May 21, 2008

Poll: No To Lottery Bonds, Yes To Sales Tax Hike… And More

It may not yet be a fully formed proposal for voters to consider, but from what they've heard... they don't seem thrilled about Governor Schwarzenegger's plan to sell bonds paid back by future revenues from the California Lottery.

That's probably the headline in the poll released tonight by the Public Policy Institute of California. PPIC found 58% of all adults and 62% of likely voters are opposed to the governor's $15 billion lottery bond proposal.

But even more interesting is the fact that they actually seem to like the one idea that seems the least likely to materialize: a temporary one cent hike in the sales tax.

Schwarzenegger proposed the tax hike as an insurance policy should the voters reject the lottery idea. Legislative Republicans unanimously rejected the idea. But the new poll finds 54% of adults like the idea, and 57% of likely voters like it. Even 51% of Republicans surveyed said they'd support the plan, though all respondents made their support contingent on the tax being temporary, not permanent.

Also on the subject of taxes, voters seem to prefer sticking it to big businesses and rich people. 63% like the idea of raising the state corporations tax; 69% like the idea of raising the top income tax rate for the most wealthy.

Elsewhere, 78% of those surveyed by PPIC are either somewhat or very concerned with the governor's new plan to cut another $3 billion out of health and human services programs. But only 17% said these programs were their priority in protecting; not surprisingly, the one sacred cow for the voters continues to be K-12 education (61% said it should be spared from budget cuts).

Meantime, only 35% of likely voters said they like the governor's budget on the whole. In fact, only 17% of the adults surveyed said they prefer Schwarzenegger's budget ideas above all others, while 57% said they'd pick either the ideas of legislative Democrats or Republicans.

So what's the silver lining for Schwarzenegger? Not his approval numbers; they're down to 41%, a 15 point drop in just five month's time.

No, the top vote getter for the guv may just be his ideas on changing the budget process... or at least as much as the voters know about it. PPIC asked whether voters like the idea of a new limit on how much state spending could increase from year to year. 68% of likely voters said they'd go along with that.