You'll Be Shelling Out More Money For Eggs In 2018
Grocery Prices Have Been Falling. Did You Notice?
The Price of Almonds May Have Met a Slippery Slope
The Rising Cost of Food, Part 1 of 2
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High almond prices prompted many California growers to put in new plantings of the nut tree in recent years. But those prices have now fallen about 20 percent.","credit":" Ezra David Romero/Valley Public Radio ","description":"\n\nDavid Doll of the University of California Division of Agriculture and Natural Resources, examines an almond tree. High almond prices prompted many California growers to put in new plantings of the nut tree in recent years. 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Photography is a passion, and I have had photos printed in \u003cem>National Geographic Traveler\u003c/em> and \u003cem>Travel + Leisure\u003c/em>.\r\n\r\nI contributed to a Williams-Sonoma cookbook: \u003ca href=\"http://www.williams-sonoma.com/products/cooking-from-the-farmers-market-cookbook/\">Cooking from the Farmers' Market\u003c/a>, which was released in February 2010.\r\n\r\nI live in San Francisco, California and can often be found at local farmers markets seeking out the best of what's in season and chatting with farmers.","avatar":"https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/7a725b78e1c0fabf53d7d24653474df8?s=600&d=blank&r=g","twitter":null,"facebook":null,"instagram":null,"linkedin":null,"sites":[{"site":"bayareabites","roles":["contributor"]}],"headData":{"title":"Jennifer Maiser | KQED","description":null,"ogImgSrc":"https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/7a725b78e1c0fabf53d7d24653474df8?s=600&d=blank&r=g","twImgSrc":"https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/7a725b78e1c0fabf53d7d24653474df8?s=600&d=blank&r=g"},"isLoading":false,"link":"/author/jennifer-maiser"}},"breakingNewsReducer":{},"campaignFinanceReducer":{},"firebase":{"requesting":{},"requested":{},"timestamps":{},"data":{},"ordered":{},"auth":{"isLoaded":false,"isEmpty":true},"authError":null,"profile":{"isLoaded":false,"isEmpty":true},"listeners":{"byId":{},"allIds":[]},"isInitializing":false,"errors":[]},"navBarReducer":{"navBarId":"arts","fullView":true,"showPlayer":false},"navMenuReducer":{"menus":[{"key":"menu1","items":[{"name":"News","link":"/","type":"title"},{"name":"Politics","link":"/politics"},{"name":"Science","link":"/science"},{"name":"Education","link":"/educationnews"},{"name":"Housing","link":"/housing"},{"name":"Immigration","link":"/immigration"},{"name":"Criminal Justice","link":"/criminaljustice"},{"name":"Silicon Valley","link":"/siliconvalley"},{"name":"Forum","link":"/forum"},{"name":"The California Report","link":"/californiareport"}]},{"key":"menu2","items":[{"name":"Arts & Culture","link":"/arts","type":"title"},{"name":"Critics’ Picks","link":"/thedolist"},{"name":"Cultural Commentary","link":"/artscommentary"},{"name":"Food & Drink","link":"/food"},{"name":"Bay Area Hip-Hop","link":"/bayareahiphop"},{"name":"Rebel Girls","link":"/rebelgirls"},{"name":"Arts Video","link":"/artsvideos"}]},{"key":"menu3","items":[{"name":"Podcasts","link":"/podcasts","type":"title"},{"name":"Bay Curious","link":"/podcasts/baycurious"},{"name":"Rightnowish","link":"/podcasts/rightnowish"},{"name":"The Bay","link":"/podcasts/thebay"},{"name":"On Our Watch","link":"/podcasts/onourwatch"},{"name":"Mindshift","link":"/podcasts/mindshift"},{"name":"Consider This","link":"/podcasts/considerthis"},{"name":"Political Breakdown","link":"/podcasts/politicalbreakdown"}]},{"key":"menu4","items":[{"name":"Live Radio","link":"/radio","type":"title"},{"name":"TV","link":"/tv","type":"title"},{"name":"Events","link":"/events","type":"title"},{"name":"For Educators","link":"/education","type":"title"},{"name":"Support KQED","link":"/support","type":"title"},{"name":"About","link":"/about","type":"title"},{"name":"Help Center","link":"https://kqed-helpcenter.kqed.org/s","type":"title"}]}]},"pagesReducer":{},"postsReducer":{"stream_live":{"type":"live","id":"stream_live","audioUrl":"https://streams.kqed.org/kqedradio","title":"Live Stream","excerpt":"Live Stream information currently unavailable.","link":"/radio","featImg":"","label":{"name":"KQED Live","link":"/"}},"stream_kqedNewscast":{"type":"posts","id":"stream_kqedNewscast","audioUrl":"https://www.kqed.org/.stream/anon/radio/RDnews/newscast.mp3?_=1","title":"KQED Newscast","featImg":"","label":{"name":"88.5 FM","link":"/"}},"bayareabites_124284":{"type":"posts","id":"bayareabites_124284","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"bayareabites","id":"124284","score":null,"sort":[1515088577000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"youll-be-shelling-out-more-money-for-eggs-in-2018","title":"You'll Be Shelling Out More Money For Eggs In 2018","publishDate":1515088577,"format":"standard","headTitle":"Bay Area Bites | KQED Food","labelTerm":{"site":"bayareabites"},"content":"\u003cp>The U.S. Department of Agriculture predicts consumers will be paying less for beef, pork, lamb, chicken and turkey in early 2018 than at the start of 2017. Not so for eggs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Egg prices during the first three months of 2018 are likely to be more than 35 percent higher than they were during the same period of 2017, USDA's Economic Research Service \u003ca href=\"https://www.ers.usda.gov/webdocs/publications/86243/ldp-m-282.pdf?v=43087\">says\u003c/a>. The increase, from about 80 cents for a dozen grade A large eggs at the start of 2017 to predictions of $1.06 to $1.12 for a dozen, is due to several months of increased sales.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Iowa State University professor Hongwei Xin, who directs the school's Egg Industry Center, says domestic and international demand for U.S. eggs are on the rise.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"We are at 273.7, about 274 eggs per capita per year,\" he says of U.S. consumption. \"This is the highest of the past 38 years.\" And he says it's expected to continue climbing.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meanwhile, bird flu, which devastated the Midwest poultry sector in 2015, affected egg production this year in other countries, including South Korea, the Philippines, South Africa and the Netherlands.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"These AI (avian influenza) outbreaks in other countries, it's very unfortunate for them, but does benefit our industry somewhat,\" Xin says.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The European market was further dented in August, when an insecticide that's used to control fleas in pets may have been inappropriately used by cleaning crews in the Netherlands to reduce lice in chickens. The \u003ca href=\"http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-40878381\">BBC reported\u003c/a> that the European Union bans the use of the insecticide Fipronil in food animals and millions of eggs were pulled from the market.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>U.S. egg producers appear to be increasing the size of their laying flocks, which ultimately will increase supply and potentially push prices down, the USDA says.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Xin also says it's important to take the long view of egg prices. From 2010-2014, the average price of a dozen eggs in the first quarter was $1.22 per dozen. That was before the avian flu outbreak wreaked havoc on the industry, so the projection for the next few months is below what consumers have weathered in the recent past.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>This\u003c/em>\u003cem> story comes to us from \u003ca href=\"http://harvestpublicmedia.org/\">Harvest Public Media\u003c/a>, a reporting collaboration focused on food and agriculture. \u003c/em> \u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Copyright 2018 \u003ca href=\"http://harvestpublicmedia.org/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Harvest Public Media\u003c/a>.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"High demand, bird flu and insecticides have all driven prices higher, but there is a sunny side: U.S. producers appear to be increasing the size of their laying flocks, which may push costs down.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1515088577,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":13,"wordCount":391},"headData":{"title":"You'll Be Shelling Out More Money For Eggs In 2018 | KQED","description":"High demand, bird flu and insecticides have all driven prices higher, but there is a sunny side: U.S. producers appear to be increasing the size of their laying flocks, which may push costs down.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":""},"disqusIdentifier":"124284 https://ww2.kqed.org/bayareabites/?p=124284","disqusUrl":"https://ww2.kqed.org/bayareabites/2018/01/04/youll-be-shelling-out-more-money-for-eggs-in-2018/","disqusTitle":"You'll Be Shelling Out More Money For Eggs In 2018","nprImageCredit":"Nikada","nprByline":"Amy Mayer, \u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/sections/thesalt/2018/01/04/575368028/youll-be-shelling-out-more-money-for-eggs-in-2018\">NPR Food\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>","nprImageAgency":"Getty Images","nprStoryId":"575368028","nprApiLink":"http://api.npr.org/query?id=575368028&apiKey=MDAxOTAwOTE4MDEyMTkxMDAzNjczZDljZA004","nprHtmlLink":"https://www.npr.org/sections/thesalt/2018/01/04/575368028/youll-be-shelling-out-more-money-for-eggs-in-2018?ft=nprml&f=575368028","nprRetrievedStory":"1","nprPubDate":"Thu, 04 Jan 2018 08:00:00 -0500","nprStoryDate":"Thu, 04 Jan 2018 08:00:14 -0500","nprLastModifiedDate":"Thu, 04 Jan 2018 08:00:14 -0500","path":"/bayareabites/124284/youll-be-shelling-out-more-money-for-eggs-in-2018","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>The U.S. Department of Agriculture predicts consumers will be paying less for beef, pork, lamb, chicken and turkey in early 2018 than at the start of 2017. Not so for eggs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Egg prices during the first three months of 2018 are likely to be more than 35 percent higher than they were during the same period of 2017, USDA's Economic Research Service \u003ca href=\"https://www.ers.usda.gov/webdocs/publications/86243/ldp-m-282.pdf?v=43087\">says\u003c/a>. The increase, from about 80 cents for a dozen grade A large eggs at the start of 2017 to predictions of $1.06 to $1.12 for a dozen, is due to several months of increased sales.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Iowa State University professor Hongwei Xin, who directs the school's Egg Industry Center, says domestic and international demand for U.S. eggs are on the rise.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"We are at 273.7, about 274 eggs per capita per year,\" he says of U.S. consumption. \"This is the highest of the past 38 years.\" And he says it's expected to continue climbing.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meanwhile, bird flu, which devastated the Midwest poultry sector in 2015, affected egg production this year in other countries, including South Korea, the Philippines, South Africa and the Netherlands.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"These AI (avian influenza) outbreaks in other countries, it's very unfortunate for them, but does benefit our industry somewhat,\" Xin says.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The European market was further dented in August, when an insecticide that's used to control fleas in pets may have been inappropriately used by cleaning crews in the Netherlands to reduce lice in chickens. The \u003ca href=\"http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-40878381\">BBC reported\u003c/a> that the European Union bans the use of the insecticide Fipronil in food animals and millions of eggs were pulled from the market.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>U.S. egg producers appear to be increasing the size of their laying flocks, which ultimately will increase supply and potentially push prices down, the USDA says.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Xin also says it's important to take the long view of egg prices. From 2010-2014, the average price of a dozen eggs in the first quarter was $1.22 per dozen. That was before the avian flu outbreak wreaked havoc on the industry, so the projection for the next few months is below what consumers have weathered in the recent past.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>This\u003c/em>\u003cem> story comes to us from \u003ca href=\"http://harvestpublicmedia.org/\">Harvest Public Media\u003c/a>, a reporting collaboration focused on food and agriculture. \u003c/em> \u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Copyright 2018 \u003ca href=\"http://harvestpublicmedia.org/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Harvest Public Media\u003c/a>.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/bayareabites/124284/youll-be-shelling-out-more-money-for-eggs-in-2018","authors":["byline_bayareabites_124284"],"categories":["bayareabites_1962","bayareabites_1874"],"tags":["bayareabites_33","bayareabites_835"],"featImg":"bayareabites_124287","label":"bayareabites"},"bayareabites_120431":{"type":"posts","id":"bayareabites_120431","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"bayareabites","id":"120431","score":null,"sort":[1504736790000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"grocery-prices-have-been-falling-did-you-notice","title":"Grocery Prices Have Been Falling. Did You Notice?","publishDate":1504736790,"format":"audio","headTitle":"Bay Area Bites | KQED Food","labelTerm":{},"content":"\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Listen to the story on NPR's Morning Edition:\u003c/strong>\u003cbr>\nhttps://ondemand.npr.org/anon.npr-mp3/npr/me/2017/09/20170906_me_grocery_prices_have_been_falling_did_you_notice_.mp3\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Food prices in America were down for the longest period in about 60 years.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Wait, what?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It's not something that shoppers seemed to have noticed much.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"Are you serious? Really?\" says Michelle German, holding a bag of groceries and wine at a Harris Teeter store in Washington, D.C. \"I just spent about $40 dollars on four items and I'm like, wait, how did I spend that much money?\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But a number of foods — most notably, beef, eggs and dairy — saw some \u003ca href=\"https://www.bls.gov/opub/ted/2016/consumer-food-prices-rise-0-point-2-percent-from-july-2015-to-july-2016.htm\">serious price drops\u003c/a> over the course of 2016 and into 2017. For 19 months straight, the U.S. government reported declines in the food consumer price index, which compares supermarket prices with what they were a year earlier.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_120437\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1544px\">\u003cimg src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/bayareabites/wp-content/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.14-PM.png\" alt='Source: <a href=\"https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUUR0000SAF11?output_view=pct_12mths\">Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index</a>' width=\"1544\" height=\"1066\" class=\"size-full wp-image-120437\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.14-PM.png 1544w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.14-PM-160x110.png 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.14-PM-800x552.png 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.14-PM-768x530.png 768w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.14-PM-1020x704.png 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.14-PM-1180x815.png 1180w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.14-PM-960x663.png 960w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.14-PM-240x166.png 240w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.14-PM-375x259.png 375w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.14-PM-520x359.png 520w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1544px) 100vw, 1544px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: \u003ca href=\"https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUUR0000SAF11?output_view=pct_12mths\">Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index\u003c/a> \u003ccite>(Brittany Mayes and Jessenia Araya/NPR)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>The measure \u003ca href=\"https://www.bls.gov/opub/ted/2017/consumer-price-index-rose-1-point-7-percent-from-july-2016-to-july-2017.htm\">marked its first small uptick\u003c/a> in July. (Year-to-year comparisons are more telling than month-to-month data, because they aren't affected by seasonal fluctuations.)\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"It is rather a unique period, something certainly I've never seen in my 37 years,\" says Brian Todd, president and CEO of \u003ca href=\"https://www.foodinstitute.com/\">The Food Institute\u003c/a>, an industry research organization. According to \u003ca href=\"https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUUR0000SAF11?output_view=pct_12mths\">data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics\u003c/a>, the last time the country went through such a long deflationary stretch in groceries was in the mid-1950s.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Typically, low food prices accompany a weak, struggling economy, says Jon Springer, retail editor at \u003ca href=\"http://www.supermarketnews.com/\">Supermarket News\u003c/a>, a trade publication. \"What happened over this last year has really taken people a little bit by surprise,\" he says, calling the period \"unusual.\" Todd, too, called it \"unique.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>So, what happened?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Economists blame a confluence of factors. Energy and transportation costs fell, allowing food producers to operate more cheaply. But there was also a glut of food on the market: China started buying less food from the U.S. — and so did other countries, partly because American goods got more expensive as the dollar got stronger. Some experts also say Americans themselves contributed, through changing tastes — for instances, more people have been cutting back on beef.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_120436\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1560px\">\u003cimg src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/bayareabites/wp-content/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.43-PM.png\" alt='Source: <a href=\"https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUUR0000SAF11?output_view=pct_12mths\">Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index</a>' width=\"1560\" height=\"744\" class=\"size-full wp-image-120436\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.43-PM.png 1560w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.43-PM-160x76.png 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.43-PM-800x382.png 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.43-PM-768x366.png 768w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.43-PM-1020x486.png 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.43-PM-1180x563.png 1180w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.43-PM-960x458.png 960w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.43-PM-240x114.png 240w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.43-PM-375x179.png 375w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.43-PM-520x248.png 520w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1560px) 100vw, 1560px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: \u003ca href=\"https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUUR0000SAF11?output_view=pct_12mths\">Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index\u003c/a> \u003ccite>(Brittany Mayes and Jessenia Araya/NPR)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>It all translated into a shift of supply and demand: People weren't buying as much beef and eggs as farmers and ranchers were producing.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"Our consumption is actually pretty good in the U.S. ... But, there's no way they can eat enough cheese and ice cream to use everything we produce,\" says dairy farmer Merri Post. \"Although I'd like to sure see them try — I think if everybody had a little more cheese.... ,\" she adds, with a laugh.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Merri and Bill Post run the \u003ca href=\"https://www.facebook.com/Middleroad-Acres-182360816388/\">Middleroad Acres\u003c/a> farm in southwestern Minnesota. Every day, their cows produce some 10,000 pounds of milk, which winds through plants in Iowa and Wisconsin to become cheddar cheese. Dairy is their lifeblood — they actually live on the same farm where Bill grew up.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Merri Post says they had prepared for low milk prices but didn't expect such a long streak. The couple grows the crops that they feed their cows, but she says they lose money with every bushel of corn they feed a cow.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"There are times you know ... you're writing a check for the privilege to milk your cows,\" says Post. \"You're not making money. You are writing a check to do your job that day.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Last year, there was such a glut of dairy that some farmers \u003ca href=\"https://www.csmonitor.com/USA/2016/1014/Why-dairy-farmers-dumped-43-million-gallons-of-milk-this-year\">were dumping\u003c/a> excess milk. \"We aren't at that,\" Post says. \"Although our creameries \u003cem>are \u003c/em>full. They can't take on more milk.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>There's good news for Post, though: The dairy price index is slowly starting to tick up along with many other foods.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Grocery prices \"will gradually go up,\" says Springer. \"One of the big questions is how fast retailers will enact their own price increases because they've got to keep an eye on one another — because nobody wants to look like they're more expensive than the other guy.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The price war among grocery stores has been intense. The leading sellers, Walmart and Kroger, have been fighting Target and other competitors for the lowest price around. Even the typically upscale Whole Foods last week lowered prices for organic baby kale and avocado after its acquisition by Amazon closed. German chains Aldi and Lidl, which are adding stores in the U.S., are \u003ca href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2017-06-27/the-price-war-over-american-groceries-is-getting-bloody\">adding extra pressure\u003c/a> with deep discounts.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"There is quite a bit of price competition already happening in the grocery industry, so they've got to be very cautious about\" raising prices, Springer says. Todd, at the Food Institute, predicts that overall, prices this year will be higher by only about 1 percent, compared with last year. \u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp> \u003cem>Copyright 2017 \u003ca href=\"http://www.npr.org/\">NPR\u003c/a>.\u003c/em> \u003c/p>\n\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"For 19 months in a row, food prices in America's supermarkets fell compared to a year earlier. This is good news for shoppers but has weighed on the grocery industry and the people who grow our food.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1504736790,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":24,"wordCount":828},"headData":{"title":"Grocery Prices Have Been Falling. Did You Notice? | KQED","description":"For 19 months in a row, food prices in America's supermarkets fell compared to a year earlier. This is good news for shoppers but has weighed on the grocery industry and the people who grow our food.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":""},"disqusIdentifier":"120431 https://ww2.kqed.org/bayareabites/?p=120431","disqusUrl":"https://ww2.kqed.org/bayareabites/2017/09/06/grocery-prices-have-been-falling-did-you-notice/","disqusTitle":"Grocery Prices Have Been Falling. Did You Notice?","source":"Economy and Food Costs","sourceUrl":"https://ww2.kqed.org/bayareabites/category/economy-and-food-costs/","nprImageCredit":"Joe Raedle","nprByline":"Alina Selyukh, NPR Food","nprImageAgency":"Getty Images","nprStoryId":"547820236","nprApiLink":"http://api.npr.org/query?id=547820236&apiKey=MDAxOTAwOTE4MDEyMTkxMDAzNjczZDljZA004","nprHtmlLink":"http://www.npr.org/sections/thesalt/2017/09/06/547820236/grocery-prices-have-been-falling-did-you-notice?ft=nprml&f=547820236","nprRetrievedStory":"1","nprPubDate":"Wed, 06 Sep 2017 08:16:00 -0400","nprStoryDate":"Wed, 06 Sep 2017 04:55:00 -0400","nprLastModifiedDate":"Wed, 06 Sep 2017 15:48:11 -0400","nprAudio":"https://ondemand.npr.org/anon.npr-mp3/npr/me/2017/09/20170906_me_grocery_prices_have_been_falling_did_you_notice_.mp3?orgId=1&topicId=1053&d=215&p=3&story=547820236&t=progseg&e=548803221&seg=13&ft=nprml&f=547820236","nprAudioM3u":"http://api.npr.org/m3u/1548819289-44cfbe.m3u?orgId=1&topicId=1053&d=215&p=3&story=547820236&t=progseg&e=548803221&seg=13&ft=nprml&f=547820236","path":"/bayareabites/120431/grocery-prices-have-been-falling-did-you-notice","audioUrl":"https://ondemand.npr.org/anon.npr-mp3/npr/me/2017/09/20170906_me_grocery_prices_have_been_falling_did_you_notice_.mp3?orgId=1&topicId=1053&d=215&p=3&story=547820236&t=progseg&e=548803221&seg=13&ft=nprml&f=547820236","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Listen to the story on NPR's Morning Edition:\u003c/strong>\u003cbr>\n\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"nprOneAudioLink","attributes":{"named":{"src":"https://ondemand.npr.org/anon.npr-mp3/npr/me/2017/09/20170906_me_grocery_prices_have_been_falling_did_you_notice_.mp3"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Food prices in America were down for the longest period in about 60 years.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Wait, what?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It's not something that shoppers seemed to have noticed much.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"Are you serious? Really?\" says Michelle German, holding a bag of groceries and wine at a Harris Teeter store in Washington, D.C. \"I just spent about $40 dollars on four items and I'm like, wait, how did I spend that much money?\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But a number of foods — most notably, beef, eggs and dairy — saw some \u003ca href=\"https://www.bls.gov/opub/ted/2016/consumer-food-prices-rise-0-point-2-percent-from-july-2015-to-july-2016.htm\">serious price drops\u003c/a> over the course of 2016 and into 2017. For 19 months straight, the U.S. government reported declines in the food consumer price index, which compares supermarket prices with what they were a year earlier.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_120437\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1544px\">\u003cimg src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/bayareabites/wp-content/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.14-PM.png\" alt='Source: <a href=\"https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUUR0000SAF11?output_view=pct_12mths\">Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index</a>' width=\"1544\" height=\"1066\" class=\"size-full wp-image-120437\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.14-PM.png 1544w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.14-PM-160x110.png 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.14-PM-800x552.png 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.14-PM-768x530.png 768w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.14-PM-1020x704.png 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.14-PM-1180x815.png 1180w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.14-PM-960x663.png 960w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.14-PM-240x166.png 240w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.14-PM-375x259.png 375w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.14-PM-520x359.png 520w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1544px) 100vw, 1544px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: \u003ca href=\"https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUUR0000SAF11?output_view=pct_12mths\">Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index\u003c/a> \u003ccite>(Brittany Mayes and Jessenia Araya/NPR)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>The measure \u003ca href=\"https://www.bls.gov/opub/ted/2017/consumer-price-index-rose-1-point-7-percent-from-july-2016-to-july-2017.htm\">marked its first small uptick\u003c/a> in July. (Year-to-year comparisons are more telling than month-to-month data, because they aren't affected by seasonal fluctuations.)\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"It is rather a unique period, something certainly I've never seen in my 37 years,\" says Brian Todd, president and CEO of \u003ca href=\"https://www.foodinstitute.com/\">The Food Institute\u003c/a>, an industry research organization. According to \u003ca href=\"https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUUR0000SAF11?output_view=pct_12mths\">data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics\u003c/a>, the last time the country went through such a long deflationary stretch in groceries was in the mid-1950s.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Typically, low food prices accompany a weak, struggling economy, says Jon Springer, retail editor at \u003ca href=\"http://www.supermarketnews.com/\">Supermarket News\u003c/a>, a trade publication. \"What happened over this last year has really taken people a little bit by surprise,\" he says, calling the period \"unusual.\" Todd, too, called it \"unique.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>So, what happened?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Economists blame a confluence of factors. Energy and transportation costs fell, allowing food producers to operate more cheaply. But there was also a glut of food on the market: China started buying less food from the U.S. — and so did other countries, partly because American goods got more expensive as the dollar got stronger. Some experts also say Americans themselves contributed, through changing tastes — for instances, more people have been cutting back on beef.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_120436\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1560px\">\u003cimg src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/bayareabites/wp-content/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.43-PM.png\" alt='Source: <a href=\"https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUUR0000SAF11?output_view=pct_12mths\">Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index</a>' width=\"1560\" height=\"744\" class=\"size-full wp-image-120436\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.43-PM.png 1560w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.43-PM-160x76.png 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.43-PM-800x382.png 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.43-PM-768x366.png 768w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.43-PM-1020x486.png 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.43-PM-1180x563.png 1180w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.43-PM-960x458.png 960w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.43-PM-240x114.png 240w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.43-PM-375x179.png 375w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2017/09/Screen-Shot-2017-09-06-at-3.16.43-PM-520x248.png 520w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1560px) 100vw, 1560px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: \u003ca href=\"https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUUR0000SAF11?output_view=pct_12mths\">Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index\u003c/a> \u003ccite>(Brittany Mayes and Jessenia Araya/NPR)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>It all translated into a shift of supply and demand: People weren't buying as much beef and eggs as farmers and ranchers were producing.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"Our consumption is actually pretty good in the U.S. ... But, there's no way they can eat enough cheese and ice cream to use everything we produce,\" says dairy farmer Merri Post. \"Although I'd like to sure see them try — I think if everybody had a little more cheese.... ,\" she adds, with a laugh.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Merri and Bill Post run the \u003ca href=\"https://www.facebook.com/Middleroad-Acres-182360816388/\">Middleroad Acres\u003c/a> farm in southwestern Minnesota. Every day, their cows produce some 10,000 pounds of milk, which winds through plants in Iowa and Wisconsin to become cheddar cheese. Dairy is their lifeblood — they actually live on the same farm where Bill grew up.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Merri Post says they had prepared for low milk prices but didn't expect such a long streak. The couple grows the crops that they feed their cows, but she says they lose money with every bushel of corn they feed a cow.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"There are times you know ... you're writing a check for the privilege to milk your cows,\" says Post. \"You're not making money. You are writing a check to do your job that day.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Last year, there was such a glut of dairy that some farmers \u003ca href=\"https://www.csmonitor.com/USA/2016/1014/Why-dairy-farmers-dumped-43-million-gallons-of-milk-this-year\">were dumping\u003c/a> excess milk. \"We aren't at that,\" Post says. \"Although our creameries \u003cem>are \u003c/em>full. They can't take on more milk.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>There's good news for Post, though: The dairy price index is slowly starting to tick up along with many other foods.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Grocery prices \"will gradually go up,\" says Springer. \"One of the big questions is how fast retailers will enact their own price increases because they've got to keep an eye on one another — because nobody wants to look like they're more expensive than the other guy.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The price war among grocery stores has been intense. The leading sellers, Walmart and Kroger, have been fighting Target and other competitors for the lowest price around. Even the typically upscale Whole Foods last week lowered prices for organic baby kale and avocado after its acquisition by Amazon closed. German chains Aldi and Lidl, which are adding stores in the U.S., are \u003ca href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2017-06-27/the-price-war-over-american-groceries-is-getting-bloody\">adding extra pressure\u003c/a> with deep discounts.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"There is quite a bit of price competition already happening in the grocery industry, so they've got to be very cautious about\" raising prices, Springer says. Todd, at the Food Institute, predicts that overall, prices this year will be higher by only about 1 percent, compared with last year. \u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp> \u003cem>Copyright 2017 \u003ca href=\"http://www.npr.org/\">NPR\u003c/a>.\u003c/em> \u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/bayareabites/120431/grocery-prices-have-been-falling-did-you-notice","authors":["byline_bayareabites_120431"],"categories":["bayareabites_1962","bayareabites_10028","bayareabites_358"],"tags":["bayareabites_1397","bayareabites_835","bayareabites_13273","bayareabites_15185"],"featImg":"bayareabites_120432","label":"source_bayareabites_120431"},"bayareabites_106333":{"type":"posts","id":"bayareabites_106333","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"bayareabites","id":"106333","score":null,"sort":[1453917665000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"the-price-of-almonds-may-have-met-a-slippery-slope","title":"The Price of Almonds May Have Met a Slippery Slope","publishDate":1453917665,"format":"standard","headTitle":"Bay Area Bites | KQED Food","labelTerm":{"site":"bayareabites"},"content":"\u003cp>Drive anywhere in Central California and you'll find fields of almonds. So many new trees have been planted in recent years that people have begun to wonder whether the growth of the almond industry is unsustainable. It seems like the price of the nut may have met a slippery slope.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It started out with almonds getting a lot of bad press over the last few years. The nut was called out for soaking up too much water, while at the same time farmers were making bank on the tree crop. Meanwhile, the commodity slowly lost value.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://far.rabobank.com/en/authors/vernon-crowder.html\">Vernon Crowder \u003c/a>says the price of the nut per pound has dropped \"about 20 percent, maybe just a little bit more, since late 2014.\" Crowder is part of a \u003ca href=\"https://far.rabobank.com/en/home/index.html\">Food and Agribusiness Research Advisory Group\u003c/a> with Rabobank in Fresno.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That 20 percent equals a loss of around $1.8 billion. Crowder says the problem is too much supply.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"There have been a lot of new almonds planted over the last three years,\" says Crowder. \"And that's probably part of the reason why the crop was a little bigger than we expected this year. And people know there will be more almonds produced this fall as well.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_106340\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\" style=\"max-width: 300px\">\u003cimg src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/bayareabites/wp-content/uploads/sites/24/2016/01/almonds-on-tree_edited-f9ff2282adda0768dbde42b8808d560afdd66676-s300-c85.jpg\" alt=\"Even with the decrease in prices, almond growers are planting new fields of the nut.\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" class=\"size-full wp-image-106340\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Even with the decrease in prices, almond growers are planting new fields of the nut. \u003ccite>( Ezra David Romero/Valley Public Radio)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>When the price of almonds rose from around $2.50 three years ago to over $4 per pound in 2014, farmers went crazy. Many replaced their lower-priced crops, like grapes or cotton, with fields of almonds. That flooded the market, and the price dropped to around $3 per pound.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The real kicker was the strength of the dollar in 2015. It began to cost more for places like China and India to buy almonds. In turn, Asian markets are shelling out less cash for the crop.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"We probably pushed the price up too high,\" says Darren Rigg. He handles over 50 million pounds of nuts with \u003ca href=\"http://www.meridiangrowers.com/\">Meridian Growers\u003c/a> in Tulare, Calif.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"It killed off demand, and people at a certain point, they just don't buy,\" Rigg says. \"We're probably coming back into an equilibrium point, but we possibly have overcorrected as well.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He says over-reliance on markets with a lack of infrastructure and shaky finances are the root cause.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"The whole entire industry has dealt with a lot of defaults out of India and Dubai,\" says Rigg. \"Guys going out of business, guys not picking up loads. And some of them just packing up shop and running off to the Himalayas. And so we still have cargo at foreign ports.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_106341\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 800px\">\u003cimg src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/bayareabites/wp-content/uploads/sites/24/2016/01/almonds-processing_edited-53438a7e750a1fa8acc7e4e4755e6927dead6017-s800-c85.jpg\" alt=\"In 2015 more than 1.8 billion pounds of almonds were processed in California.\" width=\"800\" height=\"599\" class=\"size-full wp-image-106341\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2016/01/almonds-processing_edited-53438a7e750a1fa8acc7e4e4755e6927dead6017-s800-c85.jpg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2016/01/almonds-processing_edited-53438a7e750a1fa8acc7e4e4755e6927dead6017-s800-c85-400x300.jpg 400w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2016/01/almonds-processing_edited-53438a7e750a1fa8acc7e4e4755e6927dead6017-s800-c85-768x575.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">In 2015 more than 1.8 billion pounds of almonds were processed in California. \u003ccite>( Ezra David Romero/Valley Public Radio)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Even with the current decrease in the price per pound of almonds, growers are still earning more than they were five years ago. Almond growers like\u003ca href=\"http://delbosquefarms.com/?page_id=20\"> Joe Del Bosque \u003c/a>in Firebaugh, Calif., say they haven't felt the pinch yet.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"Having a couple of good years has given us a good foundation ... to be able to weather this thing,\" Del Bosque says.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Del Bosque farms more than 600 acres of almonds. And he says he does worry that the high cost of water, coupled with the lower price of almonds, would decrease profits.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"We're not panicking,\" Del Bosque says. \"If the market stays where it is right now, I think we'll still be OK — if we have water that isn't too expensive this coming year.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But this is all a balancing act, and Mother Nature has a role to play. Adequate chill hours – almond trees need to rest in winter under 45 degrees for up to 300 hours for normal growth – and ample rains brought by El Nino could mean a healthy crop. But too large of a yield could depress the price of almonds, leading to fewer dollars in farmers' pockets.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>At the same time, growers are worried that strong storms in February could knock too many flowers off trees during bloom time. The loss of too many flowers could result in a smaller crop — which would make almonds too expensive for foreign bank accounts. Both scenarios could lead to an even greater price drop, but the growers I spoke with remain optimistic.\u003c/p>\n\u003chr>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Ezra David Romero covers food and agriculture for Valley Public Radio in California. This \u003ca href=\"http://kvpr.org/\" target=\"_blank\">story\u003c/a> first appeared on the station's website.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Copyright 2016 \u003ca href=\"http://www.npr.org/\" target=\"_blank\">NPR\u003c/a>.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"High almond prices led many California growers to put in new plantings in recent years. Too many, it seems: Oversupply has helped push prices down by about 20 percent.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1453919151,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":21,"wordCount":747},"headData":{"title":"The Price of Almonds May Have Met a Slippery Slope | KQED","description":"High almond prices led many California growers to put in new plantings in recent years. Too many, it seems: Oversupply has helped push prices down by about 20 percent.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":""},"disqusIdentifier":"106333 http://ww2.kqed.org/bayareabites/?p=106333","disqusUrl":"https://ww2.kqed.org/bayareabites/2016/01/27/the-price-of-almonds-may-have-met-a-slippery-slope/","disqusTitle":"The Price of Almonds May Have Met a Slippery Slope","nprByline":"Ezra David Romero, \u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/bayareabites/author/nprfood/\">NPR Food\u003c/a> ","nprImageAgency":"Ezra David Romero/Valley Public Radio","nprStoryId":"463877351","nprApiLink":"http://api.npr.org/query?id=463877351&apiKey=MDAxOTAwOTE4MDEyMTkxMDAzNjczZDljZA004","nprHtmlLink":"http://www.npr.org/sections/thesalt/2016/01/27/463877351/the-price-of-almonds-may-have-met-a-slippery-slope?ft=nprml&f=463877351","nprRetrievedStory":"1","nprPubDate":"Wed, 27 Jan 2016 08:42:00 -0500","nprStoryDate":"Wed, 27 Jan 2016 07:00:00 -0500","nprLastModifiedDate":"Wed, 27 Jan 2016 08:42:00 -0500","path":"/bayareabites/106333/the-price-of-almonds-may-have-met-a-slippery-slope","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Drive anywhere in Central California and you'll find fields of almonds. So many new trees have been planted in recent years that people have begun to wonder whether the growth of the almond industry is unsustainable. It seems like the price of the nut may have met a slippery slope.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It started out with almonds getting a lot of bad press over the last few years. The nut was called out for soaking up too much water, while at the same time farmers were making bank on the tree crop. Meanwhile, the commodity slowly lost value.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://far.rabobank.com/en/authors/vernon-crowder.html\">Vernon Crowder \u003c/a>says the price of the nut per pound has dropped \"about 20 percent, maybe just a little bit more, since late 2014.\" Crowder is part of a \u003ca href=\"https://far.rabobank.com/en/home/index.html\">Food and Agribusiness Research Advisory Group\u003c/a> with Rabobank in Fresno.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That 20 percent equals a loss of around $1.8 billion. Crowder says the problem is too much supply.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"There have been a lot of new almonds planted over the last three years,\" says Crowder. \"And that's probably part of the reason why the crop was a little bigger than we expected this year. And people know there will be more almonds produced this fall as well.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_106340\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\" style=\"max-width: 300px\">\u003cimg src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/bayareabites/wp-content/uploads/sites/24/2016/01/almonds-on-tree_edited-f9ff2282adda0768dbde42b8808d560afdd66676-s300-c85.jpg\" alt=\"Even with the decrease in prices, almond growers are planting new fields of the nut.\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" class=\"size-full wp-image-106340\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Even with the decrease in prices, almond growers are planting new fields of the nut. \u003ccite>( Ezra David Romero/Valley Public Radio)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>When the price of almonds rose from around $2.50 three years ago to over $4 per pound in 2014, farmers went crazy. Many replaced their lower-priced crops, like grapes or cotton, with fields of almonds. That flooded the market, and the price dropped to around $3 per pound.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The real kicker was the strength of the dollar in 2015. It began to cost more for places like China and India to buy almonds. In turn, Asian markets are shelling out less cash for the crop.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"We probably pushed the price up too high,\" says Darren Rigg. He handles over 50 million pounds of nuts with \u003ca href=\"http://www.meridiangrowers.com/\">Meridian Growers\u003c/a> in Tulare, Calif.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"It killed off demand, and people at a certain point, they just don't buy,\" Rigg says. \"We're probably coming back into an equilibrium point, but we possibly have overcorrected as well.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He says over-reliance on markets with a lack of infrastructure and shaky finances are the root cause.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"The whole entire industry has dealt with a lot of defaults out of India and Dubai,\" says Rigg. \"Guys going out of business, guys not picking up loads. And some of them just packing up shop and running off to the Himalayas. And so we still have cargo at foreign ports.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_106341\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 800px\">\u003cimg src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/bayareabites/wp-content/uploads/sites/24/2016/01/almonds-processing_edited-53438a7e750a1fa8acc7e4e4755e6927dead6017-s800-c85.jpg\" alt=\"In 2015 more than 1.8 billion pounds of almonds were processed in California.\" width=\"800\" height=\"599\" class=\"size-full wp-image-106341\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2016/01/almonds-processing_edited-53438a7e750a1fa8acc7e4e4755e6927dead6017-s800-c85.jpg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2016/01/almonds-processing_edited-53438a7e750a1fa8acc7e4e4755e6927dead6017-s800-c85-400x300.jpg 400w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/24/2016/01/almonds-processing_edited-53438a7e750a1fa8acc7e4e4755e6927dead6017-s800-c85-768x575.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">In 2015 more than 1.8 billion pounds of almonds were processed in California. \u003ccite>( Ezra David Romero/Valley Public Radio)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Even with the current decrease in the price per pound of almonds, growers are still earning more than they were five years ago. Almond growers like\u003ca href=\"http://delbosquefarms.com/?page_id=20\"> Joe Del Bosque \u003c/a>in Firebaugh, Calif., say they haven't felt the pinch yet.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"Having a couple of good years has given us a good foundation ... to be able to weather this thing,\" Del Bosque says.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Del Bosque farms more than 600 acres of almonds. And he says he does worry that the high cost of water, coupled with the lower price of almonds, would decrease profits.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"We're not panicking,\" Del Bosque says. \"If the market stays where it is right now, I think we'll still be OK — if we have water that isn't too expensive this coming year.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But this is all a balancing act, and Mother Nature has a role to play. Adequate chill hours – almond trees need to rest in winter under 45 degrees for up to 300 hours for normal growth – and ample rains brought by El Nino could mean a healthy crop. But too large of a yield could depress the price of almonds, leading to fewer dollars in farmers' pockets.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>At the same time, growers are worried that strong storms in February could knock too many flowers off trees during bloom time. The loss of too many flowers could result in a smaller crop — which would make almonds too expensive for foreign bank accounts. Both scenarios could lead to an even greater price drop, but the growers I spoke with remain optimistic.\u003c/p>\n\u003chr>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Ezra David Romero covers food and agriculture for Valley Public Radio in California. This \u003ca href=\"http://kvpr.org/\" target=\"_blank\">story\u003c/a> first appeared on the station's website.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Copyright 2016 \u003ca href=\"http://www.npr.org/\" target=\"_blank\">NPR\u003c/a>.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/bayareabites/106333/the-price-of-almonds-may-have-met-a-slippery-slope","authors":["byline_bayareabites_106333"],"categories":["bayareabites_10028","bayareabites_10916","bayareabites_60"],"tags":["bayareabites_8624","bayareabites_15237","bayareabites_11813","bayareabites_835"],"featImg":"bayareabites_106339","label":"bayareabites"},"bayareabites_945":{"type":"posts","id":"bayareabites_945","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"bayareabites","id":"945","score":null,"sort":[1208284820000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"the-rising-cost-of-food-part-1-of-2","title":"The Rising Cost of Food, Part 1 of 2","publishDate":1208284820,"format":"aside","headTitle":"Bay Area Bites | KQED Food","labelTerm":{"site":"bayareabites"},"content":"\u003cp>\u003cimg src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/bayareabites/wp-content/uploads/sites/24/2008/04/greenbeans1.jpg\" alt=\"green beans\" align=\"left\">\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"\u003cem>You have to spend more money, because you have to live in this way ... We cannot say, 'OK, the price of pork rises and we won't eat it,' because that's impossible, because we need that for daily life. So the only thing is we have to make more money to cover the expense. That's why we work hard and we come back home late.\u003c/em>\"\u003cbr>\n-- publishing house editor in China.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If you've turned on the news in the past couple of weeks, chances are you've heard numerous reports of the rising costs of food worldwide. For example, prices of food in Haiti and Egypt have doubled in the past two years, and last week rioting over the food crisis occurred in both countries. Also, the poor in Yemen are now spending more than a quarter of their incomes on bread alone.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Worldwide high prices are coming from a zeitgeist of factors:\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>Oil and energy costs are rising.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Climate changes such as droughts affect crops.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Farmers are moving their crops from food to potentially more lucrative biofuel crops.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>As citizens of countries such as China and India become more successful, their diets are changing and they are buying more food. They are eating more meat, which requires a much larger amount of grains.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>Domestically, food prices are climbing as well. Food prices in March rose 1.2%, and the price base ingredients such as milk and eggs are increasing quickly.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"http://www.npr.org/\">NPR\u003c/a> is covering the issue with a series of stories covering the food crisis. The series is doing a good job of giving me a clear picture of all the aspects involved. Tomorrow, NPR will focus on how the current crisis is revitalizing agriculture in some European communities.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>April 11, 2008\u003c/strong>\u003cbr>\n\u003ca href=\"http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=89545855\">World Bank Chief: Biofuels Boasting Food Prices\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>April 12, 2008\u003c/strong>\u003cbr>\n\u003ca href=\"http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=89583839\">Rising Food Prices Spark Growing Concern\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>April 13, 2008\u003c/strong>\u003cbr>\n\u003ca href=\"http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=89598524\">Food, Fuel Demand Raise Corn, Soybean Prices\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>April 14, 2008\u003c/strong>\u003cbr>\n\u003ca href=\"http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=89612926\">Aid Groups Target Poor Nations as Food Prices Soar\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>April 15, 2008\u003c/strong>\u003cbr>\n\u003ca href=\"http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=89642147\">China's Food Prices Rise as Population, Wealth Grow\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>NEXT WEEK:\u003c/strong> Good news on Food Prices? Some say yes.\u003c/p>\n\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":null,"status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1237923108,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":14,"wordCount":356},"headData":{"title":"The Rising Cost of Food, Part 1 of 2 | KQED","description":""You have to spend more money, because you have to live in this way ... We cannot say, 'OK, the price of pork rises and we won't eat it,' because that's impossible, because we need that for daily life. So the only thing is we have to make more money to cover the expense. That's","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":""},"disqusIdentifier":"945 http://blogs.kqed.org/bayareabites/2008/04/15/the-rising-cost-of-food-part-1-of-2/","disqusUrl":"https://ww2.kqed.org/bayareabites/2008/04/15/the-rising-cost-of-food-part-1-of-2/","disqusTitle":"The Rising Cost of Food, Part 1 of 2","path":"/bayareabites/945/the-rising-cost-of-food-part-1-of-2","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003cimg src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/bayareabites/wp-content/uploads/sites/24/2008/04/greenbeans1.jpg\" alt=\"green beans\" align=\"left\">\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"\u003cem>You have to spend more money, because you have to live in this way ... We cannot say, 'OK, the price of pork rises and we won't eat it,' because that's impossible, because we need that for daily life. So the only thing is we have to make more money to cover the expense. That's why we work hard and we come back home late.\u003c/em>\"\u003cbr>\n-- publishing house editor in China.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If you've turned on the news in the past couple of weeks, chances are you've heard numerous reports of the rising costs of food worldwide. For example, prices of food in Haiti and Egypt have doubled in the past two years, and last week rioting over the food crisis occurred in both countries. Also, the poor in Yemen are now spending more than a quarter of their incomes on bread alone.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Worldwide high prices are coming from a zeitgeist of factors:\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>Oil and energy costs are rising.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Climate changes such as droughts affect crops.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Farmers are moving their crops from food to potentially more lucrative biofuel crops.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>As citizens of countries such as China and India become more successful, their diets are changing and they are buying more food. They are eating more meat, which requires a much larger amount of grains.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>Domestically, food prices are climbing as well. Food prices in March rose 1.2%, and the price base ingredients such as milk and eggs are increasing quickly.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"http://www.npr.org/\">NPR\u003c/a> is covering the issue with a series of stories covering the food crisis. The series is doing a good job of giving me a clear picture of all the aspects involved. Tomorrow, NPR will focus on how the current crisis is revitalizing agriculture in some European communities.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>April 11, 2008\u003c/strong>\u003cbr>\n\u003ca href=\"http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=89545855\">World Bank Chief: Biofuels Boasting Food Prices\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>April 12, 2008\u003c/strong>\u003cbr>\n\u003ca href=\"http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=89583839\">Rising Food Prices Spark Growing Concern\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>April 13, 2008\u003c/strong>\u003cbr>\n\u003ca href=\"http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=89598524\">Food, Fuel Demand Raise Corn, Soybean Prices\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>April 14, 2008\u003c/strong>\u003cbr>\n\u003ca href=\"http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=89612926\">Aid Groups Target Poor Nations as Food Prices Soar\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>April 15, 2008\u003c/strong>\u003cbr>\n\u003ca href=\"http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=89642147\">China's Food Prices Rise as Population, Wealth Grow\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>NEXT WEEK:\u003c/strong> Good news on Food Prices? Some say yes.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/bayareabites/945/the-rising-cost-of-food-part-1-of-2","authors":["5019"],"categories":["bayareabites_752","bayareabites_1962","bayareabites_2035","bayareabites_60"],"tags":["bayareabites_837","bayareabites_836","bayareabites_838","bayareabites_835","bayareabites_834"],"label":"bayareabites"}},"programsReducer":{"possible":{"id":"possible","title":"Possible","info":"Possible is hosted by entrepreneur Reid Hoffman and writer Aria Finger. Together in Possible, Hoffman and Finger lead enlightening discussions about building a brighter collective future. The show features interviews with visionary guests like Trevor Noah, Sam Altman and Janette Sadik-Khan. Possible paints an optimistic portrait of the world we can create through science, policy, business, art and our shared humanity. It asks: What if everything goes right for once? How can we get there? Each episode also includes a short fiction story generated by advanced AI GPT-4, serving as a thought-provoking springboard to speculate how humanity could leverage technology for good.","airtime":"SUN 2pm","imageSrc":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Possible-Podcast-Tile-360x360-1.jpg","officialWebsiteLink":"https://www.possible.fm/","meta":{"site":"news","source":"Possible"},"link":"/radio/program/possible","subscribe":{"apple":"https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/possible/id1677184070","spotify":"https://open.spotify.com/show/730YpdUSNlMyPQwNnyjp4k"}},"1a":{"id":"1a","title":"1A","info":"1A is home to the national conversation. 1A brings on great guests and frames the best debate in ways that make you think, share and engage.","airtime":"MON-THU 11pm-12am","imageSrc":"https://ww2.kqed.org/radio/wp-content/uploads/sites/50/2018/04/1a.jpg","officialWebsiteLink":"https://the1a.org/","meta":{"site":"news","source":"npr"},"link":"/radio/program/1a","subscribe":{"npr":"https://rpb3r.app.goo.gl/RBrW","apple":"https://itunes.apple.com/WebObjects/MZStore.woa/wa/viewPodcast?s=143441&mt=2&id=1188724250&at=11l79Y&ct=nprdirectory","tuneIn":"https://tunein.com/radio/1A-p947376/","rss":"https://feeds.npr.org/510316/podcast.xml"}},"all-things-considered":{"id":"all-things-considered","title":"All Things Considered","info":"Every weekday, \u003cem>All Things Considered\u003c/em> hosts Robert Siegel, Audie Cornish, Ari Shapiro, and Kelly McEvers present the program's trademark mix of news, interviews, commentaries, reviews, and offbeat features. 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You can also visit the MindShift website for episodes and supplemental blog posts or tweet us \u003ca href=\"https://twitter.com/MindShiftKQED\">@MindShiftKQED\u003c/a> or visit us at \u003ca href=\"/mindshift\">MindShift.KQED.org\u003c/a>","imageSrc":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Mindshift-Podcast-Tile-703x703-1.jpg","imageAlt":"KQED MindShift: How We Will Learn","officialWebsiteLink":"/mindshift/","meta":{"site":"news","source":"kqed","order":"2"},"link":"/podcasts/mindshift","subscribe":{"apple":"https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/mindshift-podcast/id1078765985","google":"https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9mZWVkcy5tZWdhcGhvbmUuZm0vS1FJTkM1NzY0NjAwNDI5","npr":"https://www.npr.org/podcasts/464615685/mind-shift-podcast","stitcher":"https://www.stitcher.com/podcast/kqed/stories-teachers-share","spotify":"https://open.spotify.com/show/0MxSpNYZKNprFLCl7eEtyx"}},"morning-edition":{"id":"morning-edition","title":"Morning Edition","info":"\u003cem>Morning Edition\u003c/em> takes listeners around the country and the world with multi-faceted stories and commentaries every weekday. 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On Our Watch brings listeners into the rooms where officers are questioned and witnesses are interrogated to find out who this system is really protecting. Is it the officers, or the public they've sworn to serve?","imageSrc":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/On-Our-Watch-Podcast-Tile-703x703-1.jpg","imageAlt":"On Our Watch from NPR and KQED","officialWebsiteLink":"/podcasts/onourwatch","meta":{"site":"news","source":"kqed","order":"1"},"link":"/podcasts/onourwatch","subscribe":{"apple":"https://podcasts.apple.com/podcast/id1567098962","google":"https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9mZWVkcy5ucHIub3JnLzUxMDM2MC9wb2RjYXN0LnhtbD9zYz1nb29nbGVwb2RjYXN0cw","npr":"https://rpb3r.app.goo.gl/onourwatch","spotify":"https://open.spotify.com/show/0OLWoyizopu6tY1XiuX70x","tuneIn":"https://tunein.com/radio/On-Our-Watch-p1436229/","stitcher":"https://www.stitcher.com/show/on-our-watch","rss":"https://feeds.npr.org/510360/podcast.xml"}},"on-the-media":{"id":"on-the-media","title":"On The Media","info":"Our weekly podcast explores how the media 'sausage' is made, casts an incisive eye on fluctuations in the marketplace of ideas, and examines threats to the freedom of information and expression in America and abroad. 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