas they could travel safely.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We don’t know exactly where those spots exist. We have ideas.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Birkeland has worked on\u003ca href=\"https://avalanche.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/08/96_stuffblock_report.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> developing a stability tests\u003c/a> to help forecasters and trained recreationalists asses the stability of a slope. (Avalanche advisories are helpful, but tend to be general and cover a large area.) The process involves cutting out a block of snow of certain dimensions and tapping it in a certain way to determine if the weak snow layer is weak enough to fracture.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Despite advancements in the field, such as Birkeland and colleagues understanding of fracture and release dynamics, prediction remains tricky.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“No one has yet developed a computer model that can accurately predict the complexities of an avalanche. Folks are getting closer and better,”says Brandon Scwartz, director of the \u003ca href=\"https://www.sierraavalanchecenter.org/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Sierra Avalanche Center\u003c/a>, which services the back country around Tahoe. “But it’s not like weather modeling or the stock market or so many other things that are very accurately computer-modeled at this point.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A promising tool is the \u003ca href=\"https://www.slf.ch/en/services-and-products/snowpack.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">open source SNOWPACK model\u003c/a>, out of Switzerland, where it is used in some forecasting.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Safe Travels\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1939733\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\" style=\"max-width: 800px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-1939733\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2019/03/iStock-178966502-800x1200.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"1200\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2019/03/iStock-178966502-800x1200.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2019/03/iStock-178966502-160x240.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2019/03/iStock-178966502-768x1152.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2019/03/iStock-178966502-1020x1530.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2019/03/iStock-178966502-1920x2880.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2019/03/iStock-178966502.jpg 1365w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A backcountry telemark skier in in Yosemite National Park. Back country recreationalists are at the greatest risk of avalanche accidents. \u003ccite>(stshank/iStockphoto)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>If you are venturing into avalanche territory, and you’re already caught up on your local center’s predictions and warnings, there are still a number of steps you can take to increase your safety. Birkeland recommends everyone in a party carry rescue gear: including a transceiver (which sends a signal to rescuers, marking your location), a shovel and a probe. Another tool are avalanche airbags, which can float people to the top of a debris flow\u003cstrong>.\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Then, if you’re actually caught in an avalanche there are steps you can take to try to get out of it or minimize injury.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Avalanches don’t always happen like they do in movies, where a person may be swept away in a river of white. Sometimes they begin slowly and can be escaped before they pick up speed. If you trigger one, move to the edge of the slab and try to get out of the slide, if possible.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If you’re not able to do that, and you start to get tumbled around, you want to get rid of your equipment—like skis,” says Birkeland, to avoid being dragged down further into the debris.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Then you’re going to try and swim,” he says, “whatever you can do to try and stay near the surface of the snow and towards the back of the avalanche, if you can.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That might mean the backstroke. If you’re not moving very fast and you find yourself near a tree, try to grab onto it while the snow goes by. If it’s a large and fast slide, your survival chances decrease.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Really, just try and survive,” says Birkeland. “And as the avalanche starts to come to a stop, you want to take one hand and quickly move it back and forth really rapidly in front of your face.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This can create a bit of an air pocket to give you some breathing space.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“And then take your other hand and push it toward wherever you think the surfaces is. Because if someone can see your hand they can come dig a whole lot faster.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Once the avalanche comes to a stop, you are encased in snow and it will be difficult-to-impossible to move. At that point, there’s little you can do, Birkeland says.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Try to relax and wait for your partners to come and get you.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"If you thought rocket science was complex, try your hand at avalanche science. For starters, there's the dry slab, the wet avalanche, and the loose types. Then there's the icefalls, cornice falls, glides and slushes. ","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1704848759,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":true,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":36,"wordCount":1430},"headData":{"title":"We Can Send a Robot to Mars, But We Can't Predict an Avalanche | KQED","description":"If you thought rocket science was complex, try your hand at avalanche science. For starters, there's the dry slab, the wet avalanche, and the loose types. Then there's the icefalls, cornice falls, glides and slushes. ","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":"","schema":{"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"Article","headline":"We Can Send a Robot to Mars, But We Can't Predict an Avalanche","datePublished":"2019-04-01T07:05:14.000Z","dateModified":"2024-01-10T01:05:59.000Z","image":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/KQED-OG-Image@1x.png"}},"source":"Snow Science","audioUrl":"https://www.kqed.org/.stream/anon/radio/science/2019/04/VentonAvalancheScience.mp3","sticky":false,"audioTrackLength":241,"path":"/science/1939719/we-can-send-a-robot-to-mars-but-we-cant-predict-an-avalanche","parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Karl Birkeland got his start on the snow early.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I was always interested in snow. My parents started me skiing when I was just a year or two old.”\u003c/p>\n\u003caside class=\"alignright\">\n\u003ch3>Avalanche Accident Facts\u003c/h3>\n\u003cfigure>\u003cimg decoding=\"async\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2019/01/SierraSnowpack_1901.jpg\" alt=\"\">\u003c/figure>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>In the majority of avalanche deaths, the slide is triggered by the victim or someone in the victim’s party. The more you know, the safer you can be.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Most avalanches in the U.S. happen December to April. January, February and March are the \u003ca href=\"https://avalanche.state.co.us/accidents/statistics-and-reporting/\">most fatal months\u003c/a>, although avalanche fatalities have been recorded for every month of the year.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>In the U.S., about 30 people die each year in avalanches. At the beginning of April, 24 people had died in avalanches this winter.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003c/aside>\n\u003cp>As Birkeland got older, he joined the ski patrol and became interested in science. Perhaps it was inevitable that he would become fascinated by avalanches and how they work.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“As a ski patroller,” he says, “I was always asking senior ski patrollers and other experts that knew about avalanches different questions that I had and they’d say, ‘Well, that’s a really good question. We don’t know.'”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Today Birkeland is the director of the Forest Service \u003ca href=\"https://avalanche.org/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">National Avalanche Center\u003c/a> in Bozeman, Montana and one of the leading researchers into the dynamics of snow on a slope. He also knows what it’s like to be in an avalanche. It was very early in his career, when he was in his early 20s working ski patrol outside the boundary of the resort where he was employed.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I made some real fundamental mistakes that I can recognize now and those led me to trigger a slide,” he says. “Luckily I was caught in the slide but I was able to work myself to the edge of it and eventually ski out.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It is the job of Birkeland and others who work at the Forest Service’s network of backcountry avalanche centers to help backcountry skiiers, snowboarders, snowshoers and snowmobilers know how to move safely and prevent their own close calls or worse.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>There’s no quick and dirty tips for learning back country safety. Most avalanches happen on slopes of 30 degrees or more and occur during cycles of snow instability, such as after a large storm. Local \u003ca href=\"https://www.sierraavalanchecenter.org/education/providers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">training courses\u003c/a> and books such as “\u003ca href=\"https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/1924.Staying_Alive_in_Avalanche_Terrain\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Staying Alive in Avalanche Terrain\u003c/a>” or “\u003ca href=\"https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/383763.Snow_Sense\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Snow Sense: A Guide to Evaluating Snow Avalanche Hazard\u003c/a>” teach how to recognize and avoid dangerous terrain and conditions. Once you have some foundational knowledge, forecasts from local avalanche centers become more useful, altering travelers to current problems.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>On a recent day the \u003ca href=\"https://www.sierraavalanchecenter.org/advisory\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Sierra Avalanche Center\u003c/a> was warning of two main problems: “loose wet” and “wind slab” avalanches. Avalanches come in \u003ca href=\"https://avalanche.org/avalanche-encylopedia/#avalanche\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">other varieties too\u003c/a>, including dry slab, wet, loose, icefall, cornice fall, glide, and slush.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The basics, however, are fairly easy. An avalanche occurs when a relatively stronger layer of snow is on top of a relatively weaker layer on a slope generally of 30 degrees or more, and the layers begin breaking apart and start sliding downhill. In an imprecise (and unscientific) analogy, imagine tilting a layered cake on its side: If the frosting separating two layers is slippery, it’ll be the sliding point that makes the cake come apart.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003cp>\u003cspan class='utils-parseShortcode-shortcodes-__youtubeShortcode__embedYoutube'>\n \u003cspan class='utils-parseShortcode-shortcodes-__youtubeShortcode__embedYoutubeInside'>\n \u003ciframe\n loading='lazy'\n class='utils-parseShortcode-shortcodes-__youtubeShortcode__youtubePlayer'\n type='text/html'\n src='//www.youtube.com/embed/r_-KpOu7tbA'\n title='//www.youtube.com/embed/r_-KpOu7tbA'\n allowfullscreen='true'\n style='border:0;'>\u003c/iframe>\n \u003c/span>\n \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\u003cp>\u003cp>The first thing typically needed for avalanche is formation of a crack.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“A crack starts to form in the weak layer and that crack tends to be very small,” Birkeland says, “it might only be on the order of centimeters or less.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If conditions are right, that crack can grow. Once it grows to a critical size, it begins to propagate on its own.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“And it’ll grow really rapidly,” says Birkeland. The growth can cause the snow to shatter like pane of glass and begin flowing downhill. “Some of the recent advances are just being able to better understand how that whole process works.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Birkeland has been at the forefront of this research, as well as studying how snow varies across a slope. Even snow that might look the same on the surface, he says, can vary widely.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There’s areas that are going to be thinner, areas that are going to be thicker. The weak layer is going to be a little bit weaker in one spot and a little bit stronger another spot.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In practical terms, that means in some areas a skier could trigger an avalanche by skiing across a slope, but in other areas they could travel safely.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We don’t know exactly where those spots exist. We have ideas.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Birkeland has worked on\u003ca href=\"https://avalanche.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/08/96_stuffblock_report.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> developing a stability tests\u003c/a> to help forecasters and trained recreationalists asses the stability of a slope. (Avalanche advisories are helpful, but tend to be general and cover a large area.) The process involves cutting out a block of snow of certain dimensions and tapping it in a certain way to determine if the weak snow layer is weak enough to fracture.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Despite advancements in the field, such as Birkeland and colleagues understanding of fracture and release dynamics, prediction remains tricky.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“No one has yet developed a computer model that can accurately predict the complexities of an avalanche. Folks are getting closer and better,”says Brandon Scwartz, director of the \u003ca href=\"https://www.sierraavalanchecenter.org/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Sierra Avalanche Center\u003c/a>, which services the back country around Tahoe. “But it’s not like weather modeling or the stock market or so many other things that are very accurately computer-modeled at this point.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A promising tool is the \u003ca href=\"https://www.slf.ch/en/services-and-products/snowpack.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">open source SNOWPACK model\u003c/a>, out of Switzerland, where it is used in some forecasting.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Safe Travels\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1939733\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\" style=\"max-width: 800px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-1939733\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2019/03/iStock-178966502-800x1200.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"1200\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2019/03/iStock-178966502-800x1200.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2019/03/iStock-178966502-160x240.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2019/03/iStock-178966502-768x1152.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2019/03/iStock-178966502-1020x1530.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2019/03/iStock-178966502-1920x2880.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2019/03/iStock-178966502.jpg 1365w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A backcountry telemark skier in in Yosemite National Park. Back country recreationalists are at the greatest risk of avalanche accidents. \u003ccite>(stshank/iStockphoto)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>If you are venturing into avalanche territory, and you’re already caught up on your local center’s predictions and warnings, there are still a number of steps you can take to increase your safety. Birkeland recommends everyone in a party carry rescue gear: including a transceiver (which sends a signal to rescuers, marking your location), a shovel and a probe. Another tool are avalanche airbags, which can float people to the top of a debris flow\u003cstrong>.\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Then, if you’re actually caught in an avalanche there are steps you can take to try to get out of it or minimize injury.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Avalanches don’t always happen like they do in movies, where a person may be swept away in a river of white. Sometimes they begin slowly and can be escaped before they pick up speed. If you trigger one, move to the edge of the slab and try to get out of the slide, if possible.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If you’re not able to do that, and you start to get tumbled around, you want to get rid of your equipment—like skis,” says Birkeland, to avoid being dragged down further into the debris.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Then you’re going to try and swim,” he says, “whatever you can do to try and stay near the surface of the snow and towards the back of the avalanche, if you can.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That might mean the backstroke. If you’re not moving very fast and you find yourself near a tree, try to grab onto it while the snow goes by. If it’s a large and fast slide, your survival chances decrease.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Really, just try and survive,” says Birkeland. “And as the avalanche starts to come to a stop, you want to take one hand and quickly move it back and forth really rapidly in front of your face.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This can create a bit of an air pocket to give you some breathing space.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“And then take your other hand and push it toward wherever you think the surfaces is. Because if someone can see your hand they can come dig a whole lot faster.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Once the avalanche comes to a stop, you are encased in snow and it will be difficult-to-impossible to move. At that point, there’s little you can do, Birkeland says.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Try to relax and wait for your partners to come and get you.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"floatright"},"numeric":["floatright"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/1939719/we-can-send-a-robot-to-mars-but-we-cant-predict-an-avalanche","authors":["11088"],"categories":["science_35"],"tags":["science_3370","science_3833","science_1462","science_107","science_3830"],"featImg":"science_1939731","label":"source_science_1939719"}},"programsReducer":{"possible":{"id":"possible","title":"Possible","info":"Possible is hosted by entrepreneur Reid Hoffman and writer Aria Finger. 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You ask the questions. You decide what Bay Curious investigates. And you join us on the journey to find the answers.","imageSrc":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Bay-Curious-Podcast-Tile-703x703-1.jpg","imageAlt":"\"KQED Bay Curious","officialWebsiteLink":"/news/series/baycurious","meta":{"site":"news","source":"kqed","order":"4"},"link":"/podcasts/baycurious","subscribe":{"apple":"https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/bay-curious/id1172473406","npr":"https://www.npr.org/podcasts/500557090/bay-curious","rss":"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/category/bay-curious-podcast/feed/podcast","google":"https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly93dzIua3FlZC5vcmcvbmV3cy9jYXRlZ29yeS9iYXktY3VyaW91cy1wb2RjYXN0L2ZlZWQvcG9kY2FzdA","stitcher":"https://www.stitcher.com/podcast/kqed/bay-curious","spotify":"https://open.spotify.com/show/6O76IdmhixfijmhTZLIJ8k"}},"bbc-world-service":{"id":"bbc-world-service","title":"BBC World Service","info":"The day's top stories from BBC News compiled twice daily in the week, once at weekends.","airtime":"MON-FRI 9pm-10pm, TUE-FRI 1am-2am","imageSrc":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/BBC-World-Service-Podcast-Tile-360x360-1.jpg","officialWebsiteLink":"https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/live:bbc_world_service","meta":{"site":"news","source":"BBC World Service"},"link":"/radio/program/bbc-world-service","subscribe":{"apple":"https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/global-news-podcast/id135067274?mt=2","tuneIn":"https://tunein.com/radio/BBC-World-Service-p455581/","rss":"https://podcasts.files.bbci.co.uk/p02nq0gn.rss"}},"code-switch-life-kit":{"id":"code-switch-life-kit","title":"Code Switch / Life Kit","info":"\u003cem>Code Switch\u003c/em>, which listeners will hear in the first part of the hour, has fearless and much-needed conversations about race. Hosted by journalists of color, the show tackles the subject of race head-on, exploring how it impacts every part of society — from politics and pop culture to history, sports and more.\u003cbr />\u003cbr />\u003cem>Life Kit\u003c/em>, which will be in the second part of the hour, guides you through spaces and feelings no one prepares you for — from finances to mental health, from workplace microaggressions to imposter syndrome, from relationships to parenting. The show features experts with real world experience and shares their knowledge. Because everyone needs a little help being human.\u003cbr />\u003cbr />\u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/podcasts/510312/codeswitch\">\u003cem>Code Switch\u003c/em> offical site and podcast\u003c/a>\u003cbr />\u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/lifekit\">\u003cem>Life Kit\u003c/em> offical site and podcast\u003c/a>\u003cbr />","airtime":"SUN 9pm-10pm","imageSrc":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Code-Switch-Life-Kit-Podcast-Tile-360x360-1.jpg","meta":{"site":"radio","source":"npr"},"link":"/radio/program/code-switch-life-kit","subscribe":{"apple":"https://podcasts.apple.com/podcast/1112190608?mt=2&at=11l79Y&ct=nprdirectory","google":"https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnByLm9yZy9yc3MvcG9kY2FzdC5waHA_aWQ9NTEwMzEy","spotify":"https://open.spotify.com/show/3bExJ9JQpkwNhoHvaIIuyV","rss":"https://feeds.npr.org/510312/podcast.xml"}},"commonwealth-club":{"id":"commonwealth-club","title":"Commonwealth Club of California Podcast","info":"The Commonwealth Club of California is the nation's oldest and largest public affairs forum. 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