Brown's Tax Is Ahead, But Why Not By More?

March 7, 2012 · Filed Under Ballot Measures, CA Budget, Taxes, The Governor · 20 Comments 

52% in the new poll support Gov. Brown's tax plan. (Photo: Getty/Justin Sullivan)

A brand new statewide poll shows Governor Jerry Brown's temporary tax increase initiative slightly ahead with voters. And that's no doubt a good thing if you're the governor.

But a more interesting question, it seems, is why isn't it ahead by more?
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If Not For Schools, Would Brown's Tax Hike Be A Dud?

January 24, 2012 · Filed Under Ballot Measures, Education, Taxes, The Governor · 5 Comments 

A new survey finds voters disapprove of more education cuts. Is that driving support for Brown's tax hike?

Governor Jerry Brown will no doubt love the headline out of the brand new statewide public poll: 68% of likely voters say they support his November initiative to raise taxes and earmark the money for public schools.

But dig deeper into the poll and it's pretty clear that were it not for the linkage to schools, the Brown proposal would either be less popular... or fail to break the 50-percent barrier altogether.
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Brown May Have Found Tax Sweet Spot, Says Poll

December 12, 2011 · Filed Under Ballot Measures, CA Budget, Taxes, The Governor · 6 Comments 

Getty/Justin Sullivan

A new statewide poll suggests Governor Jerry Brown may very well start out his initiative campaign to raise taxes with a bit of a tailwind, though it offers clues on how that breeze could still switch directions.

First, the headline in the Public Policy Institute of California's statewide poll: 60% of likely voters like Brown's roughly $7 billion tax plan when read a brief description (65% of all adults) and only 36% oppose it.
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Let Us Vote, Watch Us Say 'No'

June 1, 2011 · Filed Under CA Budget, Elections, Taxes · 2 Comments 

Getty/Eric Tahyer

Public opinion polling isn't always predictive of an electoral outcome. And no one is probably hoping that's true more at this point than Governor Jerry Brown.

A brand new statewide poll offers virtually no change from previous surveys this year... and for Brown, that may not be a good thing. Voters agree with his idea for an election to help close the state budget gap but they still seem poised to reject the plan that he's been pushing since taking office almost five months ago.
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Voters Want Brown's Special Election, Says Poll

January 26, 2011 · Filed Under CA Budget, Elections, The Governor · 2 Comments 

KQED/John Myers

For a new governor facing a mammoth state budget shortfall, a stubborn recession, and a polarized political world, Jerry Brown could probably use the good news that a brand new statewide poll offers.

The poll, just released, shows strong support for Brown's special statewide election on budget fixes, as well as reasonably strong support for his suggestion to erase California's deficit with a mix of cuts and taxes.
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Jerry Opens A Lead in New Poll

October 20, 2010 · Filed Under CA Politics, Elections · 2 Comments 

"You can sort of feel the momentum on the ground," said a cheerful Meg Whitman to a group of women sitting outside a fast food joint in Sacramento late last week.

Tonight, it appears there may indeed be momentum in this race -- toward Jerry Brown.

A new statewide survey shows Brown leading Whitman among likely voters 44%-36%, with the Democrat opening a much larger lead among Latinos and in vote-rich Los Angeles.
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A Climate Campaign?

July 28, 2010 · Filed Under CA Politics, Environment · 1 Comment 

Photo: Getty Images

If you're a backer of Jerry Brown's gubernatorial campaign and you read tonight's new statewide poll, you've got to be saying to yourself: can he make this campaign about climate change?

Okay, maybe not a campaign exclusively about the issue. But the poll certainly could be used to make a case that Meg Whitman comes down on the issue -- specifically, the state's landmark law -- somewhere differently than the voters she'll need to win over on November 2.
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A Conversation About The Crisis

December 8, 2009 · Filed Under CA Government, Elections · 2 Comments 

"It's very simple what people want," said Mark Baldassare. "People want progress."

That was the context for... and the motivation behind... a provocative two hour discussion on Friday morning at our KQED studios in San Francisco, a discussion among eight thoughtful veterans of the good and bad of government and public policy in California.
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The Election That Tanked

June 16, 2009 · Filed Under CA Budget, Elections, The Governor · Comments Off 

There hasn't been much of a post-mortem among politicos about the May 19 election -- partially because the state's fiscal crisis hasn't allowed time for pondering, but also because it's seemed pretty darn clear: the voters thought the budget deficit measures stunk.

Nonetheless, a couple of interesting points have come up in the past 24 hours... today from the state's preeminent pollsters and yesterday in my interview with Governor Schwarzenegger.
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