Wednesday Update on Races Too Close to Call

Ami Bera (D) is holding onto a tight, but growing, lead against Dan Lungren (R) in this Congressional race. (Photos: Republican Conference and Randy Bayne via Flickr)

The vote counting continues on. Latest from the secretary of state’s office is there are still a whopping 1.9 million votes [PDF] left to count. Counties have until December 7 to report their final results. The secretary of state will certify the election by December 14.

In particular, we’re tracking the likely Democratic supermajority in the state legislature.

In the current Congress, the 112th, Democrats hold 34 of 53 House seats. In the new Congress, the 113th, Democrats have definitively picked up two seats, a sure total of 36 seats. There are two other races too-close-to-call, but it’s looking like Democrats will win. That would bring California’s Democratic Congressional delegation to 38 seats out of 53.

Here is an update on the races we’re following:

Congressional Races

  • Bera v. Lungren (7th Congressional District): Bera’s (D) lead over Lungren (R) continues to grow. He is now up by 3,824 votes, from 1,779 earlier in the week. (119,726 to 115,902). 
  • Bilbray v. Peters (52nd Congressional District): In this San Diego race, Peters (D) also continues to extend his lead over Bilbray (R). On Friday, Peters led by 814 votes, early this week, it was 1,899. Now he leads by 2,660 votes.

Assembly Races

  • Ong v. Quirk (District 20): In this Alameda County Dem-on-Dem race, Filipina American Ong trails Quirk by 1,215 votes.
  • Bloom v. Butler (District 50): In this Dem-on-Dem race where all the rich, white, liberal people in Los Angeles live, Bloom’s lead has been see-sawing. Last Friday, he led by 218 votes, then it was down to 103 votes, and now it is back up to — remarkably — 218 votes.
  • Norby v. Quirk-Silva (newly drawn District 65): Democrat Quirk-Silva is leading Republican Norby by 2,222 votes in this Orange County race.

Ballot Measures

  • Alameda County Measure B1: This race is perhaps the tightest of all. The transportation tax needs 2/3 majority to win — that’s 66.67 percent. Right now, “yes on B1” has 66.34 of the vote. That’s right — the “yes” vote trails by one-third of one percentage point. The counting continues. The Contra Costa Times is reporting that about 8,000 provisional ballots remain to be counted, and it will likely take through Friday to finish.
  • Berkeley Measures S and T: “S” is “sit/lie” and “T” changes zoning in West Berkeley. “Yes on T” has been up and then down. It currently trails by 467 votes. “Yes on S” is trailing by 2.113 votes.