Sierra Braces for Peak of Severe Storm, With Over 10 Feet of Snow Possible
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California Snowpack Starts Off the Year at Nearly Normal
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Ramesh Gautum, Chief California Cooperative Snow Surveys Program, and Lauren Miller, engineer DWR’s Snow Surveys and Water Supply Forecasting Section, help with the survey.","credit":"Ken James/California Department of Water Resources","description":null,"imgSizes":{"thumbnail":{"file":"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/35/2020/01/KJ_snow_survey_0417_01_02_20-160x122.jpg","width":160,"height":122,"mimeType":"image/jpeg"},"medium":{"file":"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/35/2020/01/KJ_snow_survey_0417_01_02_20-800x609.jpg","width":800,"height":609,"mimeType":"image/jpeg"},"medium_large":{"file":"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/35/2020/01/KJ_snow_survey_0417_01_02_20-768x585.jpg","width":768,"height":585,"mimeType":"image/jpeg"},"large":{"file":"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/35/2020/01/KJ_snow_survey_0417_01_02_20-1020x777.jpg","width":1020,"height":777,"mimeType":"image/jpeg"},"complete_open_graph":{"file":"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/35/2020/01/KJ_snow_survey_0417_01_02_20-1200x914.jpg","width":1200,"height":914,"mimeType":"image/jpeg"},"post-thumbnail":{"file":"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/35/2020/01/KJ_snow_survey_0417_01_02_20-672x372.jpg","width":672,"height":372,"mimeType":"image/jpeg"},"twentyfourteen-full-width":{"file":"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/35/2020/01/KJ_snow_survey_0417_01_02_20-1038x576.jpg","width":1038,"height":576,"mimeType":"image/jpeg"},"kqedFullSize":{"file":"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/35/2020/01/KJ_snow_survey_0417_01_02_20.jpg","width":1200,"height":914}},"fetchFailed":false,"isLoading":false}},"audioPlayerReducer":{"postId":"stream_live"},"authorsReducer":{"kqedscience":{"type":"authors","id":"6387","meta":{"index":"authors_1591205172","id":"6387","found":true},"name":"KQED Science","firstName":"KQED","lastName":"Science","slug":"kqedscience","email":"kqedscience@gmail.com","display_author_email":false,"staff_mastheads":[],"title":null,"bio":"KQED Science brings you award-winning science and environment coverage from the Bay Area and beyond by the flagship Northern California PBS and NPR affiliate.","avatar":"https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/5a295ff49cf82a8c0f30937d3f788b2f?s=600&d=blank&r=g","twitter":null,"facebook":null,"instagram":null,"linkedin":null,"sites":[{"site":"science","roles":["contributor"]},{"site":"quest","roles":["editor"]},{"site":"food","roles":["contributor"]}],"headData":{"title":"KQED Science | KQED","description":null,"ogImgSrc":"https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/5a295ff49cf82a8c0f30937d3f788b2f?s=600&d=blank&r=g","twImgSrc":"https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/5a295ff49cf82a8c0f30937d3f788b2f?s=600&d=blank&r=g"},"isLoading":false,"link":"/author/kqedscience"},"parcuni":{"type":"authors","id":"11368","meta":{"index":"authors_1591205172","id":"11368","found":true},"name":"Peter Arcuni","firstName":"Peter","lastName":"Arcuni","slug":"parcuni","email":"parcuni@KQED.org","display_author_email":false,"staff_mastheads":["science"],"title":"Reporter","bio":"Peter reports radio and online stories for \u003cem>KQED Science\u003c/em>. 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Wind gusts will also increase on Friday, ripping at 45-55 mph through the Central Valley, and faster than 75 mph over mountain peaks.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Lower elevations in the region will now also see snow over the next two days. “Snow levels have lowered to around 3000 to 4500 feet, and will lower further to 1000 to 2000 feet Saturday,” the forecast said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Their core message with this storm has not changed: \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11937204/lake-tahoe-weather-forecast-road-conditions-snow-chains\">“Extremely dangerous to impossible mountain travel is expected.”\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Snow will come down at rates of 2 to 4+ inches per hour, which will close roads and produce white-out conditions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/CaltransDist3/status/1763590430711763136\u003c/p>\n\u003cp> \u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Palisades Tahoe announced Friday morning that it would close for the day, with other ski slopes including Heavenly Ski Resort, Northstar California Resort and Sugar Bowl Resort also partially closing their terrain.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Update Thursday 11:56 a.m.: \u003c/strong>\u003cbr>\nThe huge Sierra storm is here. The forecast from the National Weather Service’s Sacramento office remains largely unchanged, with meteorologists ringing all kinds of warning bells about a blizzard that they expect to be the most severe of the past few winters – one that will create “extremely dangerous to impossible” travel conditions from Thursday afternoon through Saturday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>By the weekend, snow will be accumulating as low as 1000 feet, which could mean snow cover on low-elevation foothill cities like Applegate and Colfax (and potentially on Bay Area peaks like Mount Diablo and Mount Tamalpais)\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Wind gusts will whip to 75 mph over the mountains, combining with heavy snowfall rates to create “near zero visibility at times” beginning on Thursday but especially on Friday and Saturday. The weather service continues to tell people not to drive in the Sierra during the storm.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/NWSSacramento/status/1763264372091359472\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The agency’s latest weather forecasts also mention the possibility of thunderstorms for interior Northern California on Friday and Saturday afternoon.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Hazards from any T-storms that develop will include additional gusty winds, small hail, brief heavy rain and lightning,” said the Sacramento office’s latest forecast discussion. “As far as rainfall goes, much of the Valley will likely see generally less than 1.50″ inches through Saturday night. The foothills will see 2–4 inches, and the mountains will see 4–8 inches with locally heavier amounts.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/UCB_CSSL/status/1763242540420223219?s=20\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cb>Original Story Feb. 28:\u003cbr>\n\u003c/b>\u003cbr>\nThe Sierra Nevada could receive more than 10 feet of snow over the next three days as a massive cold storm encapsulates Northern California, \u003ca href=\"https://www.weather.gov/sto/\">according to the National Weather Service\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This is probably the biggest snowstorm potential that we’ve had in the last three years and the coldest storm we’ve seen so far this winter,” NWS Sacramento meteorologist Craig Shoemaker said. “That time [in 2021], Highway 50 was closed for days. There were a lot of trees down from that system, and power was out for a long time.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meteorologists issued a rare blizzard warning from 4 a.m. Thursday until 10 a.m. Sunday and are warning of the possibility of zero visibility. They strongly advise people to only travel in the mountains once the storm clears. The agency also issued \u003ca href=\"https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2023-03-01/major-highways-and-roads-still-closed-in-lake-tahoe-due-to-blizzard-conditions\">a similar blizzard warning in late February last year, closing highways into Tahoe and an avalanche\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re expecting dangerous travel conditions, there are likely going to be highway closures, and there’s going to be whiteout conditions at times,” he said. “There should be no travel anywhere over the Sierra, heading in on Friday and Saturday.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/NWSSacramento/status/1762920427209547823?s=20\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The massive cold air mass is moving down the West Coast from the Gulf of Alaska. The agency forecasts “a tremendous amount of snow” and wind conditions of up to 50–80 miles per hour in the Sierra, which could down trees and power lines.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The storm will bring snowfall rates of 2 to 4 inches per hour at times,” said Courtney Carpenter, NWS Sacramento Warning Coordination Meteorologist. “It’s really going to pile up pretty quickly and make things nasty.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[pullquote align=\"right\" size=\"medium\" citation=\"Courtney Carpenter, warning coordination meteorologist, NWS Sacramento \"]‘The storm will bring snowfall rates of 2 to 4 inches per hour at times. It’s really going to pile up pretty quickly and make things nasty.’[/pullquote]Carpenter said snow conditions could drop to as low as 2,000 feet in foothill areas as the storm progresses.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For ski resorts like Heavenly in South Lake Tahoe, all the snow is great for business, and resort officials said they do not yet plan to close down. They advise visitors to either head up the mountain before the storm arrives or to follow travel advice from the weather service.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“A lot of the powder hounds are excited to get out there in the deep stuff and have those fresh tracks,” said Cole Zimmerman, communications manager with the resort. “With that being said, we do expect heavy winds. There’s a chance that some of those upper mountain lifts could be closed down because of winds that could reach up to 100 miles an hour.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Zimmerman said the resort is watching the storm closely and will close down when people’s safety is in jeopardy.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There’s such a thing as too much snow in the short term because you have to dig out lifts and chip off snow and ice off those lifts,” he said. “But in the long term, it ends up being a good thing.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/US_Stormwatch/status/1762577660528787576?s=20\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>What will 10+ feet of snow do for the state’s snowpack?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>While the potential of 10 to 12 feet of snow holds much promise for the snowpack, Andrew Schwartz, lead scientist at the UC Berkeley Central Sierra Snow Lab, said weather models have routinely overestimated snow and rain levels this water year. He expects 7 to 9 feet of snow across the Sierra.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside label=\"Related Stories\" postID=\"news_11937204,news_11972590,science_1991522\"]“They’ve been overdoing it with expected amounts of precipitation all season and that makes us a little bit weary to throw big numbers out there,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For people who live in the Sierra or are visitors, Schwartz recommends buying three to five days’ worth of supplies, including food, water and flashlights. He said the best option is to hunker down in place once the cold winter storm hits.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Preparing for these storms is akin to preparing for a hurricane,” he said. “People living here are putting plywood on their windows to prevent the snow from shedding off their roofs and shattering them.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Schwartz said all this snow could bring the snowpack to just at or above average for the year. \u003ca href=\"https://cdec.water.ca.gov/snowapp/sweq.action\">At the moment, the snowpack is 71% of the April 1 average\u003c/a>, which is the timeframe water managers look to as an indicator of potential water supply for the rest of the year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Even if we got 10 to 12 feet of snow, we would still need another 2 to 4 feet to get us to the average for the entire year,” he said. “It’s not likely to be one-storm-that-fixes-all type of thing. But with that being said, it’ll definitely get us very close to that point.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Thunderstorm potential, Bay Area snow, and more\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The storm has about a 20% chance of creating thunderstorms over the foothill and the Sacramento Valley that could contain hail and lightning. Flooding risk is minimal because of the cold nature of the storm, but local nuisance flooding is possible.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Bay Area peaks like Mount Diablo and Mount Hamilton could glow white as the sizable cold storm passes over the region starting Thursday and lasting through Saturday, according to the National Weather Service.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Snow levels look like they’re going to get down to about 1,800 to 2,000 feet,” NWS Bay Area meteorologist Dalton Behringer said. “It should be a nice site with green hills and snow-capped mountains.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/NWSBayArea/status/1762826680366969298?s=20\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Behringer said the storm could drop up to an inch of rain in most parts of the Bay Area. Coastal mountains could receive a few inches of rain, and nuisance flooding could occur.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re just going to be dealing with cold rain and cloudy, dreary conditions,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said wind gusts could top out around 40 miles per hour across the region, and the agency has issued a high surf warning along the coast with waves of up to 15 feet.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When the storm passed over Northern California, Schwartz said there were “hints” that there could be another storm in a week to 10 days after the storm.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“As far as one storm after the other coming through, that’s probably somewhat unlikely,” he said. “But maybe the occasional big storm weeks apart is still very much in the cards as we move forward.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"The National Weather Service is telling people not to travel in the mountains due to blizzard conditions.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1709321008,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":41,"wordCount":1696},"headData":{"title":"Sierra Braces for Peak of Severe Storm, With Over 10 Feet of Snow Possible | KQED","description":"The National Weather Service is telling people not to travel in the mountains due to blizzard conditions.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":""},"sticky":false,"excludeFromSiteSearch":"Include","articleAge":"0","path":"/science/1991634/tahoe-braces-for-10-feet-of-snow-as-coldest-storm-in-years-approaches","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003cem>Updated 9:30 a.m. Friday:\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The first wave of what the National Weather Service has said will be \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1991662/major-storm-dumps-snow-on-the-sierra-as-california-chases-an-average-snowpack\">the most extreme Sierra snowstorm in several years\u003c/a> is behind us, having moved over the mountain range Thursday evening.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But the snow kept flying overnight:\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1763607803846091132"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>An update posted at 3:40 am on Friday by \u003ca href=\"https://www.weather.gov/wrh/TextProduct?product=afdsto\">the National Weather Service’s Sacramento office \u003c/a>said that satellite imagery shows the next wave of this storm approaching the California coast, “which will bring another increase in precipitation by [Friday] afternoon along with a chance for thunderstorms.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The peak intensity of snowfall rates still appears on track for later this afternoon and overnight across the Sierra,” said the agency. Wind gusts will also increase on Friday, ripping at 45-55 mph through the Central Valley, and faster than 75 mph over mountain peaks.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Lower elevations in the region will now also see snow over the next two days. “Snow levels have lowered to around 3000 to 4500 feet, and will lower further to 1000 to 2000 feet Saturday,” the forecast said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Their core message with this storm has not changed: \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11937204/lake-tahoe-weather-forecast-road-conditions-snow-chains\">“Extremely dangerous to impossible mountain travel is expected.”\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Snow will come down at rates of 2 to 4+ inches per hour, which will close roads and produce white-out conditions.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1763590430711763136"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp> \u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Palisades Tahoe announced Friday morning that it would close for the day, with other ski slopes including Heavenly Ski Resort, Northstar California Resort and Sugar Bowl Resort also partially closing their terrain.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Update Thursday 11:56 a.m.: \u003c/strong>\u003cbr>\nThe huge Sierra storm is here. The forecast from the National Weather Service’s Sacramento office remains largely unchanged, with meteorologists ringing all kinds of warning bells about a blizzard that they expect to be the most severe of the past few winters – one that will create “extremely dangerous to impossible” travel conditions from Thursday afternoon through Saturday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>By the weekend, snow will be accumulating as low as 1000 feet, which could mean snow cover on low-elevation foothill cities like Applegate and Colfax (and potentially on Bay Area peaks like Mount Diablo and Mount Tamalpais)\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Wind gusts will whip to 75 mph over the mountains, combining with heavy snowfall rates to create “near zero visibility at times” beginning on Thursday but especially on Friday and Saturday. The weather service continues to tell people not to drive in the Sierra during the storm.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1763264372091359472"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>The agency’s latest weather forecasts also mention the possibility of thunderstorms for interior Northern California on Friday and Saturday afternoon.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Hazards from any T-storms that develop will include additional gusty winds, small hail, brief heavy rain and lightning,” said the Sacramento office’s latest forecast discussion. “As far as rainfall goes, much of the Valley will likely see generally less than 1.50″ inches through Saturday night. The foothills will see 2–4 inches, and the mountains will see 4–8 inches with locally heavier amounts.”\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1763242540420223219"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>\u003cb>Original Story Feb. 28:\u003cbr>\n\u003c/b>\u003cbr>\nThe Sierra Nevada could receive more than 10 feet of snow over the next three days as a massive cold storm encapsulates Northern California, \u003ca href=\"https://www.weather.gov/sto/\">according to the National Weather Service\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This is probably the biggest snowstorm potential that we’ve had in the last three years and the coldest storm we’ve seen so far this winter,” NWS Sacramento meteorologist Craig Shoemaker said. “That time [in 2021], Highway 50 was closed for days. There were a lot of trees down from that system, and power was out for a long time.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meteorologists issued a rare blizzard warning from 4 a.m. Thursday until 10 a.m. Sunday and are warning of the possibility of zero visibility. They strongly advise people to only travel in the mountains once the storm clears. The agency also issued \u003ca href=\"https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2023-03-01/major-highways-and-roads-still-closed-in-lake-tahoe-due-to-blizzard-conditions\">a similar blizzard warning in late February last year, closing highways into Tahoe and an avalanche\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re expecting dangerous travel conditions, there are likely going to be highway closures, and there’s going to be whiteout conditions at times,” he said. “There should be no travel anywhere over the Sierra, heading in on Friday and Saturday.”\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1762920427209547823"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>The massive cold air mass is moving down the West Coast from the Gulf of Alaska. The agency forecasts “a tremendous amount of snow” and wind conditions of up to 50–80 miles per hour in the Sierra, which could down trees and power lines.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The storm will bring snowfall rates of 2 to 4 inches per hour at times,” said Courtney Carpenter, NWS Sacramento Warning Coordination Meteorologist. “It’s really going to pile up pretty quickly and make things nasty.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"‘The storm will bring snowfall rates of 2 to 4 inches per hour at times. It’s really going to pile up pretty quickly and make things nasty.’","name":"pullquote","attributes":{"named":{"align":"right","size":"medium","citation":"Courtney Carpenter, warning coordination meteorologist, NWS Sacramento ","label":""},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Carpenter said snow conditions could drop to as low as 2,000 feet in foothill areas as the storm progresses.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For ski resorts like Heavenly in South Lake Tahoe, all the snow is great for business, and resort officials said they do not yet plan to close down. They advise visitors to either head up the mountain before the storm arrives or to follow travel advice from the weather service.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“A lot of the powder hounds are excited to get out there in the deep stuff and have those fresh tracks,” said Cole Zimmerman, communications manager with the resort. “With that being said, we do expect heavy winds. There’s a chance that some of those upper mountain lifts could be closed down because of winds that could reach up to 100 miles an hour.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Zimmerman said the resort is watching the storm closely and will close down when people’s safety is in jeopardy.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There’s such a thing as too much snow in the short term because you have to dig out lifts and chip off snow and ice off those lifts,” he said. “But in the long term, it ends up being a good thing.”\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1762577660528787576"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003ch2>What will 10+ feet of snow do for the state’s snowpack?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>While the potential of 10 to 12 feet of snow holds much promise for the snowpack, Andrew Schwartz, lead scientist at the UC Berkeley Central Sierra Snow Lab, said weather models have routinely overestimated snow and rain levels this water year. He expects 7 to 9 feet of snow across the Sierra.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"aside","attributes":{"named":{"label":"Related Stories ","postid":"news_11937204,news_11972590,science_1991522"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“They’ve been overdoing it with expected amounts of precipitation all season and that makes us a little bit weary to throw big numbers out there,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For people who live in the Sierra or are visitors, Schwartz recommends buying three to five days’ worth of supplies, including food, water and flashlights. He said the best option is to hunker down in place once the cold winter storm hits.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Preparing for these storms is akin to preparing for a hurricane,” he said. “People living here are putting plywood on their windows to prevent the snow from shedding off their roofs and shattering them.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Schwartz said all this snow could bring the snowpack to just at or above average for the year. \u003ca href=\"https://cdec.water.ca.gov/snowapp/sweq.action\">At the moment, the snowpack is 71% of the April 1 average\u003c/a>, which is the timeframe water managers look to as an indicator of potential water supply for the rest of the year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Even if we got 10 to 12 feet of snow, we would still need another 2 to 4 feet to get us to the average for the entire year,” he said. “It’s not likely to be one-storm-that-fixes-all type of thing. But with that being said, it’ll definitely get us very close to that point.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Thunderstorm potential, Bay Area snow, and more\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The storm has about a 20% chance of creating thunderstorms over the foothill and the Sacramento Valley that could contain hail and lightning. Flooding risk is minimal because of the cold nature of the storm, but local nuisance flooding is possible.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Bay Area peaks like Mount Diablo and Mount Hamilton could glow white as the sizable cold storm passes over the region starting Thursday and lasting through Saturday, according to the National Weather Service.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Snow levels look like they’re going to get down to about 1,800 to 2,000 feet,” NWS Bay Area meteorologist Dalton Behringer said. “It should be a nice site with green hills and snow-capped mountains.”\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1762826680366969298"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>Behringer said the storm could drop up to an inch of rain in most parts of the Bay Area. Coastal mountains could receive a few inches of rain, and nuisance flooding could occur.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re just going to be dealing with cold rain and cloudy, dreary conditions,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said wind gusts could top out around 40 miles per hour across the region, and the agency has issued a high surf warning along the coast with waves of up to 15 feet.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When the storm passed over Northern California, Schwartz said there were “hints” that there could be another storm in a week to 10 days after the storm.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“As far as one storm after the other coming through, that’s probably somewhat unlikely,” he said. “But maybe the occasional big storm weeks apart is still very much in the cards as we move forward.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"floatright"},"numeric":["floatright"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/1991634/tahoe-braces-for-10-feet-of-snow-as-coldest-storm-in-years-approaches","authors":["11746","11608"],"categories":["science_35","science_40","science_4450"],"tags":["science_4417","science_4414","science_107","science_1127","science_5250","science_5251"],"featImg":"science_1991646","label":"science"},"science_1991522":{"type":"posts","id":"science_1991522","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"science","id":"1991522","score":null,"sort":[1708646831000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"februarys-storms-doubled-california-snowpack-march-could-bring-more-wet-weather","title":"February's Storms Doubled California Snowpack, March Could Bring More Wet Weather","publishDate":1708646831,"format":"standard","headTitle":"February’s Storms Doubled California Snowpack, March Could Bring More Wet Weather | KQED","labelTerm":{"site":"science"},"content":"\u003cp>At the start of the year, the California snowpack sat at an abysmal 25% of average, but after a series of storms, the Sierra is glittering white — over the last week, storms added up to 4 feet of snow to the range.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We were in pretty, pretty bad circumstances earlier this year, and we’ve come a long way,” said Andrew Schwartz, lead scientist with the UC Berkeley Central Sierra Snow Lab. “We’ve kind of clawed our way back into being a decent year.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Statewide, the snowpack is now \u003ca href=\"https://cdec.water.ca.gov/snowapp/sweq.action\">86% of normal for this time of year. And 70% of the April 1 average\u003c/a>, which is the end of the water year and the typical height of the state’s frozen reservoir. Storms over the last month more than doubled the size of the snowpack.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/NWSSacramento/status/1760404780353196466?s=20\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>At his lab north of Lake Tahoe, over the past week, more than 3 1/2 feet of snow fell during three February storms.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/UCB_CSSL/status/1760343198524912012?s=20\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Chasing average\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>All of these storms — and more potentially on their way in March — put California in a good position to have an average water year. The last time that happened was 2016.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s exceedingly rare that we ever really hit average in California,” he said. “To be around average is kind of nice for once because we’re not worrying about our water resources and our water allocations. But we’re also not worrying so much about [so much] snow that roofs collapse and businesses shut down.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>An average water year can be good for ski resorts like Palisades Tahoe. Big storms can prevent people from accessing resorts, like last winter when 46 atmospheric rivers landed over the West Coast and 32 pummeled Northern California. The storms lifted most of the state from drought conditions, and the sheer volume of water caused catastrophic flooding, bursting levees and reawakening a ghost in the form of Tulare Lake, which had been dry earth in the San Joaquin Valley for over a century.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There is such a thing as too much snow, where the resort can’t even open sometimes because there is that much snow,” said Patrick Lacey, public relations manager for the resort.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said this month’s storms piled snow on the mountains around the resort without overwhelming it and nearby communities.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This has really helped out with our snow totals,” Lacey said. “We are currently sitting at 225 inches for the season. Obviously, that’s not last year’s numbers, but we’re sitting pretty right now, especially in February.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Lacey said the additional 3 1/2 feet of snow arrived just in time for the \u003ca href=\"https://usskiandsnowboard.org/events/stifel-palisades-tahoe-cup\">Stifel Palisades Tahoe Cup\u003c/a> this weekend, where more than a hundred athletes from 28 countries will compete. The ski competition is part of the Audi FIS Ski World Cup circuit.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s skiing really good out there,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>The future is looking average — and snowy\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The next potential for rain and snow is early next week, which UC Berkeley’s Schwartz said may help the state to finally climb out of the “deficit we incurred early in the year” with a dry start to the winter.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s still far out to make promises, but it looks like it will be a stormy start to March, which should further help us out,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Katrina Hand, a National Weather Service Meteorologist in Sacramento, said the agency expects another storm system to move over the Sierra early next week. While the storm may not be as strong as the last several, it could still create travel issues along mountain passes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Looking at the current forecast, we do have anywhere from a few inches locally up to a foot in terms of the total snow over that time frame,” she said. “It is still a few days away, so we are fine-tuning those details. But at the very least, I would encourage people to plan for some wintry weather over that late Sunday through Tuesday time frame in the Sierra.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/NWSCPC/status/1760402440598216833\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While the recent snow is great, Michael Anderson, the state’s official climatologist, said the storms did not evenly distribute snow across the Sierra. The Northern Sierra is aglow in white; the Central and Southern Sierra received less snow and may stay that way if storms shift north as spring gets closer.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It doesn’t mean there won’t still be that opportunity in March for those storms to sag a little bit further south, but we are starting to see that seasonal progression that [typically] moves the storms back north,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But, Anderson said reservoir levels are in good shape at 118% of the historical average but could benefit from a more extensive snowpack. The California Department of Water Resources reports storms from the start of January to Feb. 20 have provided enough water to supply 4.8 million people or 1.5 million households with water for an entire year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[pullquote align=\"right\" size=\"medium\" citation=\"Michael Anderson, state climatologist, California Department of Water Resources\"]‘Right now, we’re looking at a fairly strong start to March potentially with these storms, [which could] get us that last bit of water we need to get us to a good spot.’[/pullquote]“Because we had such a big water year last year, it does dent that impact,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The NWS Climate Prediction Center suggests that moderate to heavy rain and snow could be in the forecast for late February into early March.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Right now, we’re looking at a fairly strong start to March potentially with these storms, [which could] get us that last bit of water we need to get us to a good spot,” Anderson said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Anderson said El Niño will likely dissipate in spring, and the possibility of a La Niña year follows. A La Niña year can mean dry conditions, especially in Southern California, but it doesn’t always — as California learned last winter when storm after storm drenched the state.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re going to pay real close attention to that and look and see what the seasonal forecasters can tell us, but right now, we have to be ready for anything,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Climate change imprints even an average year\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>For the most part, this year’s storms have not been extreme or even close to the flooding scenarios scientists predict California will experience in a warming world. But Lawrence Berkeley National Lab atmospheric scientist Alan Rhoades said a series of false starts the state experienced over the past few years — where meteorological conditions delayed the rainy season — is due, in part, to the changing climate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside label=\"Related Stories\" postID=\"science_1985965,science_1991290,science_1983097\"]Rhoades notes that the atmospheric rivers hovered over California over the last few years, resulting in lots of rain and snow all at once.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re getting a lot of the rain, but then maybe not always getting the average kind of water year totals you would expect,” he said. “Our future might be more of a whiplash between drys and wets.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Rhoades said it’s also important to remember that there’s another threat to the snowpack partly caused by anthropogenic climate change. Even if the snowpack grows, just one heat wave could melt a large portion. The state relies on its snowpack to supply a vast agricultural industry and millions of Californians with water.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He recalled a 2021 heat wave in the Pacific Northwest that \u003ca href=\"https://www.seattlepi.com/weather/article/mount-rainier-snow-melt-off-heat-wave-16340241.php\">melted 30% of the Mount Rainier in about a week\u003c/a>. Last April, climate scientists warned the public that a heat wave could trigger rapid snowmelt, causing flooding in the Central Valley.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said there’s strong evidence that human-caused climate change has decreased snowpacks throughout the Western United States for the last 50 to 70 years. He said that is partly due to more snow falling as rain during storms.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We might have these average years like we’re experiencing in California, but heading into the future, there’s just going to be less opportunity,” he said. “Warming amplifies that natural cycle that we already experience in extremes that we get, and then concentrates storms that we do get into a select number of months in the mid-winter.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"The recent storms have more than doubled the California snowpack, and meteorologists forecast that March could be a wet month. ","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1708648855,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":33,"wordCount":1477},"headData":{"title":"February's Storms Doubled California Snowpack, March Could Bring More Wet Weather | KQED","description":"The recent storms have more than doubled the California snowpack, and meteorologists forecast that March could be a wet month. ","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":""},"sticky":false,"excludeFromSiteSearch":"Include","articleAge":"0","path":"/science/1991522/februarys-storms-doubled-california-snowpack-march-could-bring-more-wet-weather","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>At the start of the year, the California snowpack sat at an abysmal 25% of average, but after a series of storms, the Sierra is glittering white — over the last week, storms added up to 4 feet of snow to the range.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We were in pretty, pretty bad circumstances earlier this year, and we’ve come a long way,” said Andrew Schwartz, lead scientist with the UC Berkeley Central Sierra Snow Lab. “We’ve kind of clawed our way back into being a decent year.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Statewide, the snowpack is now \u003ca href=\"https://cdec.water.ca.gov/snowapp/sweq.action\">86% of normal for this time of year. And 70% of the April 1 average\u003c/a>, which is the end of the water year and the typical height of the state’s frozen reservoir. Storms over the last month more than doubled the size of the snowpack.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1760404780353196466"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>At his lab north of Lake Tahoe, over the past week, more than 3 1/2 feet of snow fell during three February storms.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1760343198524912012"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003ch2>Chasing average\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>All of these storms — and more potentially on their way in March — put California in a good position to have an average water year. The last time that happened was 2016.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s exceedingly rare that we ever really hit average in California,” he said. “To be around average is kind of nice for once because we’re not worrying about our water resources and our water allocations. But we’re also not worrying so much about [so much] snow that roofs collapse and businesses shut down.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>An average water year can be good for ski resorts like Palisades Tahoe. Big storms can prevent people from accessing resorts, like last winter when 46 atmospheric rivers landed over the West Coast and 32 pummeled Northern California. The storms lifted most of the state from drought conditions, and the sheer volume of water caused catastrophic flooding, bursting levees and reawakening a ghost in the form of Tulare Lake, which had been dry earth in the San Joaquin Valley for over a century.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There is such a thing as too much snow, where the resort can’t even open sometimes because there is that much snow,” said Patrick Lacey, public relations manager for the resort.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said this month’s storms piled snow on the mountains around the resort without overwhelming it and nearby communities.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This has really helped out with our snow totals,” Lacey said. “We are currently sitting at 225 inches for the season. Obviously, that’s not last year’s numbers, but we’re sitting pretty right now, especially in February.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Lacey said the additional 3 1/2 feet of snow arrived just in time for the \u003ca href=\"https://usskiandsnowboard.org/events/stifel-palisades-tahoe-cup\">Stifel Palisades Tahoe Cup\u003c/a> this weekend, where more than a hundred athletes from 28 countries will compete. The ski competition is part of the Audi FIS Ski World Cup circuit.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s skiing really good out there,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>The future is looking average — and snowy\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The next potential for rain and snow is early next week, which UC Berkeley’s Schwartz said may help the state to finally climb out of the “deficit we incurred early in the year” with a dry start to the winter.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s still far out to make promises, but it looks like it will be a stormy start to March, which should further help us out,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Katrina Hand, a National Weather Service Meteorologist in Sacramento, said the agency expects another storm system to move over the Sierra early next week. While the storm may not be as strong as the last several, it could still create travel issues along mountain passes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Looking at the current forecast, we do have anywhere from a few inches locally up to a foot in terms of the total snow over that time frame,” she said. “It is still a few days away, so we are fine-tuning those details. But at the very least, I would encourage people to plan for some wintry weather over that late Sunday through Tuesday time frame in the Sierra.”\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1760402440598216833"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>While the recent snow is great, Michael Anderson, the state’s official climatologist, said the storms did not evenly distribute snow across the Sierra. The Northern Sierra is aglow in white; the Central and Southern Sierra received less snow and may stay that way if storms shift north as spring gets closer.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It doesn’t mean there won’t still be that opportunity in March for those storms to sag a little bit further south, but we are starting to see that seasonal progression that [typically] moves the storms back north,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But, Anderson said reservoir levels are in good shape at 118% of the historical average but could benefit from a more extensive snowpack. The California Department of Water Resources reports storms from the start of January to Feb. 20 have provided enough water to supply 4.8 million people or 1.5 million households with water for an entire year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"‘Right now, we’re looking at a fairly strong start to March potentially with these storms, [which could] get us that last bit of water we need to get us to a good spot.’","name":"pullquote","attributes":{"named":{"align":"right","size":"medium","citation":"Michael Anderson, state climatologist, California Department of Water Resources","label":""},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“Because we had such a big water year last year, it does dent that impact,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The NWS Climate Prediction Center suggests that moderate to heavy rain and snow could be in the forecast for late February into early March.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Right now, we’re looking at a fairly strong start to March potentially with these storms, [which could] get us that last bit of water we need to get us to a good spot,” Anderson said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Anderson said El Niño will likely dissipate in spring, and the possibility of a La Niña year follows. A La Niña year can mean dry conditions, especially in Southern California, but it doesn’t always — as California learned last winter when storm after storm drenched the state.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re going to pay real close attention to that and look and see what the seasonal forecasters can tell us, but right now, we have to be ready for anything,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Climate change imprints even an average year\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>For the most part, this year’s storms have not been extreme or even close to the flooding scenarios scientists predict California will experience in a warming world. But Lawrence Berkeley National Lab atmospheric scientist Alan Rhoades said a series of false starts the state experienced over the past few years — where meteorological conditions delayed the rainy season — is due, in part, to the changing climate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"aside","attributes":{"named":{"label":"Related Stories ","postid":"science_1985965,science_1991290,science_1983097"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Rhoades notes that the atmospheric rivers hovered over California over the last few years, resulting in lots of rain and snow all at once.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re getting a lot of the rain, but then maybe not always getting the average kind of water year totals you would expect,” he said. “Our future might be more of a whiplash between drys and wets.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Rhoades said it’s also important to remember that there’s another threat to the snowpack partly caused by anthropogenic climate change. Even if the snowpack grows, just one heat wave could melt a large portion. The state relies on its snowpack to supply a vast agricultural industry and millions of Californians with water.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He recalled a 2021 heat wave in the Pacific Northwest that \u003ca href=\"https://www.seattlepi.com/weather/article/mount-rainier-snow-melt-off-heat-wave-16340241.php\">melted 30% of the Mount Rainier in about a week\u003c/a>. Last April, climate scientists warned the public that a heat wave could trigger rapid snowmelt, causing flooding in the Central Valley.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said there’s strong evidence that human-caused climate change has decreased snowpacks throughout the Western United States for the last 50 to 70 years. He said that is partly due to more snow falling as rain during storms.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We might have these average years like we’re experiencing in California, but heading into the future, there’s just going to be less opportunity,” he said. “Warming amplifies that natural cycle that we already experience in extremes that we get, and then concentrates storms that we do get into a select number of months in the mid-winter.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"floatright"},"numeric":["floatright"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/1991522/februarys-storms-doubled-california-snowpack-march-could-bring-more-wet-weather","authors":["11746"],"categories":["science_4450"],"tags":["science_572","science_4417","science_4414","science_1127","science_2878","science_201"],"featImg":"science_1991524","label":"science"},"science_1985965":{"type":"posts","id":"science_1985965","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"science","id":"1985965","score":null,"sort":[1704240037000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"californias-snowpack-at-record-lows-one-quarter-of-normal-in-first-measurement-of-year","title":"California's Snowpack at Record Lows, One-Quarter of Normal in First Measurement of Year","publishDate":1704240037,"format":"standard","headTitle":"California’s Snowpack at Record Lows, One-Quarter of Normal in First Measurement of Year | KQED","labelTerm":{"site":"science"},"content":"\u003cp>Standing on a patch of snow near Lake Tahoe, Sean de Guzman, manager of the state’s Snow Surveys and Water Supply Forecasting section, pierced the snow with a metal tube to detect how much snow was on Tuesday’s ground. He then added the number to \u003ca href=\"https://cdec.water.ca.gov/snowapp/sweq.action\">a statewide database of snow measurements\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The bad news? He found the snowpack across the entire Sierra Nevada is just one-quarter of normal. One year ago, he stood on about five feet of snow here \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1982147/california-snowpack-may-hold-record-amount-of-water-with-significant-flooding-possible\">when the snowpack was at 177% of normal\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Today’s result shows that it’s really still too early to determine what kind of year we’ll have in terms of wet or dry,” de Guzman said. “Luckily, our statewide reservoirs are still well above average this time of year, thanks partly to how wet it was last year.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The other good news is that meteorologists expect a winter storm to pile up more than a foot of snow on the Sierra Nevada tonight and tomorrow morning.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“A cold front is coming in, so the storm is gonna be a little bit colder and snow elevations lower,” de Guzman said. That’ll add snow to the pack.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/UCB_CSSL/status/1742250438123225550?s=20\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Despite these initial measurement numbers, the Climate Prediction Center’s seasonal outlook for January, February and March still shows an increased chance of above-normal precipitation and snow, partly because this year is an El Niño year. With that climate pattern in mind, there is a possibility that storm after storm could batter the state, ultimately building up the snowpack to record levels.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Right now, California’s preparing for both extreme conditions, either extremely dry or extremely wet conditions,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/NWSSacramento/status/1742278337001828862?s=20\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>However, not all El Niño years guarantee a wet winter because they “span the gap from dry years to wet years. So by itself, El Niño’s really not a good predictor of the water year,” state climatologist Michael Anderson said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This year, UCLA climate scientist Daniel Swain said a warm December led to “an absolutely abysmal snowpack.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“What this means, as of today, is that the snowpack is at or below all-time record low numbers for the beginning of January,” he said. “I know that it is pretty alarming.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said there is a possibility of a sequence of three to five storms in the near future that could help build the snowpack, but he said there may be snow drought conditions this winter in part because of warmer temperatures.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I don’t necessarily think this is going to be a good snow year,” he said. “In fact, it might end up being a pretty bad snow year.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When looking back to 1978, UC Berkeley Central Sierra Snow Lab’s Andrew Schwartz said snowfall in California is declining about every month and rainfall is increasing. Those warmer temperatures and decreasing snowfall could complicate how the state stores water for the rest of the year. The snowpack is considered a frozen reservoir that slowly melts into rivers, streams and reservoirs, but if too much snow comes as rain instead, it could overwhelm reservoirs and may complicate water storage for drier times.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This really shows us that our snow season is getting shorter,” he said. “We’re going to have to plan for shorter periods of snowpack and the complications that may bring with our management of water resources.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1985949\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/science/240102-snow-survey-dwr-fg-02-kqed/\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1985949\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-02-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"An open field with patches of snow and bare grass.\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-02-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-02-KQED-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-02-KQED-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-02-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-02-KQED-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-02-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-02-KQED-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">So far, the snow levels are lacking depth, with a number of bare spots in the meadow where the California Department of Water Resources conducted its first snow survey of the 2024 season. \u003ccite>(Andrew Nixon/California Department of Water Resources)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>In the Bay Area, up to an inch of rain could fall in the first storm this week, said National Weather Service meteorologist Dylan Flynn. He expects wind gusts of up to 30 miles per hour and a slight chance of thunderstorms overnight.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/NWSBayArea/status/1742293541580415215?s=20\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>However, the storm is not a slow-moving storm riding an atmospheric river, which can dump rain, creating flooding issues.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s just beneficial rain to help our rainfall totals for the year, but we don’t really have a big flooding threat,” he said\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Flynn forecasts two storm systems Friday and Saturday but said they will likely produce even less rain than today’s storm.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“But looking ahead over the next two weeks, that kind of trend is going to continue, where every three days or five days or so, there’s going to be another system that comes through and gives a good amount of rain,” he said. “But there’s nothing that looks like a major, major rain producer like we saw this time last year.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"Storms this week could add to the snowpack, but climate experts are concerned over the year’s shaky start.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1704845785,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":21,"wordCount":851},"headData":{"title":"California's Snowpack at Record Lows, One-Quarter of Normal in First Measurement of Year | KQED","description":"Storms this week could add to the snowpack, but climate experts are concerned over the year’s shaky start.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":""},"sticky":false,"excludeFromSiteSearch":"Include","articleAge":"0","path":"/science/1985965/californias-snowpack-at-record-lows-one-quarter-of-normal-in-first-measurement-of-year","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Standing on a patch of snow near Lake Tahoe, Sean de Guzman, manager of the state’s Snow Surveys and Water Supply Forecasting section, pierced the snow with a metal tube to detect how much snow was on Tuesday’s ground. He then added the number to \u003ca href=\"https://cdec.water.ca.gov/snowapp/sweq.action\">a statewide database of snow measurements\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The bad news? He found the snowpack across the entire Sierra Nevada is just one-quarter of normal. One year ago, he stood on about five feet of snow here \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1982147/california-snowpack-may-hold-record-amount-of-water-with-significant-flooding-possible\">when the snowpack was at 177% of normal\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Today’s result shows that it’s really still too early to determine what kind of year we’ll have in terms of wet or dry,” de Guzman said. “Luckily, our statewide reservoirs are still well above average this time of year, thanks partly to how wet it was last year.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The other good news is that meteorologists expect a winter storm to pile up more than a foot of snow on the Sierra Nevada tonight and tomorrow morning.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“A cold front is coming in, so the storm is gonna be a little bit colder and snow elevations lower,” de Guzman said. That’ll add snow to the pack.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1742250438123225550"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>Despite these initial measurement numbers, the Climate Prediction Center’s seasonal outlook for January, February and March still shows an increased chance of above-normal precipitation and snow, partly because this year is an El Niño year. With that climate pattern in mind, there is a possibility that storm after storm could batter the state, ultimately building up the snowpack to record levels.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Right now, California’s preparing for both extreme conditions, either extremely dry or extremely wet conditions,” he said.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1742278337001828862"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>However, not all El Niño years guarantee a wet winter because they “span the gap from dry years to wet years. So by itself, El Niño’s really not a good predictor of the water year,” state climatologist Michael Anderson said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This year, UCLA climate scientist Daniel Swain said a warm December led to “an absolutely abysmal snowpack.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“What this means, as of today, is that the snowpack is at or below all-time record low numbers for the beginning of January,” he said. “I know that it is pretty alarming.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said there is a possibility of a sequence of three to five storms in the near future that could help build the snowpack, but he said there may be snow drought conditions this winter in part because of warmer temperatures.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I don’t necessarily think this is going to be a good snow year,” he said. “In fact, it might end up being a pretty bad snow year.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When looking back to 1978, UC Berkeley Central Sierra Snow Lab’s Andrew Schwartz said snowfall in California is declining about every month and rainfall is increasing. Those warmer temperatures and decreasing snowfall could complicate how the state stores water for the rest of the year. The snowpack is considered a frozen reservoir that slowly melts into rivers, streams and reservoirs, but if too much snow comes as rain instead, it could overwhelm reservoirs and may complicate water storage for drier times.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This really shows us that our snow season is getting shorter,” he said. “We’re going to have to plan for shorter periods of snowpack and the complications that may bring with our management of water resources.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1985949\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/science/240102-snow-survey-dwr-fg-02-kqed/\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1985949\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-02-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"An open field with patches of snow and bare grass.\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-02-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-02-KQED-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-02-KQED-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-02-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-02-KQED-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-02-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-02-KQED-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">So far, the snow levels are lacking depth, with a number of bare spots in the meadow where the California Department of Water Resources conducted its first snow survey of the 2024 season. \u003ccite>(Andrew Nixon/California Department of Water Resources)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>In the Bay Area, up to an inch of rain could fall in the first storm this week, said National Weather Service meteorologist Dylan Flynn. He expects wind gusts of up to 30 miles per hour and a slight chance of thunderstorms overnight.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1742293541580415215"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>However, the storm is not a slow-moving storm riding an atmospheric river, which can dump rain, creating flooding issues.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s just beneficial rain to help our rainfall totals for the year, but we don’t really have a big flooding threat,” he said\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Flynn forecasts two storm systems Friday and Saturday but said they will likely produce even less rain than today’s storm.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“But looking ahead over the next two weeks, that kind of trend is going to continue, where every three days or five days or so, there’s going to be another system that comes through and gives a good amount of rain,” he said. “But there’s nothing that looks like a major, major rain producer like we saw this time last year.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/1985965/californias-snowpack-at-record-lows-one-quarter-of-normal-in-first-measurement-of-year","authors":["11746"],"categories":["science_31","science_40","science_4450"],"tags":["science_572","science_371","science_1127"],"featImg":"science_1985951","label":"science"},"science_1978337":{"type":"posts","id":"science_1978337","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"science","id":"1978337","score":null,"sort":[1643765727000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"with-snowpack-in-decline-californias-weather-whiplash-could-mean-alternating-drought-and-flooding","title":"With Snowpack in Decline, California's 'Weather Whiplash' Could Mean Alternating Drought and Flooding","publishDate":1643765727,"format":"standard","headTitle":"With Snowpack in Decline, California’s ‘Weather Whiplash’ Could Mean Alternating Drought and Flooding | KQED","labelTerm":{"site":"science"},"content":"\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">California is deep into its rainy season, inching toward a make-or-break moment in building the Sierra Nevada snowpack that millions of Californians rely on for drinking water. \u003c/span>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u003cbr>\n\u003c/span>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u003cbr>\n\u003c/span>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">What’s happening here is that the state is experiencing a phenomenon called weather whiplash. Warming temperatures are deepening California’s already natural weather pattern: wet, then super-dry conditions that can be accentuated by heat waves, which can melt precious snow reservoirs early and cause flooding. After multiple atmospheric rivers in December and a virtually dry January, the state is oscillating between climate extremes in real time. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">On New Year’s Day, the \u003ca href=\"https://water.ca.gov/News/News-Releases/2021/Dec-21/DWR-12-30-21-Snow-Survey\">statewide snowpack was 160% of normal\u003c/a>\u003c/span>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\"> for that date. But a month later, the \u003ca href=\"https://water.ca.gov/News/News-Releases/2022/Feb-22/Snow-Survey-February-2022\">snowpack fell to 92% of normal\u003c/a>, and while that sounds relatively high, it’s been much sunnier and warmer at high elevations. Still, Sean de Guzman, snow survey manager with the California Department of Water Resources, says only about an inch of the water that’s within the snowpack has been lost. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">“Our climate is experiencing these volatile shifts from wet to dry year after year and even month after month,” he said. “That one dry month of January basically wiped out whatever head start we had.”\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">What’s even more daunting is there’s little to no snow or rain forecast for weeks, smack-dab in the middle of what’s supposed to be the wettest time of year. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/Weather_West/status/1488232082136436736?s=20&t=JU_yp8MNm4e3CBnSQ8pzYg\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">“We all need to be prepared for another consecutive dry year,” de Guzman said. “We are coming into February — that third (and) last month of that wet period — and the first half of it, we’re not going to be getting anything. So that’s why we’re starting to get more concerned.”\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">With nearly the entire \u003ca href=\"https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?CA\">state still in a moderate drought\u003c/a>, California is staring down the prospect of a severe third year of drought, says \u003c/span>\u003ca href=\"https://twitter.com/newshaajami\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">Newsha Ajami\u003c/span>\u003c/a>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">, who studies water resiliency and is the chief development officer for research at the Earth and Environmental Sciences Area at the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory.\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">“We’re sort of hitting records very quickly, back and forth,” she said. “If you live in the Bay Area, because we depend on water that comes from the Sierra, things that happen up there can impact our water availability and water security. So, that’s why we all should care about it.”\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">With the great potential that this third year of drought will deepen, Ajami says water agencies and Californians need to be strategic about how we use the little water we have stored. The majority of the state’s \u003ca href=\"https://cdec.water.ca.gov/resapp/RescondMain\">reservoirs are well below their historical average\u003c/a> for this time of year, including the largest reservoirs like Shasta and Oroville. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">“We don’t know what’s going to happen next, and just because we had one or two storms doesn’t mean we’re out of the drought,” she said of December atmospheric rivers that \u003c/span>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11898885/atmospheric-river-brings-heavy-rain-parts-of-bay-area-under-flood-advisory\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">flooded parts of the Bay Area\u003c/span>\u003c/a>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">. “I just want to reemphasize the fact that our ecosystem, our groundwater levels, and our water system generally have been going through so much stress.”\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/CA_DWR/status/1488610869940416512?s=20&t=JU_yp8MNm4e3CBnSQ8pzYg\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">Cities across Santa Clara County are already feeling the stress of two years of dry times, made worse by the region’s main reservoir being out of commission due to seismic retrofitting. \u003ca href=\"https://valleywateralert.org/scvwd/rgi.php\">Reservoirs within the Santa Clara Valley Water District\u003c/a>, serving more than 2 million residents, are \u003c/span>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">26%\u003c/span>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\"> full, said Gary Kremen, chair of the Santa Clara Valley Water District Board.\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">“More than half of the water we use is imported hundreds of miles away, and the source of that is the snowpack,” Kremen said. “When the snowpack is good, generally that’s very good for us. And when it’s down below average, that’s not as good.”\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">Kremen says despite the worsening state of drought, water use in December increased by 4% from 2019 levels. He says residents need to live as if no more rain is in the future.\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">“I know folks kind of had enough hearing from the government saying, ‘Do this or do that,’ but just like the virus, it’s important,” he said. “We’re hoping conservation will work, so we don’t have to need restrictions. But we can’t count on that. That’s why it’s super important to save every drop.”\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003cstrong>‘More rainfall and less snow’\u003c/strong>\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">Although the state is locked in a dry pattern, state water officials are also worried about the opposite. Scientists forecast that as the climate continues to warm, much of California’s snow will fall as rain, causing massive flooding. \u003c/span>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u003cbr>\n\u003c/span>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u003cbr>\n\u003c/span>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">The Department of Water Resources will be updating its \u003c/span>\u003ca href=\"https://water.ca.gov/Programs/Flood-Management/Flood-Planning-and-Studies/Central-Valley-Flood-Protection-Plan\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">Central Valley Flood Protection Plan\u003c/span>\u003c/a>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\"> sometime in March with new projections of what flooding could be like in a warmer climate. Mike Mierzwa, the state’s floodplain manager, says it will showcase how warming temperatures will lead to an exponential rise in flooding.\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">Snow typically melts slowly into rivers that run down from deep in the mountains, but that’s gradually changing as the climate warms. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1978344\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-1978344 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/2022Snow_Explainer_en_title_lg.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1080\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/2022Snow_Explainer_en_title_lg.png 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/2022Snow_Explainer_en_title_lg-800x450.png 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/2022Snow_Explainer_en_title_lg-1020x574.png 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/2022Snow_Explainer_en_title_lg-160x90.png 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/2022Snow_Explainer_en_title_lg-768x432.png 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/2022Snow_Explainer_en_title_lg-1536x864.png 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Warmer air can hold more moisture — which can lead to heavier rain or snow depending on the temperature. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of Climate Central)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">“With climate change, you’re going to have more and more rainfall and less snow. So, that means more water all at once,” said Mierzwa.\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">One-hundred-year flood events along the San Joaquin River could grow in severity by as much as fivefold over the next half-century, causing billions of dollars in damage to large population centers like Stockton and small towns like Firebaugh. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">“Not taking action, hundreds of lives per year could be lost,” Mierzwa said. “When a big event happens, it could be an event on the order of what happened in New Orleans.”\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">Warming temperatures will also increase the size of minor floods that happen every five to 10 years. And even those floods can be deadly.\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">Mierzwa says DWR will propose solutions for a far wetter future in places like Stockton. These range from raising levees, making room in reservoirs, and flooding farms or parks when flows are high. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1978351\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\" style=\"max-width: 960px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-1978351 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/dos_rios_ranch_complete_and_flooded.jpg\" alt=\"A view overlooking a flooded valley with a raised meandering road through it, light-brown mountains in the background and fluffy white clouds above them. \" width=\"960\" height=\"608\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/dos_rios_ranch_complete_and_flooded.jpg 960w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/dos_rios_ranch_complete_and_flooded-800x507.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/dos_rios_ranch_complete_and_flooded-160x101.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/dos_rios_ranch_complete_and_flooded-768x486.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 960px) 100vw, 960px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Water floods a restored floodplain at Dos Rios Ranch Preserve near Modesto. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of River Partners)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">John Cain, the conservation director for the nonprofit \u003ca href=\"https://riverpartners.org/\">River Partners\u003c/a>, would like to see \u003ca href=\"https://riverpartners.org/news/california-spent-decades-trying-to-keep-central-valley-floods-at-bay-now-it-looks-to-welcome-them-back/\">large land areas opened up for rivers to spill into during huge rain events.\u003c/a> Bypasses have helped protect places like Sacramento from flooding, but further south, he says, Stockton needs ways for the river to escape without harming people or property during big flood events. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">“The Sacramento Valley has seen huge investments in the levee and flood bypass system over the 19th and 20th centuries, and by contrast, the San Joaquin Valley is that poor stepchild [that] hasn’t gotten the attention,” he said. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">Stockton is one of the places most vulnerable to a significant flood in all of California. On the south side of the city, next to Interstate 5, the Van Buskirk Levee holds back an arm of the San Joaquin River from hundreds of homes.\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">As a longtime environmental advocate and Stockton resident, \u003ca href=\"https://www.restorethedelta.org/board-members-staff/\">Barbara Barrigan-Parrilla\u003c/a> is worried this levee could easily overtop or fail, flooding a neighborhood of primarily Black and Brown working-class residents’ homes. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1978345\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\" style=\"max-width: 640px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-1978345 size-large\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/IMG_3900-1020x765.jpg\" alt=\" A view down a long, earthen, rocky levee that runs alongside a green river about the same width, with scrabbly green trees on all verges, beneath a clear, sunny, blue sky.\" width=\"640\" height=\"480\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/IMG_3900-1020x765.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/IMG_3900-800x600.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/IMG_3900-160x120.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/IMG_3900-768x576.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/IMG_3900-1536x1152.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/IMG_3900-2048x1536.jpg 2048w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/IMG_3900-1920x1440.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Stockton sits on the edge of the Sacramento-San Joaquin River Delta. As the climate warms, the region likely will become more susceptible to flooding. \u003ccite>(Ezra David Romero/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp> \u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">“If \u003c/span>\u003ca href=\"https://www.climateassessment.ca.gov/\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">California’s Fourth Climate Change Assessment\u003c/span>\u003c/a>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\"> is correct, we’re going to have overtopping of levees on both sides here,” she said. “To leave this side of the city with such an inadequate levee is just morally wrong.”\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">Protecting Stockton’s 300,000 people will take remedies such as flooding farms in the worst storms, and will need to include strengthening levees, which is already happening in some parts of the city. But so far there is no real solution set in stone for the Van Buskirk Levee, says \u003ca href=\"https://www.sjafca.org/Home/Components/StaffDirectory/StaffDirectory/14/55\">Chris Elias\u003c/a>, executive director of the San Joaquin Area Flood Control Agency. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">“Priority 1 is life safety, then property — because they don’t want to cause dislocation to people’s lives — and then the economy,” he said. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">The new projections from state water officials likely will complicate reinforcing the levee, and he says progress is trickling, not flowing. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">“We are working very closely with the city to look at what the options are and how we can collaborate for a win-win-win solution,” he added. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">But for a solution to be a win for all Stocktonians, Elias says it must protect lower-income neighborhoods just beyond this existing mound of dirt. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"California is deep into its rainy season, inching toward a make-or-break moment in building the Sierra Nevada snowpack that millions of Californians rely on for drinking water.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1704846320,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":32,"wordCount":1566},"headData":{"title":"With Snowpack in Decline, California's 'Weather Whiplash' Could Mean Alternating Drought and Flooding | KQED","description":"California is deep into its rainy season, inching toward a make-or-break moment in building the Sierra Nevada snowpack that millions of Californians rely on for drinking water.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":""},"sticky":false,"excludeFromSiteSearch":"Include","path":"/science/1978337/with-snowpack-in-decline-californias-weather-whiplash-could-mean-alternating-drought-and-flooding","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">California is deep into its rainy season, inching toward a make-or-break moment in building the Sierra Nevada snowpack that millions of Californians rely on for drinking water. \u003c/span>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u003cbr>\n\u003c/span>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u003cbr>\n\u003c/span>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">What’s happening here is that the state is experiencing a phenomenon called weather whiplash. Warming temperatures are deepening California’s already natural weather pattern: wet, then super-dry conditions that can be accentuated by heat waves, which can melt precious snow reservoirs early and cause flooding. After multiple atmospheric rivers in December and a virtually dry January, the state is oscillating between climate extremes in real time. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">On New Year’s Day, the \u003ca href=\"https://water.ca.gov/News/News-Releases/2021/Dec-21/DWR-12-30-21-Snow-Survey\">statewide snowpack was 160% of normal\u003c/a>\u003c/span>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\"> for that date. But a month later, the \u003ca href=\"https://water.ca.gov/News/News-Releases/2022/Feb-22/Snow-Survey-February-2022\">snowpack fell to 92% of normal\u003c/a>, and while that sounds relatively high, it’s been much sunnier and warmer at high elevations. Still, Sean de Guzman, snow survey manager with the California Department of Water Resources, says only about an inch of the water that’s within the snowpack has been lost. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">“Our climate is experiencing these volatile shifts from wet to dry year after year and even month after month,” he said. “That one dry month of January basically wiped out whatever head start we had.”\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">What’s even more daunting is there’s little to no snow or rain forecast for weeks, smack-dab in the middle of what’s supposed to be the wettest time of year. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1488232082136436736"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">“We all need to be prepared for another consecutive dry year,” de Guzman said. “We are coming into February — that third (and) last month of that wet period — and the first half of it, we’re not going to be getting anything. So that’s why we’re starting to get more concerned.”\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">With nearly the entire \u003ca href=\"https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?CA\">state still in a moderate drought\u003c/a>, California is staring down the prospect of a severe third year of drought, says \u003c/span>\u003ca href=\"https://twitter.com/newshaajami\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">Newsha Ajami\u003c/span>\u003c/a>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">, who studies water resiliency and is the chief development officer for research at the Earth and Environmental Sciences Area at the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory.\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">“We’re sort of hitting records very quickly, back and forth,” she said. “If you live in the Bay Area, because we depend on water that comes from the Sierra, things that happen up there can impact our water availability and water security. So, that’s why we all should care about it.”\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">With the great potential that this third year of drought will deepen, Ajami says water agencies and Californians need to be strategic about how we use the little water we have stored. The majority of the state’s \u003ca href=\"https://cdec.water.ca.gov/resapp/RescondMain\">reservoirs are well below their historical average\u003c/a> for this time of year, including the largest reservoirs like Shasta and Oroville. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">“We don’t know what’s going to happen next, and just because we had one or two storms doesn’t mean we’re out of the drought,” she said of December atmospheric rivers that \u003c/span>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11898885/atmospheric-river-brings-heavy-rain-parts-of-bay-area-under-flood-advisory\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">flooded parts of the Bay Area\u003c/span>\u003c/a>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">. “I just want to reemphasize the fact that our ecosystem, our groundwater levels, and our water system generally have been going through so much stress.”\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1488610869940416512"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">Cities across Santa Clara County are already feeling the stress of two years of dry times, made worse by the region’s main reservoir being out of commission due to seismic retrofitting. \u003ca href=\"https://valleywateralert.org/scvwd/rgi.php\">Reservoirs within the Santa Clara Valley Water District\u003c/a>, serving more than 2 million residents, are \u003c/span>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">26%\u003c/span>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\"> full, said Gary Kremen, chair of the Santa Clara Valley Water District Board.\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">“More than half of the water we use is imported hundreds of miles away, and the source of that is the snowpack,” Kremen said. “When the snowpack is good, generally that’s very good for us. And when it’s down below average, that’s not as good.”\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">Kremen says despite the worsening state of drought, water use in December increased by 4% from 2019 levels. He says residents need to live as if no more rain is in the future.\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">“I know folks kind of had enough hearing from the government saying, ‘Do this or do that,’ but just like the virus, it’s important,” he said. “We’re hoping conservation will work, so we don’t have to need restrictions. But we can’t count on that. That’s why it’s super important to save every drop.”\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003cstrong>‘More rainfall and less snow’\u003c/strong>\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">Although the state is locked in a dry pattern, state water officials are also worried about the opposite. Scientists forecast that as the climate continues to warm, much of California’s snow will fall as rain, causing massive flooding. \u003c/span>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u003cbr>\n\u003c/span>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u003cbr>\n\u003c/span>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">The Department of Water Resources will be updating its \u003c/span>\u003ca href=\"https://water.ca.gov/Programs/Flood-Management/Flood-Planning-and-Studies/Central-Valley-Flood-Protection-Plan\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">Central Valley Flood Protection Plan\u003c/span>\u003c/a>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\"> sometime in March with new projections of what flooding could be like in a warmer climate. Mike Mierzwa, the state’s floodplain manager, says it will showcase how warming temperatures will lead to an exponential rise in flooding.\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">Snow typically melts slowly into rivers that run down from deep in the mountains, but that’s gradually changing as the climate warms. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1978344\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-1978344 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/2022Snow_Explainer_en_title_lg.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1080\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/2022Snow_Explainer_en_title_lg.png 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/2022Snow_Explainer_en_title_lg-800x450.png 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/2022Snow_Explainer_en_title_lg-1020x574.png 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/2022Snow_Explainer_en_title_lg-160x90.png 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/2022Snow_Explainer_en_title_lg-768x432.png 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/2022Snow_Explainer_en_title_lg-1536x864.png 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Warmer air can hold more moisture — which can lead to heavier rain or snow depending on the temperature. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of Climate Central)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">“With climate change, you’re going to have more and more rainfall and less snow. So, that means more water all at once,” said Mierzwa.\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">One-hundred-year flood events along the San Joaquin River could grow in severity by as much as fivefold over the next half-century, causing billions of dollars in damage to large population centers like Stockton and small towns like Firebaugh. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">“Not taking action, hundreds of lives per year could be lost,” Mierzwa said. “When a big event happens, it could be an event on the order of what happened in New Orleans.”\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">Warming temperatures will also increase the size of minor floods that happen every five to 10 years. And even those floods can be deadly.\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">Mierzwa says DWR will propose solutions for a far wetter future in places like Stockton. These range from raising levees, making room in reservoirs, and flooding farms or parks when flows are high. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1978351\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\" style=\"max-width: 960px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-1978351 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/dos_rios_ranch_complete_and_flooded.jpg\" alt=\"A view overlooking a flooded valley with a raised meandering road through it, light-brown mountains in the background and fluffy white clouds above them. \" width=\"960\" height=\"608\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/dos_rios_ranch_complete_and_flooded.jpg 960w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/dos_rios_ranch_complete_and_flooded-800x507.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/dos_rios_ranch_complete_and_flooded-160x101.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/dos_rios_ranch_complete_and_flooded-768x486.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 960px) 100vw, 960px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Water floods a restored floodplain at Dos Rios Ranch Preserve near Modesto. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of River Partners)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">John Cain, the conservation director for the nonprofit \u003ca href=\"https://riverpartners.org/\">River Partners\u003c/a>, would like to see \u003ca href=\"https://riverpartners.org/news/california-spent-decades-trying-to-keep-central-valley-floods-at-bay-now-it-looks-to-welcome-them-back/\">large land areas opened up for rivers to spill into during huge rain events.\u003c/a> Bypasses have helped protect places like Sacramento from flooding, but further south, he says, Stockton needs ways for the river to escape without harming people or property during big flood events. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">“The Sacramento Valley has seen huge investments in the levee and flood bypass system over the 19th and 20th centuries, and by contrast, the San Joaquin Valley is that poor stepchild [that] hasn’t gotten the attention,” he said. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">Stockton is one of the places most vulnerable to a significant flood in all of California. On the south side of the city, next to Interstate 5, the Van Buskirk Levee holds back an arm of the San Joaquin River from hundreds of homes.\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">As a longtime environmental advocate and Stockton resident, \u003ca href=\"https://www.restorethedelta.org/board-members-staff/\">Barbara Barrigan-Parrilla\u003c/a> is worried this levee could easily overtop or fail, flooding a neighborhood of primarily Black and Brown working-class residents’ homes. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1978345\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\" style=\"max-width: 640px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-1978345 size-large\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/IMG_3900-1020x765.jpg\" alt=\" A view down a long, earthen, rocky levee that runs alongside a green river about the same width, with scrabbly green trees on all verges, beneath a clear, sunny, blue sky.\" width=\"640\" height=\"480\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/IMG_3900-1020x765.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/IMG_3900-800x600.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/IMG_3900-160x120.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/IMG_3900-768x576.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/IMG_3900-1536x1152.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/IMG_3900-2048x1536.jpg 2048w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/IMG_3900-1920x1440.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Stockton sits on the edge of the Sacramento-San Joaquin River Delta. As the climate warms, the region likely will become more susceptible to flooding. \u003ccite>(Ezra David Romero/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp> \u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">“If \u003c/span>\u003ca href=\"https://www.climateassessment.ca.gov/\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">California’s Fourth Climate Change Assessment\u003c/span>\u003c/a>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\"> is correct, we’re going to have overtopping of levees on both sides here,” she said. “To leave this side of the city with such an inadequate levee is just morally wrong.”\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">Protecting Stockton’s 300,000 people will take remedies such as flooding farms in the worst storms, and will need to include strengthening levees, which is already happening in some parts of the city. But so far there is no real solution set in stone for the Van Buskirk Levee, says \u003ca href=\"https://www.sjafca.org/Home/Components/StaffDirectory/StaffDirectory/14/55\">Chris Elias\u003c/a>, executive director of the San Joaquin Area Flood Control Agency. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">“Priority 1 is life safety, then property — because they don’t want to cause dislocation to people’s lives — and then the economy,” he said. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">The new projections from state water officials likely will complicate reinforcing the levee, and he says progress is trickling, not flowing. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">“We are working very closely with the city to look at what the options are and how we can collaborate for a win-win-win solution,” he added. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">But for a solution to be a win for all Stocktonians, Elias says it must protect lower-income neighborhoods just beyond this existing mound of dirt. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"floatright"},"numeric":["floatright"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/1978337/with-snowpack-in-decline-californias-weather-whiplash-could-mean-alternating-drought-and-flooding","authors":["11746"],"categories":["science_31","science_40","science_4450","science_98"],"tags":["science_194","science_572","science_4414","science_2114","science_1462","science_1127"],"featImg":"science_1978341","label":"science"},"science_1960807":{"type":"posts","id":"science_1960807","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"science","id":"1960807","score":null,"sort":[1585787629000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"as-april-begins-californias-snowpack-is-about-half-of-normal","title":"As April Begins, California's Snowpack is About Half of Normal","publishDate":1585787629,"format":"standard","headTitle":"As April Begins, California’s Snowpack is About Half of Normal | KQED","labelTerm":{},"content":"\u003cp>California water officials announced Wednesday that snowpack across the Sierra Nevada is measuring \u003ca href=\"http://cdec.water.ca.gov/snowapp/sweq.action\">53 percent\u003c/a> of the historical average for the start of April.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The state’s \u003ca href=\"https://water.ca.gov/\">Department of Water Resources\u003c/a> (DWR) conducted the fourth monthly snow survey of the season today at Phillips Station snow course south of Lake Tahoe.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>DWR spokesman Chris Orrock says the region experienced a handful of big snow storms in March, but they weren’t enough to make up for a dry January and one of the driest Februaries on record.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This year we’re probably going to have one of the 10 worst snowpacks in California history,” says Orrock.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Scientists in California closely monitor Sierra snowpack leading up to April 1st, around the time when the spring runoff typically begins. The water that melts off the snowpack helps to replenish California’s reservoirs in dry months.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Water from melting Sierra snowpack accounts for about 30 percent of California’s annual water supply.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Orrock says the majority of that snowpack accumulates from December through the end of March.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“April 1st is kind of our benchmark. Typically that’s when we see the deepest snowpack with the most water,” says Orrock.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Over the past decade, Sierra snowpack totals have varied significantly from year to year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“In the past 10 years, we’ve seen three of our smallest snowpacks on record, but we’ve also seen three of our largest snowpacks on record,” said Sean de Guzman, DWR’s chief of Snow Survey and Water Supply Forecast Section, in a statement.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While 2020 will go down as a dry year, Orrock says runoff from last year’s snowpack, which was was well above average, has left the state’s major reservoirs near — or above — average for this time of year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Water officials say climate change has played a role in the variability observed in California’s snowpack.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“While today’s survey results show our snowpack is better off than it was just last month, they still underscore the need for widespread, wise use of our water supplies,” said DWR Director Karla Nemeth in a statement. “California’s climate continues to show extreme unpredictability, and February’s record dryness is a clear example of the extremes associated with climate change.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/CA_DWR/status/1245483339470929920\u003c/p>\n\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"As the wet season winds down, state water officials say snowpack across the Sierra Nevada is about half of what's normal.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1704847603,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":15,"wordCount":408},"headData":{"title":"As April Begins, California's Snowpack is About Half of Normal | KQED","description":"As the wet season winds down, state water officials say snowpack across the Sierra Nevada is about half of what's normal.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":""},"source":"Water","sticky":false,"path":"/science/1960807/as-april-begins-californias-snowpack-is-about-half-of-normal","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>California water officials announced Wednesday that snowpack across the Sierra Nevada is measuring \u003ca href=\"http://cdec.water.ca.gov/snowapp/sweq.action\">53 percent\u003c/a> of the historical average for the start of April.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The state’s \u003ca href=\"https://water.ca.gov/\">Department of Water Resources\u003c/a> (DWR) conducted the fourth monthly snow survey of the season today at Phillips Station snow course south of Lake Tahoe.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>DWR spokesman Chris Orrock says the region experienced a handful of big snow storms in March, but they weren’t enough to make up for a dry January and one of the driest Februaries on record.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This year we’re probably going to have one of the 10 worst snowpacks in California history,” says Orrock.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Scientists in California closely monitor Sierra snowpack leading up to April 1st, around the time when the spring runoff typically begins. The water that melts off the snowpack helps to replenish California’s reservoirs in dry months.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Water from melting Sierra snowpack accounts for about 30 percent of California’s annual water supply.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Orrock says the majority of that snowpack accumulates from December through the end of March.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“April 1st is kind of our benchmark. Typically that’s when we see the deepest snowpack with the most water,” says Orrock.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Over the past decade, Sierra snowpack totals have varied significantly from year to year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“In the past 10 years, we’ve seen three of our smallest snowpacks on record, but we’ve also seen three of our largest snowpacks on record,” said Sean de Guzman, DWR’s chief of Snow Survey and Water Supply Forecast Section, in a statement.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While 2020 will go down as a dry year, Orrock says runoff from last year’s snowpack, which was was well above average, has left the state’s major reservoirs near — or above — average for this time of year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Water officials say climate change has played a role in the variability observed in California’s snowpack.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“While today’s survey results show our snowpack is better off than it was just last month, they still underscore the need for widespread, wise use of our water supplies,” said DWR Director Karla Nemeth in a statement. “California’s climate continues to show extreme unpredictability, and February’s record dryness is a clear example of the extremes associated with climate change.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1245483339470929920"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/1960807/as-april-begins-californias-snowpack-is-about-half-of-normal","authors":["11368"],"categories":["science_31","science_35","science_40","science_98"],"tags":["science_2397","science_1462","science_1243","science_1127","science_110"],"featImg":"science_1602282","label":"source_science_1960807"},"science_1957569":{"type":"posts","id":"science_1957569","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"science","id":"1957569","score":null,"sort":[1582840404000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"clear-skies-mean-californias-snowpack-is-now-below-half-of-normal","title":"Clear Skies Mean California’s Snowpack Is Now Below Half of Normal","publishDate":1582840404,"format":"standard","headTitle":"Clear Skies Mean California’s Snowpack Is Now Below Half of Normal | KQED","labelTerm":{},"content":"\u003cp class=\"p1\">After two dry months in a row, state water officials say California’s snowpack is at \u003ca href=\"http://cdec.water.ca.gov/snowapp/sweq.action\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">46% of normal\u003c/a> for this time of year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"p1\">As usual, the\u003ca href=\"https://water.ca.gov/News/News-Releases/2020/January-2020-Snow-Survey\"> \u003cspan class=\"s1\">California Department of Water Resources\u003c/span>\u003c/a> on Thursday conducted the third monthly snow survey of 2020 at the Phillips Station snow course in the Sierra Nevada, south of Lake Tahoe.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"p1\">The snow course is one of 260 stations that measure snowpack statewide. The data \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1936797/why-we-cant-stop-talking-about-californias-sierra-snowpack\">\u003cspan class=\"s1\">help scientists\u003c/span>\u003c/a> determine how much water will run off during the spring and summer months to replenish California’s reservoirs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"p1\">Sierra snowpack accounts for about one-third of California’s annual\u003ca href=\"https://sierranevada.ca.gov/ca-primary-watershed/\"> \u003cspan class=\"s1\">water supply\u003c/span>\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"p1\">DWR’s Jan. 2 snow survey tracked the Sierra snowpack at close to average for the start of the year. By the end of January, the statewide percentage was down to 72%. At the end of one of the driest Februarys in state history, the snowpack is now below half of the historical average.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>About 23.3% of the state is now in “moderate drought,” up from 9.5% last week. That’s according to the \u003ca href=\"https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?CA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">U.S. Drought Monitor\u003c/a>, a weekly report issued by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the U.S. Department of Agriculture and the University of Nebraska-Lincoln.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"p2\">DWR spokesman Chris Orrock says the dry winter is in stark contrast to last year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"p2\">“In February of 2019, it was probably one of the wettest Februarys we’ve ever had. Some areas of the Sierra accumulated up to 50 feet of snow,” Orrock said. “This year in the majority of the Central Valley and Northern California we had little to no measurable precipitation.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"p2\">But thanks in part to a snowy and cold 2019 in California’s mountains, Orrock says the state’s reservoirs still have plenty of water.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"p2\">“They’re all at or near those averages that they would be at this time of year anyhow because of that good snowpack we had last year,” Orrock said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"p2\">California typically receives about half of its annual precipitation in the months of December, January and February.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Snowpack is an important insurance policy to protect against wildfire, says John Abatzoglou, a climatologist at University of California, Merced.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"p1\">Snow melt provides a sustained, gradual source of moisture and keeps those forested areas wet later into the spring and early summer.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A subpar snowpack year sets the stage for an early start to fire season, Abatzoglou says.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"p1\">“California certainly has seen longer fire seasons, lasting both later in the fall and starting early in the spring,” he said. “And unfortunately, the lack of precipitation across the state — we’ve basically struck out during the two wettest months of the year.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"p1\">Cal Fire, the state agency responsible for fire prevention in California, says that the current dry and windy conditions have already contributed to wildfires, which is usual for wintertime.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Orrock says water officials are now hoping for a repeat of the 2018 wet season, when a series of March storms replenished the snowpack in time for the spring runoff.\u003c/p>\n\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"Thursday’s manual snowpack readings say California's snowpack is 46% of normal for this time of year. ","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1704847725,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":6,"wordCount":526},"headData":{"title":"Clear Skies Mean California’s Snowpack Is Now Below Half of Normal | KQED","description":"Thursday’s manual snowpack readings say California's snowpack is 46% of normal for this time of year. ","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":""},"source":"Water","sticky":false,"path":"/science/1957569/clear-skies-mean-californias-snowpack-is-now-below-half-of-normal","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp class=\"p1\">After two dry months in a row, state water officials say California’s snowpack is at \u003ca href=\"http://cdec.water.ca.gov/snowapp/sweq.action\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">46% of normal\u003c/a> for this time of year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"p1\">As usual, the\u003ca href=\"https://water.ca.gov/News/News-Releases/2020/January-2020-Snow-Survey\"> \u003cspan class=\"s1\">California Department of Water Resources\u003c/span>\u003c/a> on Thursday conducted the third monthly snow survey of 2020 at the Phillips Station snow course in the Sierra Nevada, south of Lake Tahoe.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"p1\">The snow course is one of 260 stations that measure snowpack statewide. The data \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1936797/why-we-cant-stop-talking-about-californias-sierra-snowpack\">\u003cspan class=\"s1\">help scientists\u003c/span>\u003c/a> determine how much water will run off during the spring and summer months to replenish California’s reservoirs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"p1\">Sierra snowpack accounts for about one-third of California’s annual\u003ca href=\"https://sierranevada.ca.gov/ca-primary-watershed/\"> \u003cspan class=\"s1\">water supply\u003c/span>\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"p1\">DWR’s Jan. 2 snow survey tracked the Sierra snowpack at close to average for the start of the year. By the end of January, the statewide percentage was down to 72%. At the end of one of the driest Februarys in state history, the snowpack is now below half of the historical average.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>About 23.3% of the state is now in “moderate drought,” up from 9.5% last week. That’s according to the \u003ca href=\"https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?CA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">U.S. Drought Monitor\u003c/a>, a weekly report issued by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the U.S. Department of Agriculture and the University of Nebraska-Lincoln.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"p2\">DWR spokesman Chris Orrock says the dry winter is in stark contrast to last year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"p2\">“In February of 2019, it was probably one of the wettest Februarys we’ve ever had. Some areas of the Sierra accumulated up to 50 feet of snow,” Orrock said. “This year in the majority of the Central Valley and Northern California we had little to no measurable precipitation.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"p2\">But thanks in part to a snowy and cold 2019 in California’s mountains, Orrock says the state’s reservoirs still have plenty of water.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"p2\">“They’re all at or near those averages that they would be at this time of year anyhow because of that good snowpack we had last year,” Orrock said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"p2\">California typically receives about half of its annual precipitation in the months of December, January and February.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Snowpack is an important insurance policy to protect against wildfire, says John Abatzoglou, a climatologist at University of California, Merced.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"p1\">Snow melt provides a sustained, gradual source of moisture and keeps those forested areas wet later into the spring and early summer.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A subpar snowpack year sets the stage for an early start to fire season, Abatzoglou says.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"p1\">“California certainly has seen longer fire seasons, lasting both later in the fall and starting early in the spring,” he said. “And unfortunately, the lack of precipitation across the state — we’ve basically struck out during the two wettest months of the year.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"p1\">Cal Fire, the state agency responsible for fire prevention in California, says that the current dry and windy conditions have already contributed to wildfires, which is usual for wintertime.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Orrock says water officials are now hoping for a repeat of the 2018 wet season, when a series of March storms replenished the snowpack in time for the spring runoff.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/1957569/clear-skies-mean-californias-snowpack-is-now-below-half-of-normal","authors":["11368"],"categories":["science_35","science_40","science_98","science_3730"],"tags":["science_5178","science_3840","science_1127","science_201"],"featImg":"science_1956335","label":"source_science_1957569"},"science_1956543":{"type":"posts","id":"science_1956543","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"science","id":"1956543","score":null,"sort":[1581034097000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"before-and-after-see-californias-sierra-snowpack-by-satellite","title":"A Dry Winter: These Satellite Photos Show How Sierra Snowpack Compares to Last Year","publishDate":1581034097,"format":"image","headTitle":"A Dry Winter: These Satellite Photos Show How Sierra Snowpack Compares to Last Year | KQED","labelTerm":{},"content":"\u003cp>After a snow-packed winter of 2019, there are signs that this year’s Sierra Nevada snow season could wind up below average. At the start of 2020, the statewide snowpack was 90% of normal for the time of year. That level dropped to 72% at the end of January and is now at 64% . State water officials say our reservoirs have plenty of water now — but we’ll need more winter storms to replenish the snowpack in time for the spring runoff. The forecast for the Lake Tahoe area, at least for the next 10 days, calls for mostly sunny skies.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Here’s a look at how this snow season is stacking up. Move the sliders below to compare the terrain between February 2019 and February 2020.\u003c/p>\n\u003ctable border=\"0\" width=\"100%\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\">\n\u003ctbody>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd width=\"100%\">\n\u003cp style=\"text-align: center\">\u003cstrong>Southern Sierra\u003c/strong>\u003cbr>\nBefore: Feb. 6, 2019\u003cbr>\nAfter: Feb. 1, 2020\u003c/p>\n\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd width=\"100%\" height=\"750\">\n\u003c!-- iframe plugin v.4.3 wordpress.org/plugins/iframe/ -->\u003cbr>\n\u003ciframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"100%\" height=\"750\" scrolling=\"no\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" src=\"https://cdn.knightlab.com/libs/juxtapose/latest/embed/index.html?uid=e928a318-4f97-11ea-b9b8-0edaf8f81e27\" class=\"iframe-class\" frameborder=\"0\">\u003c/iframe>\n\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd width=\"100%\" height=\"1\">\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd width=\"100%\">\n\u003cp style=\"text-align: center\">\u003cstrong>Mono Lake\u003c/strong>\u003cbr>\nBefore: Jan. 27, 2019\u003cbr>\nAfter: Feb. 1, 2020\u003c/p>\n\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd width=\"100%\" height=\"750\">\n\u003c!-- iframe plugin v.4.3 wordpress.org/plugins/iframe/ -->\u003cbr>\n\u003ciframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"100%\" height=\"750\" scrolling=\"no\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" src=\"https://cdn.knightlab.com/libs/juxtapose/latest/embed/index.html?uid=7bc08df2-490e-11ea-b9b8-0edaf8f81e27\" class=\"iframe-class\" frameborder=\"0\">\u003c/iframe>\n\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd width=\"100%\" height=\"1\">\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd width=\"100%\">\n\u003cp style=\"text-align: center\">\u003cstrong>Sierra Nevada\u003c/strong>\u003cbr>\nBefore: Jan. 24, 2019\u003cbr>\nAfter: Feb. 4, 2020\u003c/p>\n\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd width=\"100%\" height=\"750\">\n\u003c!-- iframe plugin v.4.3 wordpress.org/plugins/iframe/ -->\u003cbr>\n\u003ciframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"100%\" height=\"750\" scrolling=\"no\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" src=\"https://cdn.knightlab.com/libs/juxtapose/latest/embed/index.html?uid=df63a754-490e-11ea-b9b8-0edaf8f81e27\" class=\"iframe-class\" frameborder=\"0\">\u003c/iframe>\n\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003c/tbody>\n\u003c/table>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"After a dry spell, Sierra Nevada snowpack is trending below average. Here's a satellite look at how this snow season compares to last.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1704847807,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":true,"iframeSrcs":["https://cdn.knightlab.com/libs/juxtapose/latest/embed/index.html"],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":4,"wordCount":164},"headData":{"title":"A Dry Winter: These Satellite Photos Show How Sierra Snowpack Compares to Last Year | KQED","description":"After a dry spell, Sierra Nevada snowpack is trending below average. Here's a satellite look at how this snow season compares to last.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":""},"source":"Water","sticky":false,"path":"/science/1956543/before-and-after-see-californias-sierra-snowpack-by-satellite","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>After a snow-packed winter of 2019, there are signs that this year’s Sierra Nevada snow season could wind up below average. At the start of 2020, the statewide snowpack was 90% of normal for the time of year. That level dropped to 72% at the end of January and is now at 64% . State water officials say our reservoirs have plenty of water now — but we’ll need more winter storms to replenish the snowpack in time for the spring runoff. The forecast for the Lake Tahoe area, at least for the next 10 days, calls for mostly sunny skies.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Here’s a look at how this snow season is stacking up. Move the sliders below to compare the terrain between February 2019 and February 2020.\u003c/p>\n\u003ctable border=\"0\" width=\"100%\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\">\n\u003ctbody>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd width=\"100%\">\n\u003cp style=\"text-align: center\">\u003cstrong>Southern Sierra\u003c/strong>\u003cbr>\nBefore: Feb. 6, 2019\u003cbr>\nAfter: Feb. 1, 2020\u003c/p>\n\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd width=\"100%\" height=\"750\">\n\u003c!-- iframe plugin v.4.3 wordpress.org/plugins/iframe/ -->\u003cbr>\n\u003ciframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"100%\" height=\"750\" scrolling=\"no\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" src=\"https://cdn.knightlab.com/libs/juxtapose/latest/embed/index.html?uid=e928a318-4f97-11ea-b9b8-0edaf8f81e27\" class=\"iframe-class\" frameborder=\"0\">\u003c/iframe>\n\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd width=\"100%\" height=\"1\">\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd width=\"100%\">\n\u003cp style=\"text-align: center\">\u003cstrong>Mono Lake\u003c/strong>\u003cbr>\nBefore: Jan. 27, 2019\u003cbr>\nAfter: Feb. 1, 2020\u003c/p>\n\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd width=\"100%\" height=\"750\">\n\u003c!-- iframe plugin v.4.3 wordpress.org/plugins/iframe/ -->\u003cbr>\n\u003ciframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"100%\" height=\"750\" scrolling=\"no\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" src=\"https://cdn.knightlab.com/libs/juxtapose/latest/embed/index.html?uid=7bc08df2-490e-11ea-b9b8-0edaf8f81e27\" class=\"iframe-class\" frameborder=\"0\">\u003c/iframe>\n\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd width=\"100%\" height=\"1\">\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd width=\"100%\">\n\u003cp style=\"text-align: center\">\u003cstrong>Sierra Nevada\u003c/strong>\u003cbr>\nBefore: Jan. 24, 2019\u003cbr>\nAfter: Feb. 4, 2020\u003c/p>\n\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd width=\"100%\" height=\"750\">\n\u003c!-- iframe plugin v.4.3 wordpress.org/plugins/iframe/ -->\u003cbr>\n\u003ciframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"100%\" height=\"750\" scrolling=\"no\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" src=\"https://cdn.knightlab.com/libs/juxtapose/latest/embed/index.html?uid=df63a754-490e-11ea-b9b8-0edaf8f81e27\" class=\"iframe-class\" frameborder=\"0\">\u003c/iframe>\n\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003c/tbody>\n\u003c/table>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/1956543/before-and-after-see-californias-sierra-snowpack-by-satellite","authors":["11368","6387"],"categories":["science_31","science_35","science_40","science_98"],"tags":["science_3180","science_3370","science_2773","science_109","science_1127"],"featImg":"science_1956604","label":"source_science_1956543"},"science_1956314":{"type":"posts","id":"science_1956314","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"science","id":"1956314","score":null,"sort":[1580413485000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"after-a-dry-january-california-snowpack-is-trending-below-normal","title":"After a Dry January, California Snowpack is Trending Below Normal","publishDate":1580413485,"format":"standard","headTitle":"After a Dry January, California Snowpack is Trending Below Normal | KQED","labelTerm":{},"content":"\u003cp>State water officials say the snowpack near Lake Tahoe is 79 percent of the historical average for this time of year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The \u003ca href=\"https://water.ca.gov/News/News-Releases/2020/January-2020-Snow-Survey\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">California Department of Water Resources\u003c/a> conducted the second monthly snow survey of the year Thursday morning at Phillips Station snow course in the Sierra Nevada, south of Lake Tahoe.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It’s one of 260 stations that measures snowpack statewide.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Snowpack across the state is averaging 72 percent of what’s normal for the start of February.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>DWR’s Jan. 2 snow survey tracked the Sierra snowpack at close to average for the beginning of the year. But California experienced a dry January that slowed the accumulation of snowpack.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“In comparison to where we were just a month ago … snow and precipitation statewide were well below average,” said Sean de Guzman, chief of DWR’s Snow Surveys and Water Supply Forecasting Section.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/CA_DWR/status/1222981468147740672\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Scientists \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1936797/why-we-cant-stop-talking-about-californias-sierra-snowpack\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">record snowpack\u003c/a> as Snow Water Equivalent (also known as Snow Water Content); it measures how much water the snow contains. They record the depth in inches that would be produced by melting the snow.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The data helps scientists determine how much water will melt during the spring and summer months to replenish California’s reservoirs. The runoff of melting Sierra snow provides about one-third of California’s \u003ca href=\"https://sierranevada.ca.gov/ca-primary-watershed/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">water supply\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Despite this month’s below average snowpack measurements, de Guzman says the water supply in California’s reservoirs is currently in good shape.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Luckily, our reservoirs statewide are either at or above their historical averages for this time of year thanks, in part, to just how wet of a water year 2019 was,” de Guzman said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California typically receives about half of its annual precipitation in the months of December, January and February. De Guzman says a few big storms could bring the state’s snowpack back on track for 2020.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We still need to wait and see what the next few months will bring us,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Water officials will continue to monitor snowpack through April 1, when it typically reaches its peak and the spring runoff begins.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"State water officials say the Sierra Nevada snowpack is measuring below average for this time of year.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1704847844,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":15,"wordCount":367},"headData":{"title":"After a Dry January, California Snowpack is Trending Below Normal | KQED","description":"State water officials say the Sierra Nevada snowpack is measuring below average for this time of year.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":""},"source":"Water","sticky":false,"path":"/science/1956314/after-a-dry-january-california-snowpack-is-trending-below-normal","audioUrl":"https://traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/0af137ef-751e-4b19-a055-aaef00d2d578/ffca7e9f-6831-41c5-bcaf-aaef00f5a073/f9a13f91-eb95-4836-9407-ab53012a9069/audio.mp3","audioDuration":59000,"audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>State water officials say the snowpack near Lake Tahoe is 79 percent of the historical average for this time of year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The \u003ca href=\"https://water.ca.gov/News/News-Releases/2020/January-2020-Snow-Survey\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">California Department of Water Resources\u003c/a> conducted the second monthly snow survey of the year Thursday morning at Phillips Station snow course in the Sierra Nevada, south of Lake Tahoe.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It’s one of 260 stations that measures snowpack statewide.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Snowpack across the state is averaging 72 percent of what’s normal for the start of February.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>DWR’s Jan. 2 snow survey tracked the Sierra snowpack at close to average for the beginning of the year. But California experienced a dry January that slowed the accumulation of snowpack.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“In comparison to where we were just a month ago … snow and precipitation statewide were well below average,” said Sean de Guzman, chief of DWR’s Snow Surveys and Water Supply Forecasting Section.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1222981468147740672"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>Scientists \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1936797/why-we-cant-stop-talking-about-californias-sierra-snowpack\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">record snowpack\u003c/a> as Snow Water Equivalent (also known as Snow Water Content); it measures how much water the snow contains. They record the depth in inches that would be produced by melting the snow.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The data helps scientists determine how much water will melt during the spring and summer months to replenish California’s reservoirs. The runoff of melting Sierra snow provides about one-third of California’s \u003ca href=\"https://sierranevada.ca.gov/ca-primary-watershed/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">water supply\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Despite this month’s below average snowpack measurements, de Guzman says the water supply in California’s reservoirs is currently in good shape.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Luckily, our reservoirs statewide are either at or above their historical averages for this time of year thanks, in part, to just how wet of a water year 2019 was,” de Guzman said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California typically receives about half of its annual precipitation in the months of December, January and February. De Guzman says a few big storms could bring the state’s snowpack back on track for 2020.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We still need to wait and see what the next few months will bring us,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Water officials will continue to monitor snowpack through April 1, when it typically reaches its peak and the spring runoff begins.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/1956314/after-a-dry-january-california-snowpack-is-trending-below-normal","authors":["11368"],"categories":["science_31","science_35","science_40","science_98"],"tags":["science_3180","science_3370","science_5185","science_1462","science_1243","science_1127"],"featImg":"science_1956335","label":"source_science_1956314"},"science_1954436":{"type":"posts","id":"science_1954436","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"science","id":"1954436","score":null,"sort":[1578003757000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"california-snowpack-starts-off-the-year-at-nearly-normal","title":"California Snowpack Starts Off the Year at Nearly Normal","publishDate":1578003757,"format":"standard","headTitle":"California Snowpack Starts Off the Year at Nearly Normal | KQED","labelTerm":{},"content":"\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400;\">State water officials say the snowpack near Lake Tahoe is 97% of the historical average for this time of year. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sean de Guzman, chief of the \u003ca href=\"https://water.ca.gov/News/News-Releases/2020/January-2020-Snow-Survey\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">California Department of Water Resources’\u003c/a> Snow Surveys and Water Supply Forecasting Section, conducted the first manual snow survey of the season Thursday at Phillips Station in the Sierra Nevada, south of Lake Tahoe in El Dorado County.\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It’s one of 260 stations that measures snowpack statewide.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400;\">De Guzman said the snowpack across the Sierra Nevada is 90% of average for this time of year.\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Scientists \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1936797/why-we-cant-stop-talking-about-californias-sierra-snowpack\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">record snowpack\u003c/a> as Snow Water Content, which measures how much water is contained within the snow.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That way we know basically how much water will eventually melt during the spring and summer months to refill all of our reservoirs,” de Guzman said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/CA_DWR/status/1212831660305088512?s=20\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400;\">California’s water season started off slowly, with little rain in October and early November, but state climatologist Michael Anderson said late-November and December storms were a big help.\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>DWR tracks snowpack leading up to April first, when the spring runoff typically begins.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Anderson says the weather over the next few months will go a long way in determining how much water will be stored up for the spring and summer.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We experience fantastic variability here in California, not only year-to-year, but within the year,” Anderson said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Given that large variability, it’s really difficult to say now where we’re at versus what the outlook will be when we get to April one.”\u003c/p>\n\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"The state's snow season began slowly with a dry October. But late November and December storms were a big help.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1704847943,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":13,"wordCount":274},"headData":{"title":"California Snowpack Starts Off the Year at Nearly Normal | KQED","description":"The state's snow season began slowly with a dry October. But late November and December storms were a big help.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":""},"source":"Water","sticky":false,"path":"/science/1954436/california-snowpack-starts-off-the-year-at-nearly-normal","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400;\">State water officials say the snowpack near Lake Tahoe is 97% of the historical average for this time of year. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sean de Guzman, chief of the \u003ca href=\"https://water.ca.gov/News/News-Releases/2020/January-2020-Snow-Survey\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">California Department of Water Resources’\u003c/a> Snow Surveys and Water Supply Forecasting Section, conducted the first manual snow survey of the season Thursday at Phillips Station in the Sierra Nevada, south of Lake Tahoe in El Dorado County.\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It’s one of 260 stations that measures snowpack statewide.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400;\">De Guzman said the snowpack across the Sierra Nevada is 90% of average for this time of year.\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Scientists \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1936797/why-we-cant-stop-talking-about-californias-sierra-snowpack\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">record snowpack\u003c/a> as Snow Water Content, which measures how much water is contained within the snow.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That way we know basically how much water will eventually melt during the spring and summer months to refill all of our reservoirs,” de Guzman said.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1212831660305088512"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400;\">California’s water season started off slowly, with little rain in October and early November, but state climatologist Michael Anderson said late-November and December storms were a big help.\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>DWR tracks snowpack leading up to April first, when the spring runoff typically begins.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Anderson says the weather over the next few months will go a long way in determining how much water will be stored up for the spring and summer.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We experience fantastic variability here in California, not only year-to-year, but within the year,” Anderson said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Given that large variability, it’s really difficult to say now where we’re at versus what the outlook will be when we get to April one.”\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/1954436/california-snowpack-starts-off-the-year-at-nearly-normal","authors":["11368"],"categories":["science_31","science_35","science_40","science_98"],"tags":["science_2397","science_3905","science_1462","science_1243","science_1127"],"featImg":"science_1954450","label":"source_science_1954436"}},"programsReducer":{"possible":{"id":"possible","title":"Possible","info":"Possible is hosted by entrepreneur Reid Hoffman and writer Aria Finger. 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