Jerry and Meg neck and neck. Barbara over Carly by a few points. Those are some of the gems from statewide polls released just in the last 24 hours, and the focus of this week's Capital Notes Podcast.

Capitol Weekly's Anthony York and I also discuss perhaps the most intriguing part of all of this -- who will show up to vote in the election, and how that influences what lies ahead in the races for governor and the U.S. Senate.

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(And yes, as you'll hear above, we taped the podcast before there was word of a "framework" on a budget deal. So please forgive us for being Debbie Downers on the issue. More budget news next week!)