Field: Dead Heat, Arnold’s Favorables
In regards to the Democratic race for governor, one sentence in today's Field Poll says it all:
"During the sixty-year history of The Field Poll there never has been as large a proportion of voters undecided so close to the election in a top-of-the-ticket major party primary."
The final public poll before Tuesday's gubernatorial primary offers a true split decision for rivals Phil Angelides and Steve Westly: Westly 35%, Angelides 34%, 5% for other candidates... and a whopping 26% undecided.
That's a lot of soul searching for the weekend before election day.
You can find the entire poll later this morning here.
While that's undoubtedly the big news from the poll, what's also interesting is the apparent silver lining for Arnold Schwarzenegger. Not only does Field find the governor leading both Democrats in hypothetical matchups (2 points over Westly, 7 over Angelides), but it also finds that voters in general are more favorable towards the Republican incumbent than they've been in quite some time.
And what's more, the real redemption has come from non-partisan voters. In Field's February poll, only 34% of "decline to state" voters had a favorable impression of the governor. Today, 46% of the same group has a favorable impression. Those voters are a key constituency. Not only did they vote in large numbers for Schwarzenegger in 2003, but nearly 1 of every 5 voters in California now declines to declare a party affiliation.




